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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 116-104
28-28 24-29 27-20 37-27
Position#9
Record11-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game101.6
vs
Position#14
Record8-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
107-122
107
122
-15
95avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
91-87
91
87
+4
77avg 104
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
109-89
109
89
+20
112avg 104
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
100-97
100
97
+3
93avg 104
H09/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
89avg 104
A10/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
121-125
121
125
-4
107avg 104
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
101-93
101
93
+8
95avg 104
H15/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
131-114
131
114
+17
130avg 104
A17/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 104
H21/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
90avg 104
H23/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-32
22-24
23-30
32-36
17-26
23-19
29-18
22-24
29-28
29-20
31-21
20-20
18-24
24-33
23-27
35-13
27-27
22-24
27-13
14-26
34-25
20-38
35-35
32-27
28-35
21-26
30-18
22-14
28-32
44-17
36-31
23-34
27-22
27-29
28-22
23-22
27-13
18-21
25-23
26-35
207.3Avg total
106.1Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)106.0101.6207.6+4.479%
Season at home (8)105.8100.9206.6+4.975%
Season away (6)106.3102.5208.8+3.883%
Last 10 (10)106.1101.2207.3+4.980%
Last 5 (5)110.8103.8214.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.092.0188.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (26)107.8104.9212.7+2.962%
vs Weaker (3)106.7106.0212.7+0.767%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
114-105
114
105
+9
103avg 100
A03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
114-109
114
109
+5
111avg 100
H05/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
108-124
108
124
-16
96avg 100
H08/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
138-112
138
112
+26
135avg 100
H11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
115-123
115
123
-8
109avg 100
H13/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
128-112
128
112
+16
124avg 100
H15/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
85-99
85
99
-14
78avg 100
H19/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
116-120
116
120
-4
103avg 100
A20/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
121-124
121
124
-3
114avg 100
H22/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
100-98
100
98
+2
89avg 100
A23/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
14-23
37-22
32-36
29-31
26-30
26-21
33-27
30-31
27-33
29-29
22-31
37-30
31-20
38-30
32-32
29-26
29-34
34-35
23-28
31-33
36-28
37-29
24-22
22-26
20-31
23-23
20-19
19-33
26-29
30-25
41-33
33-38
33-21
28-36
27-29
30-23
22-22
30-28
18-25
226.5Avg total
113.9Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)114.4110.5224.9+3.953%
Season at home (10)115.8111.6227.4+4.250%
Season away (5)111.6108.2219.8+3.460%
Last 10 (10)113.9112.6226.5+1.350%
Last 5 (5)110.0110.6220.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)110.2120.3230.5-10.125%
vs Similar ◀ (11)114.5111.1225.6+3.545%
vs Weaker (3)116.3106.7223.0+9.7100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H09/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A10/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H15/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
72-49
72
49
+23
A17/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H21/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H23/11
NBA
103.0Avg total
51.5Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.152.2104.3-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)50.550.2100.8+0.359%-
Last 30 away (13)54.154.8108.8-0.715%-
Last 10 (10)51.551.5103.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)54.851.6106.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.034.079.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (26)52.452.6105.0-0.238%-
vs Weaker (3)51.354.7106.0-3.333%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H05/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H08/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H13/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H15/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H19/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A20/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H22/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A23/11
NBA
112.1Avg total
55.5Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.556.7111.2-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.557.6114.1-1.133%-
Last 30 away (12)51.655.4107.0-3.850%-
Last 10 (10)55.556.6112.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)54.456.8111.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)53.659.6113.2-6.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)53.554.1107.5-0.636%-
vs Weaker (3)63.750.7114.3+13.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.431.4
50.3%
52.3%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.0
34.7%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.813.3
70.7%
77.2%13.3
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.627.1
51.5%
52.3%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.113.1
37.3%
35.7%39.3
🏀 Free throws25.220.4
81.0%
77.2%20.4
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWWWWL
Phoenix Suns
WLLLWLWLWW
#9
League position
#14
+4.8
Net rating
+1.2
104.6
Offensive rating
108.7
99.8
Defensive rating
107.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
17.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.7%
3-point %
37.3%
66.2%
Assist %
66.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 108.7Defence99.8 · 107.4Shooting50.9% · 53.3%3-point %34.7% · 37.3%Ball care12.6% · 13.2%Off. rebounds22.1% · 17.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/19HBoston Celtics96-92
21/11/19HHouston Rockets105-95
17/11/19AMemphis Grizzlies131-114
15/11/19HBrooklyn Nets101-93
13/11/19HAtlanta Hawks121-125
10/11/19AMinnesota Timberwolves100-98 OT
09/11/19HPhiladelphia 76ers100-97
06/11/19HMiami Heat109-89
02/11/19AOrlando Magic91-87
01/11/19ANew Orleans Pelicans107-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/19AMinnesota Timberwolves100-98
22/11/19HNew Orleans Pelicans121-124
20/11/19ASacramento Kings116-120
19/11/19HBoston Celtics85-99
15/11/19HAtlanta Hawks128-112
13/11/19HLos Angeles Lakers115-123
11/11/19HBrooklyn Nets138-112
08/11/19HMiami Heat108-124
05/11/19HPhiladelphia 76ers114-109
03/11/19AMemphis Grizzlies114-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%75%83%
Points / game106.0105.8106.3
Allowed / game101.6100.9102.5
Point differential+4.4+4.9+3.8
Avg total207.6206.6208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %14%12%17%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %53%50%60%
Points / game114.4115.8111.6
Allowed / game110.5111.6108.2
Point differential+3.9+4.2+3.4
Avg total224.9227.4219.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1614288%111.9103.1+8.8
2 Milwaukee Bucks1613381%119.8110.2+9.6
3 Denver Nuggets1411379%106.0101.6+4.4
4 Toronto Raptors1511473%113.7106.1+7.5
5 Boston Celtics1511473%110.7103.8+6.9
6 Miami Heat1511473%110.7104.6+6.1
7 Dallas Mavericks1611569%119.1109.9+9.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers1611569%113.0107.2+5.8
9 Philadelphia 76ers1611569%110.2105.1+5.2
10 Utah Jazz1611569%106.4102.4+4.0
11 Houston Rockets1711665%118.2115.1+3.2
12 Indiana Pacers159660%107.7103.3+4.4
13 Phoenix Suns158753%114.4110.5+3.9
14 Brooklyn Nets168850%113.0114.4-1.4
15 Minnesota Timberwolves168850%113.4115.3-1.9
16 Sacramento Kings157847%105.5109.3-3.7
17 Orlando Magic156940%102.1102.9-0.8
18 New Orleans Pelicans1661038%116.4119.6-3.1
19 Washington Wizards145936%119.1120.3-1.2
20 Chicago Bulls1761135%107.9110.5-2.6
21 San Antonio Spurs1761135%112.8115.4-2.6
22 Charlotte Hornets1761135%106.3113.7-7.4
23 Oklahoma City Thunder1551033%107.1107.8-0.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies1551033%108.9117.8-8.9
25 Detroit Pistons1651131%107.5110.9-3.4
26 Cleveland Cavaliers1651131%104.3111.6-7.3
27 Portland Trail Blazers1751229%112.5116.3-3.8
28 Atlanta Hawks1641225%107.8117.7-9.9
29 New York Knicks1741324%102.0108.6-6.6
30 Golden State Warriors1731418%108.2118.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28242737116
Phoenix Suns28292027104
← all games of the day
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