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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 102-110
33-31 26-25 15-31 28-23
Position#29
Record9-38
FormLLWWL
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game124.0
vs
Position#18
Record25-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game111.6
USANBA· Capital One Arena (Washington)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
127-99
127
99
+28
125avg 107
A14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
117-129
117
129
-12
105avg 107
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
109-113
109
113
-4
105avg 107
A19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
127-131
127
131
-4
116avg 107
H21/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
104-113
104
113
-9
96avg 107
H21/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
107-118
107
118
-11
112avg 107
H25/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
108-123
108
123
-15
102avg 107
H26/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
118-104
118
104
+14
108avg 107
A27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
118-113
118
113
+5
118avg 107
A30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
109-125
109
125
-16
93avg 107
H01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
28-22
41-24
28-28
22-29
40-34
25-31
30-35
22-22
23-24
27-27
37-40
36-37
30-35
34-28
27-31
24-33
28-29
26-27
26-24
24-30
35-27
19-33
29-28
29-36
27-28
22-34
30-25
36-33
25-30
26-22
31-19
25-35
29-23
33-35
31-20
35-37
25-29
19-40
30-19
231.2Avg total
114.4Scored
116.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)115.0124.0239.0-9.019%
Season at home (22)115.3125.9241.2-10.514%
Season away (25)114.8122.4237.1-7.624%
Last 10 (10)114.4116.8231.2-2.430%
Last 5 (5)112.0116.6228.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)113.8124.8238.6-10.912%
vs Similar (6)116.7121.0237.7-4.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
104-87
104
87
+17
103avg 102
H14/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
90avg 102
A16/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
97-121
97
121
-24
84avg 102
A18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
108-109
108
109
-1
102avg 102
H20/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
87-105
87
105
-18
75avg 102
A21/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
96-105
96
105
-9
86avg 102
H25/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
110-143
110
143
-33
93avg 102
H26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
109-125
109
125
-16
100avg 102
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
105-118
105
118
-13
95avg 102
H30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
115-106
115
106
+9
122avg 102
H01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
26-15
25-30
27-26
16-22
15-23
37-24
20-19
18-41
25-37
30-16
24-27
24-32
32-25
27-24
25-28
19-22
27-26
23-33
18-24
22-21
20-28
26-33
28-23
29-42
35-35
26-36
20-30
30-27
21-34
35-28
23-36
25-33
24-29
25-38
31-18
28-22
31-33
31-29
25-22
214.1Avg total
102.7Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)110.5111.6222.0-1.152%
Season at home (24)113.7114.7228.3-1.054%
Season away (24)107.2108.5215.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)102.7111.4214.1-8.730%
Last 5 (5)107.0119.4226.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.7127.7240.3-15.00%
vs Similar (20)111.2112.9224.1-1.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)107.0107.3214.3-0.357%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H21/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H21/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H25/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H26/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A27/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A30/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H01/02
NBA
117.1Avg total
57.3Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.560.5117.0-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.463.3121.7-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)54.757.7112.3-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)57.359.8117.1-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)58.061.6119.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)55.760.2115.9-4.533%-
vs Similar (6)60.061.5121.5-1.517%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H14/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
43-78
43
78
-35
A18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H20/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A21/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H25/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H26/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H01/02
NBA
105.6Avg total
49.3Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.256.5112.7-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.257.0115.2+1.250%-
Last 30 away (12)53.255.8109.0-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)49.356.3105.6-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)53.060.8113.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.365.3131.7+1.067%-
vs Similar (20)56.056.3112.2-0.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)52.753.3106.0-0.643%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.233.2
53.4%
54.4%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.4
34.4%
36.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.316.8
78.9%
78.2%16.8
They take 92.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.325.6
48.9%
54.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.7
35.6%
36.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.516.4
84.1%
78.2%16.4
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LWWLLLLLLW
Miami Heat
WLLLLLLLWW
#29
League position
#18
-2.3
Net rating
-9.0
110.1
Offensive rating
106.2
112.5
Defensive rating
115.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.2%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.4%
3-point %
35.6%
67.2%
Assist %
66.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 106.2Defence112.5 · 115.2Shooting52.8% · 50.6%3-point %34.4% · 35.6%Ball care12.3% · 12.2%Off. rebounds23.6% · 20.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Washington Wizards wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24HLos Angeles Clippers109-125
30/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs118-113
27/01/24ADetroit Pistons118-104
26/01/24HUtah Jazz108-123
25/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves107-118
21/01/24HDenver Nuggets104-113
21/01/24HSan Antonio Spurs127-131
19/01/24ANew York Knicks109-113
15/01/24HDetroit Pistons117-129
14/01/24AAtlanta Hawks127-99
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24HSacramento Kings115-106
30/01/24HPhoenix Suns105-118
27/01/24ANew York Knicks109-125
26/01/24HBoston Celtics110-143
25/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies96-105
21/01/24AOrlando Magic87-105
20/01/24HAtlanta Hawks108-109
18/01/24AToronto Raptors97-121
16/01/24ABrooklyn Nets96-95 OT
14/01/24HCharlotte Hornets104-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL19%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLWLWW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472225
Win %19%14%24%
Points / game115.0115.3114.8
Allowed / game124.0125.9122.4
Point differential-9.0-10.5-7.6
Avg total239.0241.2237.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%5%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)0% (3)25% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW52%
HomeLLLLW54%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game110.5113.7107.2
Allowed / game111.6114.7108.5
Point differential-1.1-1.0-1.2
Avg total222.0228.3215.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)57% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics48371177%120.2110.8+9.4
2 Minnesota Timberwolves48341471%113.1107.0+6.1
3 Oklahoma City Thunder48331569%120.4112.6+7.8
4 Los Angeles Clippers46311567%118.1111.7+6.3
5 Milwaukee Bucks46311567%123.5119.7+3.8
6 Denver Nuggets49331667%114.7110.8+3.9
7 New York Knicks48321667%115.1108.4+6.7
8 Cleveland Cavaliers46301665%114.3109.8+4.4
9 Philadelphia 76ers47301764%119.1112.8+6.3
10 Sacramento Kings45271860%118.1117.2+0.9
11 Phoenix Suns47281960%117.1114.5+2.6
12 New Orleans Pelicans46262057%116.9112.3+4.5
13 Dallas Mavericks48262254%118.2118.6-0.4
14 Indiana Pacers47252253%124.4122.9+1.4
15 Orlando Magic48252352%111.6110.9+0.7
16 Miami Heat48252352%110.5111.6-1.1
17 Utah Jazz50242648%117.6120.0-2.3
18 Los Angeles Lakers48232548%116.0118.2-2.2
19 Chicago Bulls49232647%111.0112.4-1.4
20 Houston Rockets47222547%113.4112.5+1.0
21 Golden State Warriors44202445%118.6118.8-0.2
22 Atlanta Hawks47202743%120.6123.3-2.7
23 Brooklyn Nets47192840%114.2115.3-1.1
24 Memphis Grizzlies48183038%107.4112.5-5.1
25 Toronto Raptors47173036%114.5116.6-2.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers48153331%108.5116.7-8.2
27 Charlotte Hornets46103622%108.6120.3-11.7
28 San Antonio Spurs48103821%112.6121.1-8.5
29 Washington Wizards4793819%115.0124.0-9.0
30 Detroit Pistons4764113%112.6122.3-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards33261528102
Miami Heat31253123110
← all games of the day
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