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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 105-95
27-22 27-29 28-22 23-22
Position#9
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game102.9
vs
Position#11
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.5
Allowed / game113.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
101-94
101
94
+7
86avg 104
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
106-109
106
109
-3
100avg 104
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
107-122
107
122
-15
95avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
91-87
91
87
+4
77avg 104
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
109-89
109
89
+20
112avg 104
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
100-97
100
97
+3
93avg 104
H09/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
89avg 104
A10/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
121-125
121
125
-4
107avg 104
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
101-93
101
93
+8
95avg 104
H15/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
131-114
131
114
+17
130avg 104
A17/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
26-25
30-17
24-24
31-27
30-33
27-23
18-26
30-32
22-24
23-30
32-36
17-26
23-19
29-18
22-24
29-28
29-20
31-21
20-20
18-24
24-33
23-27
35-13
27-27
22-24
27-13
14-26
34-25
20-38
35-35
32-27
28-35
21-26
30-18
22-14
28-32
44-17
36-31
23-34
209.5Avg total
106.7Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)106.9102.9209.8+4.075%
Season at home (6)107.5103.3210.8+4.267%
Season away (6)106.3102.5208.8+3.883%
Last 10 (10)106.7102.8209.5+3.970%
Last 5 (5)110.6105.4216.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (27)108.3105.8214.1+2.559%
vs Weaker (3)106.7106.0212.7+0.767%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
116-123
116
123
-7
96avg 105
A01/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
100-129
100
129
-29
87avg 105
A03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
107-100
107
100
+7
92avg 105
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
129-112
129
112
+17
124avg 105
H07/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
117-94
117
94
+23
106avg 105
A10/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
122-116
122
116
+6
111avg 105
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
102-93
102
93
+9
88avg 105
H14/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
111-102
111
102
+9
92avg 105
H16/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
125-105
125
105
+20
107avg 105
A17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
132-108
132
108
+24
125avg 105
H19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
26-37
24-34
33-28
14-46
32-25
25-28
29-30
33-28
29-32
22-16
23-24
30-29
33-23
35-31
31-29
20-27
30-22
36-18
31-27
30-23
28-29
32-30
32-34
31-15
18-22
25-31
28-25
26-22
28-27
26-30
31-23
31-30
33-32
29-23
32-20
29-30
35-20
35-26
33-32
224.3Avg total
116.1Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)119.5113.7233.2+5.879%
Season at home (7)118.1109.6227.7+8.686%
Season away (7)120.9117.9238.7+3.071%
Last 10 (10)116.1108.2224.3+7.980%
Last 5 (5)118.4104.8223.2+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)111.0117.0228.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)110.1108.1218.2+2.061%
vs Weaker (11)129.0110.6239.6+18.491%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H09/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A10/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H15/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
72-49
72
49
+23
A17/11
NBA
106.7Avg total
52.4Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.353.0105.3-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.051.2102.2-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)53.755.1108.9-1.414%-
Last 10 (10)52.454.3106.7-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)53.256.2109.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (27)52.452.9105.2-0.537%-
vs Weaker (3)51.354.7106.0-3.333%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A01/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
46-71
46
71
-25
A03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A05/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H07/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A10/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H16/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A17/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H19/11
NBA
111.2Avg total
56.9Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.553.3111.8+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.649.4110.0+11.280%-
Last 30 away (15)56.557.2113.7-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.3111.2+2.680%-
Last 5 (5)57.850.0107.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.050.0116.0+16.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.152.7106.8+1.350%-
vs Weaker (11)65.254.5119.7+10.682%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.830.5
49.4%
52.3%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.5
34.9%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.414.2
73.2%
77.2%14.2
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.8
53.2%
52.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.815.9
34.7%
35.7%47.7
🏀 Free throws27.020.8
77.0%
77.2%20.8
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWWLLW
Houston Rockets
WWWWWWWWLL
#9
League position
#11
+3.9
Net rating
+7.4
106.0
Offensive rating
109.0
102.2
Defensive rating
101.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
34.7%
64.4%
Assist %
47.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 109.0Defence102.2 · 101.5Shooting50.3% · 52.7%3-point %34.9% · 34.7%Ball care11.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds23.5% · 21.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Denver Nuggets wins
9
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/19AMemphis Grizzlies131-114
15/11/19HBrooklyn Nets101-93
13/11/19HAtlanta Hawks121-125
10/11/19AMinnesota Timberwolves100-98 OT
09/11/19HPhiladelphia 76ers100-97
06/11/19HMiami Heat109-89
02/11/19AOrlando Magic91-87
01/11/19ANew Orleans Pelicans107-122
30/10/19HDallas Mavericks106-109
29/10/19ASacramento Kings101-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/19HPortland Trail Blazers132-108
17/11/19AMinnesota Timberwolves125-105
16/11/19HIndiana Pacers111-102
14/11/19HLos Angeles Clippers102-93
12/11/19ANew Orleans Pelicans122-116
10/11/19AChicago Bulls117-94
07/11/19HGolden State Warriors129-112
05/11/19AMemphis Grizzlies107-100
03/11/19AMiami Heat100-129
01/11/19ABrooklyn Nets116-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%67%83%
Points / game106.9107.5106.3
Allowed / game102.9103.3102.5
Point differential+4.0+4.2+3.8
Avg total209.8210.8208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %17%17%17%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game119.5118.1120.9
Allowed / game113.7109.6117.9
Point differential+5.8+8.6+3.0
Avg total233.2227.7238.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1412286%110.9101.1+9.8
2 Boston Celtics1311285%112.6104.2+8.5
3 Milwaukee Bucks1411379%119.6110.3+9.4
4 Houston Rockets1411379%119.5113.7+5.8
5 Miami Heat1310377%112.2103.7+8.5
6 Denver Nuggets129375%106.9102.9+4.0
7 Toronto Raptors1410471%113.3105.4+7.9
8 Dallas Mavericks149564%116.1109.6+6.4
9 Los Angeles Clippers149564%112.8106.6+6.2
10 Utah Jazz149564%104.4100.6+3.7
11 Philadelphia 76ers149564%109.7106.5+3.2
12 Indiana Pacers148657%107.4103.1+4.4
13 Phoenix Suns137654%115.0110.4+4.6
14 Minnesota Timberwolves158753%114.5116.3-1.9
15 Sacramento Kings136746%105.6109.0-3.4
16 Orlando Magic146843%101.9102.4-0.5
17 Brooklyn Nets146843%113.5116.6-3.1
18 Charlotte Hornets156940%104.9112.8-7.9
19 Oklahoma City Thunder145936%105.7106.2-0.5
20 New Orleans Pelicans145936%115.6118.9-3.2
21 Memphis Grizzlies145936%109.0118.4-9.4
22 Washington Wizards124833%119.7121.1-1.4
23 Chicago Bulls1551033%107.3109.8-2.5
24 San Antonio Spurs1551033%113.5116.2-2.7
25 Portland Trail Blazers1551033%111.9115.3-3.4
26 Detroit Pistons1441029%107.3112.0-4.7
27 Cleveland Cavaliers1441029%104.1109.9-5.8
28 Atlanta Hawks1441029%107.6116.9-9.3
29 New York Knicks1541127%101.9108.9-6.9
30 Golden State Warriors1631319%108.2118.9-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27272823105
Houston Rockets2229222295
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