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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 107-90
27-15 30-29 24-26 26-20
Position#4
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Position#29
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game116.0
USANBA· FTX Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
W
129-121
129
121
+8
128avg 102
A11/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
106-94
106
94
+12
107avg 102
H13/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
108-122
108
122
-14
92avg 102
A16/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
120-107
120
107
+13
119avg 102
A17/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
91avg 102
A22/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
98-132
98
132
-34
81avg 102
A24/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
84-113
84
113
-29
71avg 102
H27/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
103-120
103
120
-17
92avg 102
H29/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
137-95
137
95
+42
134avg 102
H22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
91-102 OT
91
102
-11
81avg 102
A23/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
34-28
31-23
36-42
38-22
22-19
29-26
17-27
28-44
23-26
30-29
27-23
32-13
37-34
26-24
25-36
24-22
26-31
28-27
21-19
20-46
31-32
27-29
20-25
14-26
22-23
24-37
24-27
26-22
38-35
21-34
18-29
40-17
32-26
33-26
32-26
24-28
22-28
17-8
23-22
219.8Avg total
108.3Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)114.098.5212.5+15.550%
Season at home (1)137.095.0232.0+42.0100%
Season away (1)91.0102.0193.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)108.3111.5219.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)102.6112.4215.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)100.8114.0214.8-13.222%
vs Similar (15)115.3109.8225.1+5.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)112.5105.3217.8+7.267%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
L
96-132
96
132
-36
80avg 94
H05/05
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
112-122
112
122
-10
94avg 94
A08/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
96-128
96
128
-32
80avg 94
H09/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
102-114
102
114
-12
88avg 94
A12/05
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
93-116
93
116
-23
82avg 94
A13/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
97-122
97
122
-25
86avg 94
A15/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
117-128
117
128
-11
115avg 94
A16/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
97-123
97
123
-26
83avg 94
A21/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
96-121
96
121
-25
90avg 94
H22/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
110-104
110
104
+6
104avg 94
A24/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-39
18-24
30-37
21-32
31-26
31-34
27-34
23-28
19-34
25-40
25-33
27-21
22-29
26-30
23-20
31-35
16-29
25-32
30-32
22-23
24-27
19-39
26-30
28-26
26-32
39-28
25-39
27-29
28-32
21-29
22-33
26-29
16-36
19-29
29-21
32-35
27-29
25-28
22-23
36-24
222.6Avg total
101.6Scored
121.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)101.0116.0217.0-15.033%
Season at home (1)96.0121.0217.0-25.00%
Season away (2)103.5113.5217.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)101.6121.0222.6-19.410%
Last 5 (5)103.4119.6223.0-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)102.6116.7219.4-14.122%
vs Similar (3)105.0115.3220.3-10.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -7.7-7.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -7.7-7.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A11/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H13/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A16/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
69-47
69
47
+22
A17/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A22/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-78
51
78
-27
A24/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H27/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H29/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A23/10
NBA
111.1Avg total
56.1Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.955.6113.5+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.953.1111.0+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)57.958.1115.9-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)56.155.0111.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.856.6110.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)52.858.2111.0-5.433%-
vs Similar (15)60.553.5114.1+7.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)59.056.7115.7+2.350%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
L
45-63
45
63
-18
H05/05
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A08/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
44-74
44
74
-30
H09/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A12/05
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A13/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
43-66
43
66
-23
A15/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A16/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A21/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
35-65
35
65
-30
H22/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A24/10
NBA
111.0Avg total
48.4Scored
62.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.058.0107.0-9.037%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.362.9111.2-14.617%-
Last 30 away (18)49.454.7104.2-5.350%-
Last 10 (10)48.462.6111.0-14.220%-
Last 5 (5)48.861.8110.6-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)48.858.1106.9-9.333%-
vs Similar (3)51.057.0108.0-6.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.726.7
50.7%
53.1%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.6
37.9%
35.3%40.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.1
75.4%
77.4%14.1
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 101.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.825.5
46.5%
53.1%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.3
31.2%
35.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws25.419.7
77.6%
77.4%19.7
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLLLWLWW
Orlando Magic
WLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#29
-3.1
Net rating
-19.0
105.8
Offensive rating
99.2
108.9
Defensive rating
118.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
46.6%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
20.1%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.9%
3-point %
31.2%
59.6%
Assist %
56.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 99.2Defence108.9 · 118.2Shooting53.2% · 46.6%3-point %37.9% · 31.2%Ball care14.0% · 13.6%Off. rebounds20.1% · 23.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/21AIndiana Pacers91-102 OT
22/10/21HMilwaukee Bucks137-95
29/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks103-120
27/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks84-113
24/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks98-132
22/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks107-109 OT
17/05/21ADetroit Pistons120-107
16/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks108-122
13/05/21HPhiladelphia 76ers106-94
11/05/21ABoston Celtics129-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/21ANew York Knicks110-104
22/10/21HNew York Knicks96-121
21/10/21ASan Antonio Spurs97-123
16/05/21APhiladelphia 76ers117-128
15/05/21APhiladelphia 76ers97-122
13/05/21AAtlanta Hawks93-116
12/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks102-114
09/05/21HMinnesota Timberwolves96-128
08/05/21ACharlotte Hornets112-122
05/05/21HBoston Celtics96-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game114.0137.091.0
Allowed / game98.595.0102.0
Point differential+15.5+42.0-11.0
Avg total212.5232.0193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%0%100%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game101.096.0103.5
Allowed / game116.0121.0113.5
Point differential-15.0-25.0-10.0
Avg total217.0217.0217.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz220100%108.593.5+15.0
2 Minnesota Timberwolves220100%110.097.5+12.5
3 Chicago Bulls330100%106.394.0+12.3
4 Denver Nuggets220100%106.097.0+9.0
5 Washington Wizards220100%116.5108.5+8.0
6 Golden State Warriors330100%118.3111.3+7.0
7 Charlotte Hornets43175%121.5117.2+4.2
8 Milwaukee Bucks43175%115.5115.2+0.2
9 Philadelphia 76ers32167%113.7104.7+9.0
10 New York Knicks32167%121.0113.3+7.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies32167%123.3118.7+4.7
12 Miami Heat21150%114.098.5+15.5
13 Portland Trail Blazers21150%127.5114.5+13.0
14 Atlanta Hawks21150%104.094.0+10.0
15 Boston Celtics42250%116.0119.8-3.8
16 Dallas Mavericks21150%95.0104.0-9.0
17 San Antonio Spurs31233%110.0106.7+3.3
18 Toronto Raptors31233%97.794.7+3.0
19 Houston Rockets31233%109.0107.3+1.7
20 Los Angeles Lakers31233%113.3118.0-4.7
21 Cleveland Cavaliers31233%111.3116.7-5.3
22 Sacramento Kings31233%110.7116.7-6.0
23 Phoenix Suns31233%106.0116.3-10.3
24 Brooklyn Nets31233%104.3115.7-11.3
25 Orlando Magic31233%101.0116.0-15.0
26 Indiana Pacers41325%116.8117.0-0.2
27 Los Angeles Clippers2020%113.5117.5-4.0
28 Detroit Pistons2020%85.095.5-10.5
29 New Orleans Pelicans3030%99.3113.7-14.3
30 Oklahoma City Thunder3030%93.3115.3-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27302426107
Orlando Magic1529262090
← all games of the day
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