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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 100-102
21-21 21-27 21-30 37-24
Position#21
Record18-25
FormLLLWL
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game115.8
vs
Position#6
Record30-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game121.1
Allowed / game116.5
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
L
113-114
113
114
-1
105avg 106
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
122-121
122
121
+1
118avg 106
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
115-98
115
98
+17
109avg 106
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 106
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
105-101
105
101
+4
101avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
104-108
104
108
-4
100avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
106-139
106
139
-33
96avg 106
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
86avg 106
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
112-110
112
110
+2
110avg 106
A19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
102-122
102
122
-20
101avg 106
H22/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
30-35
26-21
25-28
24-38
27-22
36-31
35-30
28-26
34-18
23-25
30-29
31-31
22-33
29-34
31-22
24-25
37-27
25-25
19-24
23-27
29-35
22-23
30-23
20-38
25-38
33-30
28-33
27-31
26-35
16-40
32-13
20-19
34-19
26-34
32-38
18-38
33-31
26-30
25-23
224.5Avg total
109.3Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)112.2115.8227.9-3.642%
Season at home (20)115.8118.0233.8-2.245%
Season away (23)109.0113.8222.8-4.939%
Last 10 (10)109.3115.2224.5-5.940%
Last 5 (5)105.0119.6224.6-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)108.2115.7223.9-7.527%
vs Similar (6)106.7107.7214.3-1.067%
vs Weaker (2)119.5121.5241.0-2.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
120avg 113
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 113
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
87-110
87
110
-23
84avg 113
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-104
108
104
+4
97avg 113
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-116
122
116
+6
110avg 113
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-109
118
109
+9
108avg 113
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
121-115
121
115
+6
118avg 113
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
87-110
87
110
-23
72avg 113
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
107-115
107
115
-8
94avg 113
H21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 113
A23/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
29-32
29-35
33-27
31-35
27-23
21-24
35-28
28-30
22-28
25-16
12-36
27-23
35-29
23-22
23-30
32-31
28-34
29-27
33-24
29-23
34-23
25-32
30-31
36-29
26-34
21-23
38-29
18-33
16-27
23-27
30-23
37-28
34-29
17-29
19-29
27-23
21-23
33-29
26-22
220.6Avg total
109.6Scored
111.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)121.1116.5237.6+4.567%
Season at home (20)120.1116.3236.4+3.860%
Season away (25)121.8116.7238.6+5.172%
Last 10 (10)109.6111.0220.6-1.470%
Last 5 (5)108.0109.2217.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)115.6119.7235.3-4.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)123.3117.2240.6+6.169%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
45-76
45
76
-31
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H22/01
NBA
114.0Avg total
54.4Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.859.1113.9-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.863.2116.1-10.415%-
Last 30 away (17)56.355.9112.2+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)54.459.6114.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)51.062.2113.2-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)53.360.6113.9-7.423%-
vs Similar (6)57.352.7110.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker (2)64.061.5125.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A08/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H10/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H18/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
34-60
34
60
-26
H19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/01
NBA
112.9Avg total
56.6Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.357.0117.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.256.8117.0+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)60.457.2117.6+3.247%-
Last 10 (10)56.656.3112.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)55.654.4110.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)57.658.6116.2-1.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)62.855.6118.3+7.262%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.7
54.7%
54.8%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.414.4
38.5%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
78.1%14.7
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.324.4
51.6%
54.8%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.713.9
38.9%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws24.319.1
78.6%
78.1%19.1
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLWLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWWLWW
#21
League position
#6
-6.0
Net rating
-1.4
110.8
Offensive rating
112.8
116.8
Defensive rating
114.2
56.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
13.9%
Turnover %
10.6%
20.1%
Off. rebound %
17.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.5%
3-point %
38.9%
66.1%
Assist %
63.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 112.8Defence116.8 · 114.2Shooting56.0% · 54.5%3-point %38.5% · 38.9%Ball care13.9% · 10.6%Off. rebounds20.1% · 17.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder102-122
19/01/26AAtlanta Hawks112-110
16/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs101-119
14/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves106-139
12/01/26ADenver Nuggets104-108
10/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-101
08/01/26AGolden State Warriors113-120
05/01/26ASacramento Kings115-98
03/01/26HCharlotte Hornets122-121
01/01/26HWashington Wizards113-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26AWashington Wizards107-97
21/01/26HLos Angeles Lakers107-115
19/01/26HCharlotte Hornets87-110
18/01/26HWashington Wizards121-115
15/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-109
14/01/26ANew Orleans Pelicans122-116
12/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks108-104
10/01/26HAtlanta Hawks87-110
08/01/26ABoston Celtics114-110
06/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-124 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeLLWLL45%
AwayLWLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %42%45%39%
Points / game112.2115.8109.0
Allowed / game115.8118.0113.8
Point differential-3.6-2.1-4.9
Avg total227.9233.8222.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%35%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (4)44% (9)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayWWWWW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452025
Win %67%60%72%
Points / game121.1120.1121.8
Allowed / game116.5116.3116.7
Point differential+4.5+3.8+5.1
Avg total237.6236.4238.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%35%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)50% (6)56% (9)
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4436882%121.2108.4+12.8
2 Detroit Pistons43321174%116.9110.0+7.0
3 San Antonio Spurs43291467%117.7112.5+5.2
4 Denver Nuggets45301567%121.1116.5+4.5
5 Boston Celtics44281664%117.1110.2+6.9
6 Houston Rockets43271663%116.9110.8+6.1
7 Los Angeles Lakers42261662%115.9116.0-0.1
8 Phoenix Suns44271761%115.0111.2+3.8
9 Minnesota Timberwolves45271860%120.0115.1+4.9
10 Toronto Raptors45271860%114.6112.4+2.3
11 New York Knicks42241857%117.6113.9+3.7
12 Cleveland Cavaliers46262057%119.2117.2+2.0
13 Philadelphia 76ers43241956%116.8115.5+1.3
14 Golden State Warriors46252154%116.8114.2+2.7
15 Orlando Magic41221954%115.5115.1+0.4
16 Miami Heat44232152%119.6118.5+1.1
17 Portland Trail Blazers45232251%116.5118.0-1.5
18 Chicago Bulls44222250%118.0119.9-2.0
19 Atlanta Hawks47222547%117.4118.7-1.3
20 Los Angeles Clippers44202445%112.3113.5-1.2
21 Dallas Mavericks45192642%114.4116.6-2.2
22 Memphis Grizzlies43182542%115.5116.6-1.1
23 Milwaukee Bucks43182542%112.2115.8-3.6
24 Charlotte Hornets45172838%115.9115.5+0.4
25 Utah Jazz45153033%119.1127.4-8.3
26 Brooklyn Nets43123128%108.3114.8-6.5
27 Sacramento Kings46123426%110.9120.8-9.9
28 Indiana Pacers46113524%110.1118.2-8.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans47113623%115.1122.1-7.0
30 Washington Wizards43103323%112.2123.2-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks21212137100
Denver Nuggets21273024102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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