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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 92-81
22-25 26-27 25-5 19-24
Position#16
Record9-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game100.2
vs
Position#22
Record6-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game104.4
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
105-120
105
120
-15
93avg 87
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
118-108
118
108
+10
117avg 87
H12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
90-82
90
82
+8
80avg 87
H14/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
110-98
110
98
+12
102avg 87
A15/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
92-86
92
86
+6
80avg 87
A17/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
106-102
106
102
+4
101avg 87
A19/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
93avg 87
H21/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
114-117
114
117
-3
105avg 87
A23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
96-110
96
110
-14
92avg 87
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
83-88
83
88
-5
75avg 87
A26/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
18-29
35-36
30-26
27-35
26-19
31-24
34-30
29-24
19-16
16-15
26-27
32-20
25-14
25-33
28-31
28-15
21-29
19-21
24-21
16-31
29-23
25-24
36-24
21-26
35-17
24-28
22-22
25-31
27-29
33-27
29-30
17-21
19-25
24-36
36-28
18-24
21-22
21-17
23-25
202.0Avg total
101.6Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)100.6100.2200.9+0.456%
Season at home (6)100.398.5198.8+1.867%
Season away (10)100.8101.3202.1-0.550%
Last 10 (10)101.6100.4202.0+1.260%
Last 5 (5)100.2102.0202.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)100.7107.0207.7-6.317%
vs Similar ◀ (18)106.6108.6215.1-2.044%
vs Weaker (6)110.0100.8210.8+9.2100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
108-104
108
104
+4
103avg 88
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
103-102
103
102
+1
97avg 88
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
107-98
107
98
+9
102avg 88
H14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
81-105
81
105
-24
49avg 88
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
115-98
115
98
+17
113avg 88
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-109
98
109
-11
87avg 88
A19/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
107-114
107
114
-7
94avg 88
H21/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
105-118
105
118
-13
93avg 88
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
94-111
94
111
-17
85avg 88
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
68avg 88
H28/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
28-25
22-22
29-24
25-32
28-32
34-16
16-22
30-23
29-28
23-23
25-24
13-27
15-33
26-28
27-17
31-21
20-32
32-22
32-23
24-31
34-34
21-28
19-16
29-17
34-32
21-31
23-34
23-34
35-30
21-27
26-27
26-25
19-26
27-32
22-28
16-16
26-30
17-24
21-21
204.8Avg total
99.8Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)98.9104.4203.3-5.638%
Season at home (9)96.2103.2199.4-7.033%
Season away (7)102.3106.0208.3-3.743%
Last 10 (10)99.8105.0204.8-5.240%
Last 5 (5)96.8108.6205.4-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)102.6115.4218.1-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)103.3100.7204.0+2.664%
vs Weaker (2)102.5104.0206.5-1.550%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H14/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A15/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A17/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A19/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H21/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A26/11
NBA
95.4Avg total
47.5Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.352.0105.3+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.552.2106.7+2.358%-
Last 30 away (18)52.451.9104.4+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)47.547.995.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.649.895.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.753.2100.8-5.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.053.3107.3+0.744%-
vs Weaker (6)56.747.2103.8+9.5100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A19/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H21/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H28/11
NBA
107.5Avg total
51.4Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.356.5107.8-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.053.4104.4-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)51.659.7111.3-8.127%-
Last 10 (10)51.456.1107.5-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)53.255.0108.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)50.260.1110.3-9.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.153.5105.6-1.450%-
vs Weaker (2)53.053.0106.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 101.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.328.8
51.2%
49.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.0
32.5%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws25.620.0
78.1%
75.5%20.0
They take 80.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 99.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.229.9
48.1%
49.0%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.4
32.6%
35.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.017.8
77.4%
75.5%17.8
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWWWWWWL
Denver Nuggets
LLLLLWLWWW
#16
League position
#22
+1.2
Net rating
-5.3
102.5
Offensive rating
102.2
101.3
Defensive rating
107.5
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.3%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
17.8%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.5%
3-point %
32.6%
59.0%
Assist %
58.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 102.2Defence101.3 · 107.5Shooting50.4% · 48.3%3-point %32.5% · 32.6%Ball care14.6% · 14.3%Off. rebounds17.8% · 25.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/15ASan Antonio Spurs83-88
25/11/15AMemphis Grizzlies96-110
23/11/15AOklahoma City Thunder114-117
21/11/15HUtah Jazz102-93
19/11/15ABoston Celtics106-102
17/11/15APhiladelphia 76ers92-86
15/11/15AHouston Rockets110-98
14/11/15HLos Angeles Lakers90-82
12/11/15HLos Angeles Clippers118-108
11/11/15ANew Orleans Pelicans105-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/15HSan Antonio Spurs80-91
25/11/15HLos Angeles Clippers94-111
23/11/15HGolden State Warriors105-118
21/11/15HPhoenix Suns107-114
19/11/15ASan Antonio Spurs98-109
18/11/15ANew Orleans Pelicans115-98
15/11/15APhoenix Suns81-105
14/11/15HHouston Rockets107-98
12/11/15HMilwaukee Bucks103-102
10/11/15HPortland Trail Blazers108-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %56%67%50%
Points / game100.6100.3100.8
Allowed / game100.298.5101.3
Point differential+0.4+1.8-0.5
Avg total200.9198.8202.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game98.996.2102.3
Allowed / game104.4103.2106.0
Point differential-5.6-7.0-3.7
Avg total203.3199.4208.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors17170100%115.599.7+15.8
2 San Antonio Spurs1613381%98.989.8+9.1
3 Cleveland Cavaliers1713476%103.196.5+6.5
4 Indiana Pacers1510567%101.595.1+6.4
5 Miami Heat1510567%96.391.7+4.7
6 Oklahoma City Thunder1711665%109.4102.8+6.6
7 Toronto Raptors1711665%100.195.8+4.3
8 Chicago Bulls149564%99.498.9+0.4
9 Atlanta Hawks1811761%102.999.8+3.1
10 Boston Celtics169756%102.596.9+5.6
11 Charlotte Hornets169756%103.499.8+3.6
12 Dallas Mavericks169756%100.6100.2+0.4
13 Memphis Grizzlies179853%96.5100.4-3.9
14 Utah Jazz147750%95.193.6+1.5
15 Orlando Magic168850%101.4100.6+0.8
16 Los Angeles Clippers168850%103.2102.8+0.4
17 Minnesota Timberwolves168850%101.3101.1+0.2
18 Detroit Pistons168850%96.296.7-0.4
19 New York Knicks178947%96.197.8-1.7
20 Phoenix Suns167944%106.2105.4+0.8
21 Washington Wizards146843%99.2105.1-5.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers1661038%100.3101.2-0.9
23 Denver Nuggets1661038%98.9104.4-5.6
24 Houston Rockets1661038%100.8107.2-6.5
25 Milwaukee Bucks1661038%97.9106.1-8.2
26 Sacramento Kings1761135%105.1108.4-3.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans1641225%102.4109.4-6.9
28 Brooklyn Nets1631319%96.3103.8-7.5
29 Los Angeles Lakers1421214%96.7105.8-9.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers170170%91.2103.5-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2226251992
Denver Nuggets252752481
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