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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game114.7
vs
Position#20
Record4-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game115.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
04 Oct 2026
DEN97
UTA109
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
14 Jul 2016
DEN80
UTA60
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
15 Jul 2014
DEN69
UTA87
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
15 Oct 2008
DEN120
UTA119
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#20
L
97-109
97
109
-12
H04/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
W
117-106
117
106
+11
A07/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
133-128
133
128
+5
H12/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
110-122
110
122
-12
A15/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
W
121-106
121
106
+15
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-134
114
134
-20
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
127-120
127
120
+7
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
26-27
25-25
20-21
24-31
41-28
30-22
22-25
29-27
30-41
40-26
34-34
24-24
31-34
26-38
29-26
36-22
26-33
26-28
33-23
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
229.5Avg total
114.8Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Season at home (4)121.2126.5247.8-5.250%
Season away (6)110.5106.8217.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)114.0115.2229.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)126.2123.2249.5+3.075%
vs Similar ◀ (15)111.0111.7222.7-0.753%
vs Weaker (11)129.6118.7248.4+10.991%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
107-131
107
131
-24
A13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
109-97
109
97
+12
A04/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
106-117
106
117
-11
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
119-109
119
109
+10
H13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
119-116
119
116
+3
A17/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
L
103-123
103
123
-20
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
120-119
120
119
+1
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
L
123-132
123
132
-9
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
L
105-110
105
110
-5
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
23-30
29-33
33-36
36-26
27-26
25-25
21-20
31-24
28-41
22-30
25-22
33-26
35-35
31-17
20-31
31-30
28-35
31-30
29-21
31-29
20-35
28-34
24-25
31-28
31-24
24-38
34-29
47-29
24-45
29-29
23-29
21-30
31-28
24-31
29-21
32-22
23-29
30-34
20-20
229.3Avg total
112.2Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)112.8115.6228.3-2.844%
Season at home (6)114.0117.3231.3-3.333%
Season away (3)110.3112.0222.3-1.767%
Last 10 (10)112.2117.1229.3-4.940%
Last 5 (5)112.4120.2232.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)113.1127.4240.5-14.311%
vs Similar ◀ (11)119.3117.5236.7+1.845%
vs Weaker (1)119.0116.0235.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#20
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H04/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A07/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H12/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A15/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
117.4Avg total
58.2Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.258.9119.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.261.4122.6-0.235%-
Last 30 away (13)58.955.6114.5+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)58.259.2117.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.8115.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.559.8122.2+2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.656.8113.4-0.253%-
vs Weaker (11)64.361.5125.7+2.845%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A04/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H07/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A17/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#1
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H27/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/10
NBA
118.9Avg total
58.5Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.761.0118.7-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.660.2120.8+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)54.861.9116.7-7.120%-
Last 10 (10)58.560.4118.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)58.259.8118.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)55.863.3119.2-7.528%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)60.656.9117.5+3.755%-
vs Weaker (1)59.065.0124.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.928.5
56.0%
54.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.4
32.8%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws28.020.7
73.9%
76.4%20.7
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.428.1
53.6%
54.0%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.5
33.4%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws26.820.3
75.7%
76.4%20.3
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWLWWL
Utah Jazz
LLLWLWWLWL
#8
League position
#20
-4.0
Net rating
-4.4
103.4
Offensive rating
102.8
107.4
Defensive rating
107.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
11.0%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.8%
3-point %
33.4%
68.9%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 102.8Defence107.4 · 107.2Shooting53.4% · 52.2%3-point %32.8% · 33.4%Ball care13.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds11.0% · 26.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
17/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers121-106
15/10/26ALos Angeles Clippers110-122
12/10/26HChicago Bulls133-128
07/10/26AUtah Jazz117-106
04/10/26HUtah Jazz97-109
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs111-117 OT
27/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
25/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers123-132
24/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans120-119
22/10/26AMemphis Grizzlies103-123
17/10/26APhoenix Suns119-116
13/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-109
07/10/26HDenver Nuggets106-117
04/10/26ADenver Nuggets109-97
13/04/26ALos Angeles Lakers107-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game114.8121.2110.5
Allowed / game114.7126.5106.8
Point differential+0.1-5.2+3.7
Avg total229.5247.8217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%33%67%
Points / game112.8114.0110.3
Allowed / game115.6117.3112.0
Point differential-2.8-3.3-1.7
Avg total228.3231.3222.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
2 Boston Celtics87188%125.5110.9+14.6
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Orlando Magic85362%118.9118.1+0.8
7 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.0119.2+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Washington Wizards95456%112.7111.2+1.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%119.2114.2+5.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
17 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors94544%120.4112.6+7.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
20 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
21 Dallas Mavericks94544%113.6116.9-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets94544%98.8105.8-7.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Indiana Pacers93633%119.3119.0+0.3
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
27 New York Knicks103730%106.9116.0-9.1
28 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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