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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 105-100
19-28 28-23 26-21 32-28
Position#2
Record32-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game112.9
vs
Position#3
Record33-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Paycom Center (Oklahoma)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
112-100
112
100
+12
101avg 111
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
105-112
105
112
-7
90avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
117-128
117
128
-11
113avg 111
A17/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
134-129
134
129
+5
136avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
102-97
102
97
+5
89avg 111
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
111-109
111
109
+2
100avg 111
H24/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
140-114
140
114
+26
142avg 111
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
107-83
107
83
+24
100avg 111
A27/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
104-120
104
120
-16
89avg 111
A28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
101-107
101
107
-6
91avg 111
H30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
26-19
37-33
26-27
26-27
24-23
26-34
29-28
30-35
31-30
28-34
28-29
39-27
37-40
22-28
36-34
30-24
27-30
17-29
28-14
38-28
20-38
30-20
23-23
35-28
28-24
37-24
40-38
22-24
28-17
27-23
30-19
31-24
30-46
25-30
18-20
28-29
19-20
30-24
24-34
223.2Avg total
113.3Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)120.8112.9233.7+7.968%
Season at home (23)122.9113.1236.0+9.874%
Season away (24)118.7112.8231.5+6.062%
Last 10 (10)113.3109.9223.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)112.6106.6219.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)116.5105.8222.2+10.888%
vs Weaker (22)124.0117.0241.0+7.064%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
L
111-124
111
124
-13
103avg 110
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
125avg 110
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
117-109
117
109
+8
124avg 110
H14/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
121-126
121
126
-5
113avg 110
A17/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
102-100
102
100
+2
98avg 110
A20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
113-104
113
104
+9
110avg 110
A21/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
114-109
114
109
+5
106avg 110
A24/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
84-122
84
122
-38
72avg 110
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
111-105
111
105
+6
102avg 110
H27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
113-107
113
107
+6
110avg 110
H30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-35
29-36
25-28
33-25
37-25
29-26
34-29
25-33
28-28
32-29
29-27
28-25
38-36
40-42
26-21
17-27
31-32
24-29
26-21
21-18
33-24
29-28
27-26
24-26
28-29
26-33
39-19
21-28
21-33
20-29
25-36
18-24
31-27
33-35
22-26
25-17
25-26
31-30
26-19
31-32
223.0Avg total
111.1Scored
111.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)115.0110.9226.0+4.169%
Season at home (23)119.8110.2230.0+9.683%
Season away (25)110.6111.6222.2-0.956%
Last 10 (10)111.1111.9223.0-0.870%
Last 5 (5)107.0109.4216.4-2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0100.0202.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)115.2115.4230.6-0.356%
vs Weaker (11)119.3107.7227.0+11.591%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A17/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H24/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A25/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A27/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H30/01
NBA
112.6Avg total
57.2Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.258.1118.2+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.956.3118.1+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)58.759.6118.3-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)57.255.4112.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.6111.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)56.953.6110.5+3.262%-
vs Weaker (22)61.459.7121.0+1.750%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H14/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
D
78-78
78
78
+0
A17/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A21/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A24/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H30/01
NBA
120.1Avg total
58.9Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.357.3116.5+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.553.7113.2+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)59.060.9119.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)58.961.2120.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)55.458.8114.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.061.0116.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)60.159.2119.3+0.950%-
vs Weaker (11)58.353.8112.1+4.564%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.030.5
55.5%
54.4%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.8
35.3%
36.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.716.9
81.6%
78.2%16.9
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.332.4
57.5%
54.4%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.8
34.8%
36.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
78.2%16.9
They take 84.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWWWWWLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#3
+3.4
Net rating
-0.8
114.1
Offensive rating
115.2
110.7
Defensive rating
116.0
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.7%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
11.5%
Turnover %
13.3%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.3%
3-point %
34.8%
59.6%
Assist %
60.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 115.2Defence110.7 · 116.0Shooting54.5% · 55.7%3-point %35.3% · 34.8%Ball care11.5% · 13.3%Off. rebounds23.1% · 26.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves101-107
28/01/24ADetroit Pistons104-120
27/01/24ANew Orleans Pelicans107-83
25/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs140-114
24/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers111-109
21/01/24AMinnesota Timberwolves102-97
19/01/24AUtah Jazz134-129
17/01/24ALos Angeles Clippers117-128
16/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers105-112
14/01/24HOrlando Magic112-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24HMilwaukee Bucks113-107
27/01/24HPhiladelphia 76ers111-105
26/01/24ANew York Knicks84-122
24/01/24AIndiana Pacers114-109
21/01/24AWashington Wizards113-104
20/01/24ABoston Celtics102-100
17/01/24APhiladelphia 76ers121-126
14/01/24HIndiana Pacers117-109
13/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans125-113
11/01/24AUtah Jazz111-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeWWWWL74%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %68%74%62%
Points / game120.8122.9118.7
Allowed / game112.9113.1112.8
Point differential+7.9+9.8+6.0
Avg total233.7236.0231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%48%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %69%83%56%
Points / game115.0119.8110.6
Allowed / game110.9110.2111.6
Point differential+4.1+9.6-0.9
Avg total226.0230.0222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%52%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (4)60% (10)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics47371079%120.6110.8+9.8
2 Minnesota Timberwolves47331470%112.9107.4+5.5
3 Milwaukee Bucks45311469%123.7119.7+3.9
4 Denver Nuggets48331569%115.0110.9+4.1
5 Oklahoma City Thunder47321568%120.8112.9+7.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers46311567%118.1111.7+6.3
7 New York Knicks47311666%115.2108.5+6.7
8 Cleveland Cavaliers45291664%114.4110.0+4.4
9 Philadelphia 76ers46291763%118.9112.6+6.3
10 Sacramento Kings45271860%118.1117.2+0.9
11 Phoenix Suns46271959%116.7114.4+2.3
12 New Orleans Pelicans45252056%117.0112.6+4.4
13 Dallas Mavericks47262155%118.9118.6+0.3
14 Indiana Pacers46252154%124.8123.2+1.6
15 Miami Heat48252352%110.5111.6-1.1
16 Orlando Magic47242351%111.7111.2+0.5
17 Utah Jazz49242549%117.5119.8-2.3
18 Houston Rockets46222448%113.7112.5+1.2
19 Chicago Bulls49232647%111.0112.4-1.4
20 Los Angeles Lakers47222547%116.0118.5-2.5
21 Golden State Warriors44202445%118.6118.8-0.2
22 Atlanta Hawks47202743%120.6123.3-2.7
23 Brooklyn Nets46192741%114.0114.9-0.8
24 Memphis Grizzlies47182938%107.5112.6-5.1
25 Toronto Raptors47173036%114.5116.6-2.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers47143330%108.3116.7-8.4
27 Charlotte Hornets46103622%108.6120.3-11.7
28 San Antonio Spurs47103721%112.9121.4-8.5
29 Washington Wizards4793819%115.0124.0-9.0
30 Detroit Pistons4764113%112.6122.3-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder19282632105
Denver Nuggets28232128100
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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