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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 109-89
29-28 29-20 31-21 20-20
Position#9
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game103.2
vs
Position#7
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat
14 Mar 2027
DEN v MIA
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
DEN122
MIA112
08 Nov 2024
DEN135
MIA122
29 Feb 2024
DEN103
MIA97
12 Jun 2023
DEN94
MIA89
04 Jun 2023
DEN108
MIA111
01 Jun 2023
DEN104
MIA93
30 Dec 2022
DEN124
MIA119
08 Nov 2021
DEN113
MIA96
14 Apr 2021
DEN123
MIA106
01 Aug 2020
DEN105
MIA125
05 Nov 2019
DEN109
MIA89
11 Feb 2019
DEN103
MIA87
03 Nov 2017
DEN95
MIA94
30 Nov 2016
DEN98
MIA106
15 Jan 2016
DEN95
MIA98
10 Dec 2014
DEN102
MIA82
30 Dec 2013
DEN94
MIA97
15 Nov 2012
DEN93
MIA98
13 Jan 2012
DEN117
MIA104
13 Jan 2011
DEN130
MIA102
03 Dec 2009
DEN114
MIA96
07 Jan 2009
DEN108
MIA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
116-112
116
112
+4
104avg 104
A05/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
124-98
124
98
+26
127avg 104
H08/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-119
108
119
-11
98avg 104
A10/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
96-100
96
100
-4
78avg 104
H12/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
108-100
108
100
+8
102avg 104
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
92avg 104
H26/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
101-94
101
94
+7
86avg 104
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
106-109
106
109
-3
100avg 104
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
107-122
107
122
-15
95avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
91-87
91
87
+4
77avg 104
A02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
28-30
27-14
32-35
31-25
34-22
28-18
31-33
34-26
20-32
26-29
28-32
29-17
19-22
24-32
24-29
24-27
30-23
19-24
35-26
15-21
24-24
25-17
31-33
21-28
26-25
30-17
24-24
31-27
30-33
27-23
18-26
30-32
22-24
23-30
32-36
17-26
23-19
29-18
22-24
211.3Avg total
106.5Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)103.5103.2206.7+0.367%
Season at home (2)107.0108.0215.0-1.050%
Season away (4)101.8100.8202.5+1.075%
Last 10 (10)106.5104.8211.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)102.6103.8206.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (27)107.4106.7214.1+0.652%
vs Weaker (3)94.794.0188.7+0.767%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
109-111
109
111
-2
no box
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
100avg 99
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
122-99
122
99
+23
119avg 99
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A11/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
120-101
120
101
+19
112avg 99
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
131-126 OT
131
126
+5
124avg 99
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
L
109-116
109
116
-7
102avg 99
A27/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
112-97
112
97
+15
107avg 99
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
106-97
106
97
+9
101avg 99
A31/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
129-100
129
100
+29
133avg 99
H03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-36
34-25
22-29
18-21
26-25
31-25
22-28
24-25
34-20
27-22
30-18
31-39
23-32
24-31
24-29
23-21
24-32
30-28
29-24
37-17
29-33
24-37
29-23
39-28
23-36
34-19
27-22
25-39
29-26
30-23
29-21
24-27
30-26
22-20
33-29
21-22
46-14
25-32
28-25
30-29
221.8Avg total
114.1Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)117.8106.2224.0+11.783%
Season at home (3)120.399.3219.7+21.0100%
Season away (3)115.3113.0228.3+2.367%
Last 10 (10)114.1107.7221.8+6.460%
Last 5 (5)117.4107.2224.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)108.9118.3227.2-9.422%
vs Similar ◀ (14)109.097.7206.7+11.379%
vs Weaker (7)112.6107.0219.6+5.671%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
Denver NuggetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A05/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H08/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A10/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H12/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H26/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A29/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/11
NBA
103.3Avg total
51.7Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.552.3104.9+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.548.3101.8+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)51.656.3107.9-4.713%-
Last 10 (10)51.751.6103.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.851.899.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (27)51.752.9104.6-1.137%-
vs Weaker (3)59.747.3107.0+12.3100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A06/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H09/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A11/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A27/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A31/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H03/11
NBA
112.2Avg total
58.0Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.153.5109.6+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.051.4108.4+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)55.155.9111.1-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)58.054.2112.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)58.453.2111.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)57.357.9115.2-0.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.650.2104.8+4.457%-
vs Weaker (7)57.754.4112.1+3.357%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.927.4
45.7%
52.3%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.5
33.8%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws28.223.2
82.3%
77.2%23.2
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.728.9
52.8%
52.3%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.312.7
37.0%
35.7%38.1
🏀 Free throws24.517.8
72.7%
77.2%17.8
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWLLWW
Miami Heat
WWWLWWLWLL
#9
League position
#7
+1.7
Net rating
+5.5
107.2
Offensive rating
105.0
105.5
Defensive rating
99.5
47.3%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
10.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.8%
3-point %
37.0%
57.2%
Assist %
63.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 105.0Defence105.5 · 99.5Shooting47.3% · 53.9%3-point %33.8% · 37.0%Ball care10.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds25.4% · 20.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/19AOrlando Magic91-87
01/11/19ANew Orleans Pelicans107-122
30/10/19HDallas Mavericks106-109
29/10/19ASacramento Kings101-94
26/10/19HPhoenix Suns108-107 OT
24/10/19APortland Trail Blazers108-100
12/05/19HPortland Trail Blazers96-100
10/05/19APortland Trail Blazers108-119
08/05/19HPortland Trail Blazers124-98
05/05/19APortland Trail Blazers116-112
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/19HHouston Rockets129-100
31/10/19AAtlanta Hawks106-97
29/10/19HAtlanta Hawks112-97
27/10/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-116
26/10/19AMilwaukee Bucks131-126 OT
23/10/19HMemphis Grizzlies120-101
11/04/19ABrooklyn Nets94-113
09/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers122-99
07/04/19AToronto Raptors109-117 OT
06/04/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game103.5107.0101.8
Allowed / game103.2108.0100.8
Point differential+0.3-1.0+1.0
Avg total206.7215.0202.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%50%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game117.8120.3115.3
Allowed / game106.299.3113.0
Point differential+11.7+21.0+2.3
Avg total224.0219.7228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers76186%111.0101.1+9.9
2 Miami Heat65183%117.8106.2+11.7
3 Philadelphia 76ers65183%114.0107.3+6.7
4 Boston Celtics65183%110.3104.7+5.7
5 Milwaukee Bucks75271%121.3110.3+11.0
6 Phoenix Suns75271%115.0106.4+8.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers75271%112.9107.3+5.6
8 Toronto Raptors64267%113.0106.8+6.2
9 Dallas Mavericks64267%116.7112.2+4.5
10 Denver Nuggets64267%103.5103.2+0.3
11 Minnesota Timberwolves64267%116.0115.7+0.3
12 Utah Jazz74357%100.095.6+4.4
13 San Antonio Spurs74357%111.0109.6+1.4
14 Houston Rockets74357%119.3123.1-3.9
15 Charlotte Hornets74357%107.9113.6-5.7
16 Atlanta Hawks63350%104.2103.7+0.5
17 Oklahoma City Thunder73443%104.0100.7+3.3
18 Indiana Pacers73443%107.3106.4+0.9
19 Brooklyn Nets73443%121.0120.3+0.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers73443%114.4115.3-0.9
21 Detroit Pistons83538%107.1112.4-5.2
22 Washington Wizards62433%116.8117.7-0.8
23 Orlando Magic72529%93.698.7-5.1
24 Cleveland Cavaliers72529%106.1112.1-6.0
25 Golden State Warriors72529%111.7120.4-8.7
26 Sacramento Kings72529%101.1110.1-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls82625%105.9111.2-5.4
28 Memphis Grizzlies61517%105.5117.3-11.8
29 New Orleans Pelicans71614%119.3124.3-5.0
30 New York Knicks71614%99.6108.7-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29293120109
Miami Heat2820212089
← all games of the day
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