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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 115-127
43-35 24-25 24-40 24-27
Position#1
Record46-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game120.1
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Position#7
Record37-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game109.1
Allowed / game105.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
10 Jul 2025
MIL90
DEN89
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
07 Jul 2023
MIL92
DEN85
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
13 Jul 2013
MIL88
DEN74
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#18
L
104-126
104
126
-22
A07/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
107-98
107
98
+9
A09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
127-106
127
106
+21
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
122-101
122
101
+21
A12/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
128-102
128
102
+26
H15/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
128-123
128
123
+5
H17/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
117-97
117
97
+20
A18/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
111-98
111
98
+13
H20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
116-103
116
103
+13
A24/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
151-131
151
131
+20
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
30-38
29-26
23-35
19-19
28-20
34-33
26-26
34-18
19-26
37-31
37-31
32-24
32-31
33-25
25-21
29-23
36-17
43-36
20-26
36-20
40-38
30-29
22-36
30-22
27-20
36-29
24-26
30-23
23-29
31-25
27-21
24-31
26-24
28-23
38-25
42-28
46-35
29-41
34-27
229.6Avg total
121.1Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)120.1107.0227.1+13.188%
Season at home (26)122.1107.0229.1+15.192%
Season away (26)118.0107.0225.0+11.185%
Last 10 (10)121.1108.5229.6+12.690%
Last 5 (5)124.6110.4235.0+14.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)119.3106.0225.3+13.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)120.1105.1225.2+15.089%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
114-104
114
104
+10
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
107-115
107
115
-8
H20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
107-100
107
100
+7
A21/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
105-121
105
121
-16
A23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
113-106
113
106
+7
A25/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
W
117-110
117
110
+7
H26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
96-104
96
104
-8
A29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
106-100
106
100
+6
H31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
37-22
23-22
25-30
28-25
29-17
17-27
26-17
19-34
26-28
28-23
40-28
21-15
29-29
31-30
26-41
26-29
29-25
26-25
26-21
28-35
15-25
28-32
34-29
37-28
26-28
31-26
19-24
27-36
30-23
33-30
27-21
18-31
32-32
16-19
30-22
21-23
22-25
33-22
30-30
217.6Avg total
109.9Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)109.1105.2214.3+3.871%
Season at home (26)108.8103.7212.5+5.077%
Season away (26)109.4106.8216.2+2.665%
Last 10 (10)109.9107.7217.6+2.270%
Last 5 (5)107.4108.2215.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)111.5106.0217.5+5.550%
vs Similar (19)109.3108.8218.1+0.563%
vs Weaker (9)114.4107.6222.0+6.978%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#18
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A07/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A12/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
65-40
65
40
+25
H15/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H17/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A18/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A24/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H29/01
NBA
111.8Avg total
60.5Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.951.4112.3+9.687%-
Last 30 at home (17)63.651.1114.7+12.594%-
Last 30 away (13)57.551.7109.2+5.877%-
Last 10 (10)60.551.3111.8+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)64.854.0118.8+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)64.349.0113.3+15.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)60.651.6112.2+8.985%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A21/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A25/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H26/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/01
NBA
106.9Avg total
52.9Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.754.2108.9+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.951.0105.9+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)54.557.0111.5-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)52.954.0106.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)51.257.2108.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)50.053.0103.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (19)54.155.1109.2-1.047%-
vs Weaker (9)57.052.6109.6+4.467%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 121.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.630.3
56.5%
52.3%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.613.6
37.2%
35.7%40.8
🏀 Free throws25.919.7
76.1%
77.2%19.7
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.529.3
50.1%
52.3%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.111.1
35.7%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws22.618.0
79.6%
77.2%18.0
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWLWWW
#1
League position
#7
+11.8
Net rating
+2.2
113.0
Offensive rating
109.7
101.3
Defensive rating
107.5
56.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
13.2%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.2%
3-point %
35.7%
60.4%
Assist %
63.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 109.7Defence101.3 · 107.5Shooting56.2% · 51.3%3-point %37.2% · 35.7%Ball care12.5% · 13.2%Off. rebounds18.0% · 27.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/20HWashington Wizards151-131
24/01/20ACharlotte Hornets116-103
20/01/20HChicago Bulls111-98
18/01/20ABrooklyn Nets117-97
17/01/20HBoston Celtics128-123
15/01/20HNew York Knicks128-102
12/01/20APortland Trail Blazers122-101
11/01/20ASacramento Kings127-106
09/01/20AGolden State Warriors107-98
07/01/20ASan Antonio Spurs104-126
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/20HUtah Jazz106-100
29/01/20AMemphis Grizzlies96-104
26/01/20HHouston Rockets117-110
25/01/20ANew Orleans Pelicans113-106
23/01/20AHouston Rockets105-121
21/01/20AMinnesota Timberwolves107-100
20/01/20HIndiana Pacers107-115
17/01/20AGolden State Warriors134-131 OT
16/01/20HCharlotte Hornets100-86
13/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers114-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %88%92%85%
Points / game120.1122.1118.0
Allowed / game107.0107.0107.0
Point differential+13.1+15.1+11.1
Avg total227.1229.1225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%58%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWWLWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %71%77%65%
Points / game109.1108.8109.4
Allowed / game105.2103.7106.8
Point differential+3.8+5.0+2.6
Avg total214.3212.5216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)67% (6)67% (9)
Overtime %8%4%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks5246688%120.1107.0+13.1
2 Los Angeles Lakers52391375%112.8106.0+6.9
3 Denver Nuggets52371571%109.1105.2+3.8
4 Boston Celtics51361571%112.3104.1+8.2
5 Toronto Raptors53371670%112.5106.6+5.8
6 Miami Heat52361669%112.2107.8+4.5
7 Indiana Pacers52341865%110.8107.3+3.5
8 Los Angeles Clippers51331865%114.0109.5+4.5
9 Philadelphia 76ers53341964%108.5104.4+4.1
10 Houston Rockets53332062%119.1115.2+3.9
11 Utah Jazz52322062%111.5108.4+3.1
12 Dallas Mavericks53312258%115.5109.7+5.7
13 Oklahoma City Thunder52302258%110.1108.1+2.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies52252748%113.0115.6-2.6
15 New Orleans Pelicans54252946%116.2117.2-1.1
16 Brooklyn Nets50232746%109.8111.6-1.8
17 Orlando Magic54243044%103.1104.2-1.1
18 San Antonio Spurs52232944%112.8114.2-1.4
19 Phoenix Suns51222943%112.8113.2-0.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers52223042%112.8114.9-2.1
21 Sacramento Kings52203238%108.1110.7-2.6
22 Chicago Bulls56213538%106.2108.2-2.1
23 Detroit Pistons55203536%108.6111.3-2.7
24 Washington Wizards51183335%115.2119.5-4.4
25 Charlotte Hornets53173632%103.2110.0-6.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves51163531%111.6115.7-4.2
27 New York Knicks53143926%104.1111.5-7.4
28 Atlanta Hawks54144026%107.9117.4-9.5
29 Cleveland Cavaliers52133925%104.5114.2-9.7
30 Golden State Warriors54124222%106.2114.5-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks43242424115
Denver Nuggets35254027127
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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