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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 78-95
24-18 9-33 24-24 21-20
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game98.9
vs
Position#6
Record3-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game114.6
USANBA· FTX Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
98-132
98
132
-34
81avg 102
A24/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
84-113
84
113
-29
71avg 102
H27/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
103-120
103
120
-17
92avg 102
H29/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
137-95
137
95
+42
134avg 102
H22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
91-102 OT
91
102
-11
81avg 102
A23/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
107-90
107
90
+17
103avg 102
H25/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
106-93
106
93
+13
98avg 102
A27/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
114-99
114
99
+15
114avg 102
H29/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
129-103
129
103
+26
131avg 102
A31/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
125-110
125
110
+15
122avg 102
A02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-46
31-32
27-29
20-25
14-26
22-23
24-37
24-27
26-22
38-35
21-34
18-29
40-17
32-26
33-26
32-26
24-28
22-28
17-8
23-22
27-15
30-29
24-26
26-20
29-22
20-29
32-23
25-19
33-22
31-24
20-29
30-24
38-22
29-32
35-25
27-24
24-30
46-32
29-26
26-22
215.1Avg total
109.4Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)115.698.9214.4+16.786%
Season at home (3)119.394.7214.0+24.7100%
Season away (4)112.8102.0214.8+10.875%
Last 10 (10)109.4105.7215.1+3.760%
Last 5 (5)116.299.0215.2+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)100.8114.0214.8-13.222%
vs Similar ◀ (14)117.4108.4225.9+9.079%
vs Weaker (7)111.6102.9214.4+8.771%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
126-141
126
141
-15
114avg 102
H30/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
109-123
109
123
-14
93avg 102
A01/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
134-138 OT
134
138
-4
121avg 102
A20/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
83-115
83
115
-32
72avg 102
H22/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
107-97
107
97
+10
97avg 102
A24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
140-129 OT
140
129
+11
137avg 102
A25/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
107-116
107
116
-9
91avg 102
H27/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
97avg 102
A30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
114-128
114
128
-14
95avg 102
H01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
92-79
92
79
+13
88avg 102
A03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-33
26-40
31-39
35-29
24-31
27-28
28-27
30-37
35-29
23-25
24-32
34-30
23-23
24-28
17-33
19-31
22-30
31-21
36-21
18-25
33-33
35-33
26-31
28-25
19-24
33-38
34-25
21-29
20-25
27-28
26-23
30-27
35-34
32-25
36-30
11-39
26-28
18-18
31-10
17-23
230.5Avg total
112.4Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)111.1114.6225.8-3.538%
Season at home (3)101.3119.7221.0-18.30%
Season away (5)117.0111.6228.6+5.460%
Last 10 (10)112.4118.1230.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)113.0113.4226.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)109.1116.0225.1-6.929%
vs Similar ◀ (11)114.1117.9232.0-3.836%
vs Weaker (12)112.8111.8224.7+1.042%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -5.2-5.2
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
51-78
51
78
-27
A24/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H27/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H29/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H22/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A23/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H25/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A27/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H29/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A31/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A02/11
NBA
111.6Avg total
57.6Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.455.0113.3+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.950.7108.6+7.277%-
Last 30 away (17)58.758.2116.9+0.541%-
Last 10 (10)57.654.0111.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)61.451.4112.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)52.858.2111.0-5.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)62.053.5115.5+8.571%-
vs Weaker (7)58.353.7112.0+4.657%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H30/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A01/06
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A20/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H22/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A24/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A25/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H27/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H01/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/11
NBA
112.1Avg total
54.7Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.757.0110.7-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.759.5115.1-3.833%-
Last 30 away (15)51.854.5106.3-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)54.757.4112.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)55.657.2112.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)53.757.7111.4-4.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)53.061.4114.4-8.418%-
vs Weaker (12)54.452.6107.0+1.850%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.629.3
50.9%
53.1%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.9
34.7%
35.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.018.1
82.3%
77.4%18.1
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.627.3
50.9%
53.1%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.412.8
32.5%
35.3%38.4
🏀 Free throws24.219.4
80.2%
77.4%19.4
They take 93.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWWWLWLLL
Boston Celtics
WLLLWWLLLL
#4
League position
#6
+3.6
Net rating
-5.4
107.6
Offensive rating
106.5
104.0
Defensive rating
111.9
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.4%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.7%
3-point %
32.5%
59.2%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 106.5Defence104.0 · 111.9Shooting51.3% · 50.0%3-point %34.7% · 32.5%Ball care13.4% · 12.4%Off. rebounds23.4% · 21.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/21ADallas Mavericks125-110
31/10/21AMemphis Grizzlies129-103
29/10/21HCharlotte Hornets114-99
27/10/21ABrooklyn Nets106-93
25/10/21HOrlando Magic107-90
23/10/21AIndiana Pacers91-102 OT
22/10/21HMilwaukee Bucks137-95
29/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks103-120
27/05/21HMilwaukee Bucks84-113
24/05/21AMilwaukee Bucks98-132
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/21AOrlando Magic92-79
01/11/21HChicago Bulls114-128
30/10/21AWashington Wizards112-115 OT
27/10/21HWashington Wizards107-116
25/10/21ACharlotte Hornets140-129 OT
24/10/21AHouston Rockets107-97
22/10/21HToronto Raptors83-115
20/10/21ANew York Knicks134-138 OT
01/06/21ABrooklyn Nets109-123
30/05/21HBrooklyn Nets126-141

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game115.6119.3112.8
Allowed / game98.994.7102.0
Point differential+16.7+24.7+10.8
Avg total214.4214.0214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%0%25%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%0%60%
Points / game111.1101.3117.0
Allowed / game114.6119.7111.6
Point differential-3.5-18.3+5.4
Avg total225.8221.0228.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %38%0%60%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat76186%115.698.9+16.7
2 Utah Jazz76186%112.3100.4+11.9
3 Golden State Warriors76186%111.3101.4+9.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers97278%110.8102.3+8.4
5 Chicago Bulls86275%108.2101.2+7.0
6 Toronto Raptors96367%105.3100.2+5.1
7 New York Knicks85362%113.0110.4+2.6
8 Brooklyn Nets85362%106.1105.0+1.1
9 Washington Wizards85362%110.9109.8+1.1
10 Los Angeles Lakers85362%113.4112.6+0.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies85362%110.9113.1-2.2
12 Dallas Mavericks85362%101.1106.4-5.2
13 Charlotte Hornets95456%114.7114.9-0.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%104.2104.9-0.7
15 Denver Nuggets84450%101.499.4+2.0
16 Milwaukee Bucks84450%109.4109.0+0.4
17 Atlanta Hawks84450%107.9107.9+0.0
18 Sacramento Kings84450%109.9111.1-1.2
19 Phoenix Suns63350%106.3108.5-2.2
20 Los Angeles Clippers73443%105.6104.7+0.9
21 Minnesota Timberwolves73443%104.9106.3-1.4
22 Portland Trail Blazers83538%111.0109.8+1.2
23 Boston Celtics83538%111.1114.6-3.5
24 Indiana Pacers93633%111.2111.6-0.3
25 San Antonio Spurs82625%109.8110.2-0.5
26 Orlando Magic92722%101.1109.3-8.2
27 Houston Rockets71614%103.7110.6-6.9
28 Oklahoma City Thunder71614%96.7109.9-13.1
29 Detroit Pistons81712%95.5108.6-13.1
30 New Orleans Pelicans91811%103.2111.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat249242178
Boston Celtics1833242095
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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