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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 80-91
16-16 26-30 17-24 21-21
Position#22
Record6-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game105.3
vs
Position#2
Record12-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.4
Allowed / game90.5
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
104-119
104
119
-15
92avg 89
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
108-104
108
104
+4
103avg 89
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
103-102
103
102
+1
97avg 89
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
107-98
107
98
+9
102avg 89
H14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
81-105
81
105
-24
49avg 89
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
115-98
115
98
+17
113avg 89
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-109
98
109
-11
87avg 89
A19/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
107-114
107
114
-7
94avg 89
H21/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
105-118
105
118
-13
93avg 89
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
94-111
94
111
-17
85avg 89
H25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-40
21-34
31-25
29-20
29-33
28-25
22-22
29-24
25-32
28-32
34-16
16-22
30-23
29-28
23-23
25-24
13-27
15-33
26-28
27-17
31-21
20-32
32-22
32-23
24-31
34-34
21-28
19-16
29-17
34-32
21-31
23-34
23-34
35-30
21-27
26-27
26-25
19-26
27-32
22-28
210.0Avg total
102.2Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)100.1105.3205.5-5.240%
Season at home (8)98.2104.8203.0-6.538%
Season away (7)102.3106.0208.3-3.743%
Last 10 (10)102.2107.8210.0-5.640%
Last 5 (5)103.8110.0213.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)102.7115.5218.2-12.80%
vs Similar (14)103.3100.7204.0+2.664%
vs Weaker (2)102.5104.0206.5-1.550%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
114-94
114
94
+20
118avg 93
H08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
106-88
106
88
+18
109avg 93
A10/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
113-101
113
101
+12
112avg 93
A12/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
92-83
92
83
+9
87avg 93
H15/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
93-80
93
80
+13
88avg 93
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
109-98
109
98
+11
112avg 93
H19/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
90-104
90
104
-14
80avg 93
A21/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
92-82
92
82
+10
87avg 93
H22/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
98-84
98
84
+14
89avg 93
H24/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
85avg 93
H26/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
22-26
42-29
21-18
23-24
26-19
23-26
34-19
28-24
30-22
23-29
32-26
20-12
23-27
33-21
16-23
17-13
19-15
29-32
28-20
31-24
34-34
28-21
16-19
20-22
21-26
33-30
16-26
24-19
29-20
21-22
18-21
20-17
24-17
23-26
31-24
24-18
22-21
17-21
25-23
189.2Avg total
99.5Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)99.490.5189.9+8.980%
Season at home (8)98.584.9183.4+13.6100%
Season away (7)100.496.9197.3+3.657%
Last 10 (10)99.589.7189.2+9.890%
Last 5 (5)95.490.2185.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)105.3101.2206.5+4.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)101.290.4191.6+10.783%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
44-74
44
74
-30
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A19/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H21/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/11
NBA
110.5Avg total
51.6Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.156.6107.7-5.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.653.9105.6-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)50.758.9109.6-8.225%-
Last 10 (10)51.658.9110.5-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)55.056.4111.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)49.960.1110.0-10.314%-
vs Similar (14)52.153.5105.6-1.450%-
vs Weaker (2)53.053.0106.0+0.050%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A10/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A12/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H19/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A21/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H22/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H26/11
NBA
90.7Avg total
48.6Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.444.995.3+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.443.293.6+7.280%-
Last 30 away (15)50.446.697.0+3.860%-
Last 10 (10)48.642.190.7+6.590%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.693.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)52.148.1100.2+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)49.342.892.1+6.583%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 102.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.330.6
48.3%
49.0%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.5
32.5%
35.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.918.5
77.4%
75.5%18.5
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 99.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.731.7
50.6%
49.0%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.27.6
37.6%
35.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.3
75.1%
75.5%13.3
They take 82.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWLWWWL
San Antonio Spurs
WWWLWWWWWW
#22
League position
#2
-5.6
Net rating
+10.4
103.0
Offensive rating
105.2
108.6
Defensive rating
94.9
48.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.5%
3-point %
37.6%
58.5%
Assist %
67.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 105.2Defence108.6 · 94.9Shooting48.4% · 52.0%3-point %32.5% · 37.6%Ball care14.1% · 13.4%Off. rebounds25.6% · 21.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/15HLos Angeles Clippers94-111
23/11/15HGolden State Warriors105-118
21/11/15HPhoenix Suns107-114
19/11/15ASan Antonio Spurs98-109
18/11/15ANew Orleans Pelicans115-98
15/11/15APhoenix Suns81-105
14/11/15HHouston Rockets107-98
12/11/15HMilwaukee Bucks103-102
10/11/15HPortland Trail Blazers108-104
07/11/15AGolden State Warriors104-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/15HDallas Mavericks88-83
24/11/15HPhoenix Suns98-84
22/11/15HMemphis Grizzlies92-82
21/11/15ANew Orleans Pelicans90-104
19/11/15HDenver Nuggets109-98
17/11/15HPortland Trail Blazers93-80
15/11/15HPhiladelphia 76ers92-83
12/11/15APortland Trail Blazers113-101
10/11/15ASacramento Kings106-88
08/11/15HCharlotte Hornets114-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%38%43%
Points / game100.198.2102.3
Allowed / game105.3104.8106.0
Point differential-5.2-6.5-3.7
Avg total205.5203.0208.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%100%57%
Points / game99.498.5100.4
Allowed / game90.584.996.9
Point differential+8.9+13.6+3.6
Avg total189.9183.4197.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors16160100%114.398.7+15.6
2 San Antonio Spurs1512380%99.490.5+8.9
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1612475%103.997.1+6.8
4 Indiana Pacers1510567%101.595.1+6.4
5 Miami Heat1510567%96.391.7+4.7
6 Oklahoma City Thunder1711665%109.4102.8+6.6
7 Chicago Bulls149564%99.498.9+0.4
8 Toronto Raptors1610662%101.196.6+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks1811761%102.999.8+3.1
10 Boston Celtics169756%102.596.9+5.6
11 Charlotte Hornets169756%103.499.8+3.6
12 Dallas Mavericks169756%100.6100.2+0.4
13 Memphis Grizzlies179853%96.5100.4-3.9
14 Utah Jazz147750%95.193.6+1.5
15 Orlando Magic168850%101.4100.6+0.8
16 Detroit Pistons168850%96.296.7-0.4
17 New York Knicks178947%96.197.8-1.7
18 Phoenix Suns157847%105.5103.5+2.1
19 Minnesota Timberwolves157847%101.3101.7-0.4
20 Los Angeles Clippers157847%102.7103.7-0.9
21 Washington Wizards136746%100.5106.8-6.2
22 Denver Nuggets156940%100.1105.3-5.2
23 Portland Trail Blazers1661038%100.3101.2-0.9
24 Sacramento Kings1661038%106.0108.9-2.9
25 Houston Rockets1661038%100.8107.2-6.5
26 Milwaukee Bucks1661038%97.9106.1-8.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans1541127%103.3109.3-6.0
28 Brooklyn Nets1531220%96.9104.7-7.9
29 Los Angeles Lakers1421214%96.7105.8-9.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers170170%91.2103.5-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets1626172180
San Antonio Spurs1630242191
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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