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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 105-118
23-34 35-30 21-27 26-27
Position#22
Record10-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game100.2
Allowed / game101.3
vs
Position#1
Record17-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game101.4
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
14 Oct 2016
DEN128
GSW129
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
15 Oct 2012
DEN104
GSW98
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
120-109
120
109
+11
A04/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
84-96
84
96
-12
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
104-119
104
119
-15
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
108-104
108
104
+4
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
W
103-102
103
102
+1
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
107-98
107
98
+9
H14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
81-105
81
105
-24
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
115-98
115
98
+17
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-109
98
109
-11
A19/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
107-114
107
114
-7
H21/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-36
30-21
33-26
27-26
24-19
18-21
22-25
20-31
23-40
21-34
31-25
29-20
29-33
28-25
22-22
29-24
25-32
28-32
34-16
16-22
30-23
29-28
23-23
25-24
13-27
15-33
26-28
27-17
31-21
20-32
32-22
32-23
24-31
34-34
21-28
19-16
29-17
34-32
21-31
23-34
208.1Avg total
102.7Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)100.2101.3201.5-1.250%
Season at home (8)100.698.0198.6+2.662%
Season away (12)99.8103.6203.4-3.842%
Last 10 (10)102.7105.4208.1-2.750%
Last 5 (5)101.6104.8206.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)102.4112.5214.9-10.18%
vs Similar (13)104.598.0202.5+6.577%
vs Weaker (5)92.684.2176.8+8.480%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
112-108
112
108
+4
H05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
119-104
119
104
+15
H07/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
103-94
103
94
+9
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
109-95
109
95
+14
H10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
100-84
100
84
+16
A12/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
129-116
129
116
+13
A13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
107-99 OT
107
99
+8
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
115-110
115
110
+5
H18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
124-117
124
117
+7
A20/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
106-94
106
94
+12
H21/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
32-31
19-27
30-25
40-23
34-21
25-31
20-29
20-14
26-24
26-30
31-26
27-15
28-31
25-30
29-19
26-15
21-26
27-22
26-21
40-27
35-36
22-24
32-29
21-36
31-18
18-23
27-20
29-25
34-22
27-36
25-27
25-41
29-27
31-23
39-26
28-29
22-18
27-26
29-21
214.5Avg total
112.4Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)110.6101.4212.0+9.281%
Season at home (11)110.897.8208.6+13.091%
Season away (10)110.4105.3215.7+5.170%
Last 10 (10)112.4102.1214.5+10.3100%
Last 5 (5)116.2107.2223.4+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)79.075.0154.0+4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)106.497.4203.8+8.981%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A04/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
44-74
44
74
-30
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#24
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A19/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H21/11
NBA
108.6Avg total
51.5Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.753.1103.8-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.248.899.0+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)51.158.1109.2-6.936%-
Last 10 (10)51.557.1108.6-5.640%-
Last 5 (5)51.855.6107.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)50.359.7110.0-9.325%-
vs Similar (13)53.450.9104.3+2.562%-
vs Weaker (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
74-44
74
44
+30
H07/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A12/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A20/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H21/11
NBA
108.3Avg total
57.9Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.849.3103.1+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.048.9106.9+9.177%-
Last 30 away (17)50.549.6100.1+0.959%-
Last 10 (10)57.950.4108.3+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)58.855.8114.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)36.733.069.7+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)55.751.1106.8+4.667%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 102.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.630.9
49.4%
49.0%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.5
32.5%
35.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.018.4
76.7%
75.5%18.4
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.428.7
52.8%
49.0%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.6
40.6%
35.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws22.017.2
78.2%
75.5%17.2
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWLWWWLLW
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWWWWWW
#22
League position
#1
-2.8
Net rating
+10.2
104.7
Offensive rating
110.8
107.5
Defensive rating
100.7
49.2%
Effective FG%
55.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
13.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.5%
3-point %
40.6%
59.9%
Assist %
70.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 110.8Defence107.5 · 100.7Shooting49.2% · 55.7%3-point %32.5% · 40.6%Ball care13.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.2% · 24.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 100%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/15HPhoenix Suns107-114
19/11/15ASan Antonio Spurs98-109
18/11/15ANew Orleans Pelicans115-98
15/11/15APhoenix Suns81-105
14/11/15HHouston Rockets107-98
12/11/15HMilwaukee Bucks103-102
10/11/15HPortland Trail Blazers108-104
07/11/15AGolden State Warriors104-119
06/11/15HUtah Jazz84-96
04/11/15ALos Angeles Lakers120-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/15HChicago Bulls106-94
20/11/15ALos Angeles Clippers124-117
18/11/15HToronto Raptors115-110
15/11/15HBrooklyn Nets107-99 OT
13/11/15AMinnesota Timberwolves129-116
12/11/15AMemphis Grizzlies100-84
10/11/15HDetroit Pistons109-95
08/11/15ASacramento Kings103-94
07/11/15HDenver Nuggets119-104
05/11/15HLos Angeles Clippers112-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %50%62%42%
Points / game100.2100.699.8
Allowed / game101.398.0103.6
Point differential-1.2+2.6-3.8
Avg total201.5198.6203.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%25%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %81%91%70%
Points / game110.6110.8110.4
Allowed / game101.497.8105.3
Point differential+9.2+13.0+5.1
Avg total212.0208.6215.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%55%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2117481%110.6101.4+9.2
2 Charlotte Hornets2114767%101.395.5+5.8
3 Indiana Pacers2013765%100.695.7+5.0
4 Toronto Raptors2214864%99.094.0+4.9
5 Oklahoma City Thunder1912763%108.4102.8+5.6
6 San Antonio Spurs1912763%98.392.8+5.5
7 Boston Celtics1811761%102.496.2+6.2
8 Miami Heat2012860%97.094.2+2.9
9 Chicago Bulls2012860%100.8101.6-0.8
10 Memphis Grizzlies2012860%92.694.2-1.6
11 Atlanta Hawks2213959%98.898.0+0.7
12 Phoenix Suns1911858%105.3101.5+3.8
13 New York Knicks1911858%98.697.5+1.1
14 Washington Wizards169756%105.5105.2+0.2
15 Cleveland Cavaliers2011955%100.698.1+2.5
16 Orlando Magic2011955%100.5100.2+0.3
17 Denver Nuggets20101050%100.2101.3-1.2
18 Sacramento Kings20101050%102.8104.2-1.4
19 Detroit Pistons21101148%99.396.4+2.9
20 Utah Jazz1991047%96.194.2+1.8
21 Los Angeles Clippers1991047%101.3103.7-2.4
22 Dallas Mavericks2191243%98.0100.3-2.4
23 Portland Trail Blazers2181338%101.8102.3-0.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks1971237%97.7105.0-7.3
25 Houston Rockets2281436%102.8107.5-4.7
26 Minnesota Timberwolves2071335%99.3103.8-4.4
27 New Orleans Pelicans2161529%102.5108.3-5.8
28 Brooklyn Nets1951426%97.1102.7-5.7
29 Los Angeles Lakers1941521%97.5104.7-7.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers2121910%91.9104.3-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets23352126105
Golden State Warriors34302727118
← all games of the day
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