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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#30
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game121.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.6/10
Below normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record6-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
116-127
116
127
-11
111avg 98
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
110-102
110
102
+8
103avg 98
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-132
100
132
-32
74avg 98
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
111-136
111
136
-25
88avg 98
H01/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
100-112
100
112
-12
84avg 98
A03/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
102-109
102
109
-7
92avg 98
A05/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
107-121
107
121
-14
94avg 98
H07/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
97-117
97
117
-20
79avg 98
H09/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
85-117
85
117
-32
62avg 98
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
112-123
112
123
-11
no box
H12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-34
35-30
27-33
29-30
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
25-24
21-48
30-37
35-27
18-29
29-19
29-32
24-32
14-28
27-34
38-25
23-22
29-24
31-27
27-38
20-32
27-25
18-33
29-33
23-26
21-26
13-32
38-27
13-32
28-30
22-31
23-33
39-29
223.6Avg total
104.0Scored
119.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)106.8121.3228.1-14.68%
Season at home (7)108.9123.3232.1-14.414%
Season away (5)103.8118.6222.4-14.80%
Last 10 (10)104.0119.6223.6-15.610%
Last 5 (5)100.6117.4218.0-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)105.1122.3227.5-17.29%
vs Similar (7)117.7114.4232.1+3.357%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 112
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 112
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 112
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 112
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#9
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 112
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 112
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 112
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 112
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
123-118
123
118
+5
no box
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
227.8Avg total
114.5Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.5113.3227.8+1.260%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (6)108.7106.2214.8+2.567%
Last 10 (10)114.5113.3227.8+1.260%
Last 5 (5)115.0111.4226.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)109.7113.8223.5-4.233%
vs Similar (12)116.4114.4230.8+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)128.2117.0245.2+11.292%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -9.1-9.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -9.1-9.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H01/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A03/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A05/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H07/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H09/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H12/11
NBA
106.0Avg total
46.8Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.760.0111.7-8.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.860.2114.0-6.440%-
Last 30 away (15)49.659.7109.3-10.120%-
Last 10 (10)46.859.2106.0-12.410%-
Last 5 (5)46.058.0104.0-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)49.960.8110.7-11.022%-
vs Similar (7)57.757.1114.9+0.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#9
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
114.9Avg total
58.8Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.457.9118.3+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.361.1123.4+1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)57.953.7111.6+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)58.856.1114.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.4114.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.753.2108.8+2.567%-
vs Similar (12)59.757.6117.2+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)63.560.5124.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.6
56.2%
54.0%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.416.4
37.8%
35.0%49.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.7
70.3%
76.8%14.7
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.029.7
55.0%
54.0%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.5
30.8%
35.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws27.321.7
79.5%
76.8%21.7
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLLLLLWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWLWL
#30
League position
#13
-6.8
Net rating
-3.7
105.9
Offensive rating
107.0
112.7
Defensive rating
110.7
56.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
11.7%
15.2%
Off. rebound %
15.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.8%
3-point %
30.8%
66.1%
Assist %
63.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 107.0Defence112.7 · 110.7Shooting56.4% · 51.8%3-point %37.8% · 30.8%Ball care15.8% · 11.7%Off. rebounds15.2% · 15.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-123
11/11/26ANew York Knicks85-117
09/11/26HBoston Celtics97-117
07/11/26HToronto Raptors107-121
05/11/26ABoston Celtics102-109
03/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-112
01/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers111-136
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
24/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-127
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game106.8108.9103.8
Allowed / game121.3123.3118.6
Point differential-14.6-14.4-14.8
Avg total228.1232.1222.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game114.5123.2108.7
Allowed / game113.3124.0106.2
Point differential+1.2-0.8+2.5
Avg total227.8247.2214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
10 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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