PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 117-101
35-25 28-25 26-28 28-23
Position#2
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game119.4
vs
Position#22
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-123
107
123
-16
94avg 109
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
106-126
106
126
-20
97avg 109
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
110avg 109
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
126-121
126
121
+5
125avg 109
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
95avg 109
A28/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
102-123
102
123
-21
92avg 109
A20/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
128-123
128
123
+5
126avg 109
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
122-117
122
117
+5
120avg 109
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
110-135
110
135
-25
100avg 109
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
110-99
110
99
+11
112avg 109
H27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
20-32
23-32
37-33
26-25
25-32
30-44
25-25
32-34
27-35
30-18
24-31
26-21
37-31
35-37
28-32
25-30
23-18
30-22
20-32
30-37
23-38
27-19
22-29
40-34
30-18
28-36
30-35
28-29
27-26
33-30
34-32
31-23
30-32
25-44
24-36
26-22
28-32
32-17
24-28
230.9Avg total
112.2Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)114.4119.4233.8-5.060%
Season at home (2)116.0108.0224.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)113.3127.0240.3-13.733%
Last 10 (10)112.2118.7230.9-6.540%
Last 5 (5)114.4119.4233.8-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0132.0249.0-15.00%
vs Similar (19)116.6117.7234.3-1.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)118.8117.4236.2+1.367%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
104-110
104
110
-6
99avg 105
A19/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
118-126
118
126
-8
114avg 105
H22/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
100-99
100
99
+1
86avg 105
H23/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
77-102
77
102
-25
61avg 105
A26/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
96-98
96
98
-2
88avg 105
H29/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
123-102
123
102
+21
119avg 105
H20/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
132-126 OT
132
126
+6
125avg 105
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
122-121 OT
122
121
+1
111avg 105
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
108-114
108
114
-6
98avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
109-101
109
101
+8
103avg 105
H27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
31-24
26-29
23-33
20-27
31-41
40-29
27-29
24-23
30-19
24-39
22-18
18-24
18-28
19-29
22-21
21-15
32-26
19-36
24-21
37-30
38-23
19-27
29-22
26-41
29-23
33-23
32-33
26-24
37-29
30-31
17-26
18-21
27-30
28-26
35-37
22-21
39-28
28-26
20-26
218.8Avg total
108.9Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)118.8112.8231.6+6.080%
Season at home (2)116.0101.5217.5+14.5100%
Season away (3)120.7120.3241.0+0.367%
Last 10 (10)108.9109.9218.8-1.050%
Last 5 (5)118.8112.8231.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)123.0102.0225.0+21.0100%
vs Similar (15)106.1111.9218.1-5.833%
vs Weaker (14)115.9104.0219.9+11.964%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A17/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A19/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A20/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A22/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H23/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H27/10
NBA
113.6Avg total
56.1Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.459.9120.3+0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)59.256.1115.2+3.154%-
Last 10 (10)56.157.5113.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)58.658.2116.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.567.0122.5-11.550%-
vs Similar (19)59.358.0117.3+1.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)62.156.8118.9+5.378%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A19/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H22/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H23/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A26/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H29/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
75-53
75
53
+22
H20/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A22/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A23/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H27/10
NBA
106.9Avg total
54.8Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.752.1108.8+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.151.6112.8+9.579%-
Last 30 away (16)52.852.5105.2+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)54.852.1106.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.0113.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)75.053.0128.0+22.0100%-
vs Similar (15)52.654.3106.9-1.753%-
vs Weaker (14)59.749.7109.4+10.079%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.529.5
55.1%
54.5%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.7
37.0%
35.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.518.1
77.0%
78.1%18.1
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.627.5
54.3%
54.5%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.011.5
31.9%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws26.219.4
74.0%
78.1%19.4
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLLWLLL
Utah Jazz
WLWWWLLWLL
#2
League position
#22
-6.4
Net rating
-1.0
111.2
Offensive rating
108.3
117.7
Defensive rating
109.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
13.9%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
31.9%
65.8%
Assist %
60.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 108.3Defence117.7 · 109.3Shooting55.3% · 51.7%3-point %37.0% · 31.9%Ball care15.4% · 13.9%Off. rebounds25.1% · 26.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/22HLos Angeles Lakers110-99
25/10/22APortland Trail Blazers110-135
23/10/22HOklahoma City Thunder122-117
22/10/22AGolden State Warriors128-123
20/10/22AUtah Jazz102-123
28/04/22AGolden State Warriors98-102
24/04/22HGolden State Warriors126-121
22/04/22HGolden State Warriors113-118
19/04/22AGolden State Warriors106-126
17/04/22AGolden State Warriors107-123
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/22HHouston Rockets109-101
25/10/22AHouston Rockets108-114
23/10/22ANew Orleans Pelicans122-121 OT
22/10/22AMinnesota Timberwolves132-126 OT
20/10/22HDenver Nuggets123-102
29/04/22HDallas Mavericks96-98
26/04/22ADallas Mavericks77-102
23/04/22HDallas Mavericks100-99
22/04/22HDallas Mavericks118-126
19/04/22ADallas Mavericks104-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game114.4116.0113.3
Allowed / game119.4108.0127.0
Point differential-5.0+8.0-13.7
Avg total233.8224.0240.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game118.8116.0120.7
Allowed / game112.8101.5120.3
Point differential+6.0+14.5+0.3
Avg total231.6217.5241.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %40%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks440100%111.0100.0+11.0
2 Cleveland Cavaliers54180%117.0105.2+11.8
3 Atlanta Hawks54180%117.6111.2+6.4
4 Utah Jazz54180%118.8112.8+6.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers54180%113.4110.4+3.0
6 Memphis Grizzlies54180%119.8121.0-1.2
7 Phoenix Suns43175%116.0104.5+11.5
8 New Orleans Pelicans43175%122.0113.2+8.8
9 Minnesota Timberwolves64267%118.0114.2+3.8
10 San Antonio Spurs64267%119.8122.0-2.2
11 New York Knicks53260%119.8114.6+5.2
12 Washington Wizards53260%112.0110.0+2.0
13 Golden State Warriors53260%120.8121.2-0.4
14 Boston Celtics53260%117.6118.6-1.0
15 Denver Nuggets53260%114.4119.4-5.0
16 Dallas Mavericks42250%120.5110.2+10.2
17 Chicago Bulls63350%113.3113.0+0.3
18 Toronto Raptors63350%104.8106.2-1.3
19 Charlotte Hornets52340%118.2116.4+1.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder52340%111.4111.4+0.0
21 Los Angeles Clippers52340%102.6108.8-6.2
22 Philadelphia 76ers62433%108.5107.5+1.0
23 Miami Heat62433%107.2109.2-2.0
24 Indiana Pacers62433%117.8121.2-3.3
25 Houston Rockets51420%109.8117.6-7.8
26 Brooklyn Nets51420%113.0121.6-8.6
27 Orlando Magic61517%105.7109.7-4.0
28 Detroit Pistons61517%109.7122.8-13.2
29 Sacramento Kings4040%113.0120.2-7.2
30 Los Angeles Lakers5050%102.2110.6-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets35282628117
Utah Jazz25252823101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.