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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 129-102
26-20 34-28 43-28 26-26
Position#16
Record35-31
FormLWWLW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game102.2
vs
Position#18
Record38-28
FormLLLWW
Points / game107.2
Allowed / game105.4
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
112-115
112
115
-3
110avg 94
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
102-104
102
104
-2
90avg 94
A15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
L
123-124 OT
123
124
-1
111avg 94
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
115-89
115
89
+26
111avg 94
H25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
88avg 94
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
113-131
113
131
-18
99avg 94
H02/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
105-96
105
96
+9
95avg 94
H04/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
125-103
125
103
+22
126avg 94
H06/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
113-117 OT
113
117
-4
100avg 94
A07/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
108-99
108
99
+9
102avg 94
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
31-29
26-41
31-17
29-20
33-19
19-34
21-31
27-22
32-35
30-27
19-24
34-31
26-21
32-18
23-19
17-24
28-24
28-27
29-26
36-33
26-40
32-31
19-27
27-28
32-18
15-24
31-26
30-27
31-21
32-32
32-23
26-31
24-28
30-27
25-19
29-28
24-21
20-25
35-25
219.7Avg total
111.8Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)102.0102.2204.2-0.153%
Season at home (32)102.3101.9204.2+0.359%
Season away (34)101.8102.4204.1-0.647%
Last 10 (10)111.8107.9219.7+3.950%
Last 5 (5)112.8109.2222.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)100.2102.4202.6-2.138%
vs Similar ◀ (17)104.1102.1206.2+2.165%
vs Weaker (5)109.6102.2211.8+7.440%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#22
W
118-113
118
113
+5
118avg 100
A15/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
110-103
110
103
+7
105avg 100
A23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
105-122
105
122
-17
99avg 100
H24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
109-94
109
94
+15
119avg 100
H26/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
107-104
107
104
+3
101avg 100
A28/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
101-109
101
109
-8
94avg 100
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
95-102
95
102
-7
92avg 100
H03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
95-98
95
98
-3
85avg 100
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
117-113 OT
117
113
+4
113avg 100
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
W
116-97
116
97
+19
114avg 100
A10/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-39
25-33
39-15
28-26
22-31
35-23
25-25
28-24
26-36
29-31
27-27
23-28
30-28
37-20
20-25
22-21
40-22
24-28
20-31
23-23
21-36
35-22
14-27
31-24
27-19
20-32
27-26
21-25
20-30
25-25
20-25
30-18
31-26
28-24
27-30
19-25
22-19
31-19
30-24
33-35
212.8Avg total
107.3Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)107.2105.4212.7+1.858%
Season at home (33)109.0105.7214.7+3.458%
Season away (33)105.5105.2210.6+0.358%
Last 10 (10)107.3105.5212.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)104.8103.8208.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)105.8107.8213.6-2.040%
vs Similar ◀ (18)107.0108.1215.1-1.150%
vs Weaker (7)115.0104.9219.9+10.1100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H02/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H04/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H06/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A07/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H09/03
NBA
109.4Avg total
56.6Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.850.4103.2+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.150.9104.1+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)52.549.9102.3+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)56.652.8109.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.055.0112.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)51.849.0100.8+2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.650.5103.1+2.165%-
vs Weaker (5)55.252.2107.4+3.060%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#22
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A15/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H26/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A28/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#7
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A10/03
NBA
109.7Avg total
55.4Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.754.0108.7+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.654.6110.2+0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)53.853.3107.1+0.557%-
Last 10 (10)55.454.3109.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)52.050.4102.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)56.056.8112.8-0.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)52.754.6107.3-1.944%-
vs Weaker (7)59.150.4109.6+8.786%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.531.2
51.6%
51.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.6
36.7%
36.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws24.117.6
73.0%
76.5%17.6
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.131.0
51.6%
51.0%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.0
39.2%
36.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.815.3
81.4%
76.5%15.3
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWLWWLLL
Washington Wizards
WWLLLWWLWW
#16
League position
#18
+3.8
Net rating
+1.8
109.8
Offensive rating
109.4
105.9
Defensive rating
107.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
14.5%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.7%
3-point %
39.2%
58.9%
Assist %
68.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 109.4Defence105.9 · 107.6Shooting52.7% · 53.7%3-point %36.7% · 39.2%Ball care12.5% · 14.5%Off. rebounds25.6% · 25.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/18HPhiladelphia 76ers108-99
07/03/18AWashington Wizards113-117 OT
06/03/18HPhoenix Suns125-103
04/03/18HDetroit Pistons105-96
02/03/18HLos Angeles Lakers113-131
28/02/18HPhiladelphia 76ers102-101
25/02/18HMemphis Grizzlies115-89
24/02/18ANew Orleans Pelicans123-124 OT
15/02/18APhiladelphia 76ers102-104
14/02/18AToronto Raptors112-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/18ANew Orleans Pelicans116-97
07/03/18HMiami Heat117-113 OT
04/03/18HIndiana Pacers95-98
03/03/18HToronto Raptors95-102
01/03/18HGolden State Warriors101-109
28/02/18AMilwaukee Bucks107-104
26/02/18HPhiladelphia 76ers109-94
24/02/18HCharlotte Hornets105-122
23/02/18ACleveland Cavaliers110-103
15/02/18ANew York Knicks118-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeWLWWW59%
AwayLLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663234
Win %53%59%47%
Points / game102.0102.3101.8
Allowed / game102.2101.9102.4
Point differential-0.1+0.3-0.6
Avg total204.2204.2204.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%19%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (23)70% (10)46% (13)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayWWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663333
Win %58%58%58%
Points / game107.2109.0105.5
Allowed / game105.4105.7105.2
Point differential+1.8+3.4+0.3
Avg total212.7214.7210.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (20)56% (9)45% (11)
Overtime %8%9%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets65511478%113.9105.2+8.7
2 Golden State Warriors66511577%115.8107.7+8.1
3 Toronto Raptors65481774%111.9103.4+8.6
4 Boston Celtics66462070%104.6100.2+4.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers66402661%105.6103.2+2.5
6 New Orleans Pelicans65382758%112.2111.6+0.6
7 Cleveland Cavaliers65382758%110.0109.8+0.2
8 Washington Wizards66382858%107.2105.4+1.8
9 Indiana Pacers66382858%106.1104.5+1.6
10 San Antonio Spurs65372857%102.499.6+2.8
11 Oklahoma City Thunder67382957%106.8103.8+3.0
12 Minnesota Timberwolves67382957%109.7107.2+2.6
13 Philadelphia 76ers64352955%107.7105.8+1.9
14 Los Angeles Clippers64352955%109.3108.1+1.2
15 Utah Jazz66363055%102.6100.4+2.2
16 Denver Nuggets66363055%108.9107.9+1.0
17 Miami Heat66353153%102.0102.2-0.1
18 Milwaukee Bucks66353153%104.8105.3-0.5
19 Detroit Pistons66303645%103.1104.1-1.0
20 Los Angeles Lakers65293645%108.4110.2-1.7
21 Charlotte Hornets67293843%106.8107.4-0.6
22 New York Knicks66244236%104.0107.3-3.3
23 Chicago Bulls65224334%103.0109.2-6.2
24 Brooklyn Nets66214532%106.0110.0-4.0
25 Sacramento Kings66214532%99.2106.8-7.7
26 Dallas Mavericks65204531%102.4105.1-2.7
27 Orlando Magic66204630%105.2109.4-4.3
28 Atlanta Hawks66204630%103.3108.3-4.9
29 Phoenix Suns68194928%104.5113.5-8.9
30 Memphis Grizzlies65184728%98.8103.6-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat26344326129
Washington Wizards20282826102
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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