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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 98-100 (OT)
27-27 24-22 13-27 26-14 8-10
Position#28
Record5-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game118.8
vs
Position#9
Record6-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game100.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
100-120
100
120
-20
86avg 104
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
95-99
95
99
-4
no box
A11/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
127-126 OT
127
126
+1
110avg 104
A23/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
121-99
121
99
+22
118avg 104
A25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
116-109
116
109
+7
104avg 104
H27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
95-117
95
117
-22
74avg 104
A30/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
131-109
131
109
+22
130avg 104
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
106-134
106
134
-28
85avg 104
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
121-137
121
137
-16
106avg 104
A07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
125-119 OT
125
119
+6
106avg 104
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
19-43
31-29
22-22
21-22
29-29
29-22
16-26
33-22
35-34
20-37
27-22
30-32
28-24
45-25
18-18
36-23
19-34
22-27
39-25
24-32
19-30
35-30
17-25
42-34
28-22
36-16
25-37
27-31
30-33
25-38
24-32
26-37
38-35
32-29
25-36
29-31
31-30
20-25
30-24
230.6Avg total
113.7Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)117.8118.8236.5-1.062%
Season at home (3)115.7120.7236.3-5.067%
Season away (5)119.0117.6236.6+1.460%
Last 10 (10)113.7116.9230.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)115.6123.2238.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)110.8121.3232.1-10.520%
vs Similar (12)118.3118.2236.5+0.258%
vs Weaker (3)117.0114.0231.0+3.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-119
108
119
-11
98avg 104
A10/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
96-100
96
100
-4
78avg 104
H12/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
108-100
108
100
+8
102avg 104
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
92avg 104
H26/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
101-94
101
94
+7
86avg 104
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
106-109
106
109
-3
100avg 104
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
107-122
107
122
-15
95avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
91-87
91
87
+4
77avg 104
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
109-89
109
89
+20
112avg 104
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
100-97
100
97
+3
93avg 104
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-26
20-32
26-29
28-32
29-17
19-22
24-32
24-29
24-27
30-23
19-24
35-26
15-21
24-24
25-17
31-33
21-28
26-25
30-17
24-24
31-27
30-33
27-23
18-26
30-32
22-24
23-30
32-36
17-26
23-19
29-18
22-24
29-28
29-20
31-21
20-20
18-24
24-33
23-27
35-13
205.8Avg total
103.4Scored
102.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)103.8100.6204.4+3.175%
Season at home (4)105.8100.5206.2+5.275%
Season away (4)101.8100.8202.5+1.075%
Last 10 (10)103.4102.4205.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)102.6100.8203.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (28)108.0105.6213.5+2.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)94.595.0189.5-0.550%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
47-69
47
69
-22
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A11/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A23/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A30/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H09/11
NBA
117.6Avg total
57.2Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.361.1118.4-3.827%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.264.3121.5-7.114%-
Last 30 away (16)57.458.3115.8-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)57.260.4117.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)58.863.0121.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)54.361.9116.2-7.57%-
vs Similar (12)60.261.6121.8-1.442%-
vs Weaker (3)61.055.3116.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A10/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H12/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H26/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H09/11
NBA
100.6Avg total
49.5Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.252.5104.7-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.249.4101.7+2.869%-
Last 30 away (14)52.155.9108.1-3.814%-
Last 10 (10)49.551.1100.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)50.653.2103.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (28)51.952.5104.4-0.639%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)56.551.5108.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.928.6
51.2%
52.3%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.812.9
32.4%
35.7%38.7
🏀 Free throws23.417.6
75.2%
77.2%17.6
They take 95.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 103.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.527.5
46.2%
52.3%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.4
33.9%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.620.2
78.9%
77.2%20.2
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWLWWWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWWWLL
#28
League position
#9
-3.1
Net rating
+1.0
102.8
Offensive rating
104.0
105.9
Defensive rating
103.0
50.1%
Effective FG%
47.7%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
13.6%
Turnover %
12.1%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.4%
3-point %
33.9%
58.1%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 104.0Defence105.9 · 103.0Shooting50.1% · 47.7%3-point %32.4% · 33.9%Ball care13.6% · 12.1%Off. rebounds21.0% · 23.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/19HGolden State Warriors125-119 OT
07/11/19AMemphis Grizzlies121-137
05/11/19HMilwaukee Bucks106-134
03/11/19AWashington Wizards131-109
30/10/19APhiladelphia 76ers95-117
27/10/19HMiami Heat116-109
25/10/19ACharlotte Hornets121-99
23/10/19ABrooklyn Nets127-126 OT
11/04/19ADenver Nuggets95-99
10/04/19HToronto Raptors100-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/19HPhiladelphia 76ers100-97
06/11/19HMiami Heat109-89
02/11/19AOrlando Magic91-87
01/11/19ANew Orleans Pelicans107-122
30/10/19HDallas Mavericks106-109
29/10/19ASacramento Kings101-94
26/10/19HPhoenix Suns108-107 OT
24/10/19APortland Trail Blazers108-100
12/05/19HPortland Trail Blazers96-100
10/05/19APortland Trail Blazers108-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW62%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game117.8115.7119.0
Allowed / game118.8120.7117.6
Point differential-1.0-5.0+1.4
Avg total236.5236.3236.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%33%20%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game103.8105.8101.8
Allowed / game100.6100.5100.8
Point differential+3.1+5.2+1.0
Avg total204.4206.2202.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers87188%109.098.5+10.5
2 Boston Celtics87188%113.1103.8+9.4
3 Toronto Raptors86275%115.5108.1+7.4
4 Denver Nuggets86275%103.8100.6+3.1
5 Milwaukee Bucks96367%119.8111.0+8.8
6 Miami Heat96367%111.1105.4+5.7
7 Dallas Mavericks96367%116.3111.9+4.4
8 Los Angeles Clippers96367%113.4109.0+4.4
9 Utah Jazz96367%101.097.0+4.0
10 Houston Rockets96367%120.1118.7+1.4
11 Phoenix Suns85362%114.1108.6+5.5
12 Philadelphia 76ers85362%110.6106.2+4.4
13 Minnesota Timberwolves85362%117.8118.8-1.0
14 Indiana Pacers95456%109.3106.3+3.0
15 San Antonio Spurs95456%112.6112.7-0.1
16 Brooklyn Nets84450%120.8119.6+1.1
17 Oklahoma City Thunder94544%106.0103.8+2.2
18 Charlotte Hornets94544%105.8113.1-7.3
19 Detroit Pistons104640%108.5111.3-2.8
20 Atlanta Hawks83538%103.4107.0-3.6
21 Cleveland Cavaliers83538%107.0110.6-3.6
22 Orlando Magic93633%97.798.2-0.6
23 Portland Trail Blazers93633%113.0114.8-1.8
24 Sacramento Kings93633%105.4111.6-6.1
25 Chicago Bulls103730%105.4110.0-4.6
26 Washington Wizards82625%113.4117.5-4.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans92722%117.1122.4-5.3
28 New York Knicks92722%100.6109.4-8.9
29 Memphis Grizzlies92722%108.7120.1-11.4
30 Golden State Warriors102820%112.1121.1-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minnesota Timberwolves27241326898
Denver Nuggets2722271410100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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