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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 100-136
30-33 27-32 24-38 19-33
Position#5
Record31-20
FormWWWLW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#11
Record27-21
FormLWWWW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game107.0
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
106-114
106
114
-8
97avg 107
A09/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
99-103
99
103
-4
95avg 107
A11/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
118-99
118
99
+19
120avg 107
H14/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
96-103
96
103
-7
85avg 107
H15/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
114-121
114
121
-7
102avg 107
A17/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
126-114
126
114
+12
124avg 107
H20/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
94-90
94
90
+4
83avg 107
H22/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
133-127
133
127
+6
121avg 107
H23/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
99-115
99
115
-16
93avg 107
A27/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
123-108
123
108
+15
118avg 107
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
12-20
34-42
31-25
19-28
29-19
26-36
25-20
37-21
40-17
20-34
21-27
29-20
20-26
20-27
27-30
26-17
36-33
26-33
26-38
36-30
25-17
35-40
30-27
24-20
21-24
23-25
26-21
27-35
35-19
32-32
39-41
35-26
22-39
20-30
22-20
39-30
28-33
26-25
30-20
220.2Avg total
110.8Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)112.0108.3220.3+3.761%
Season at home (26)112.8106.8219.6+6.069%
Season away (25)111.1109.8221.0+1.352%
Last 10 (10)110.8109.4220.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)115.0110.8225.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)111.1109.7220.9+1.450%
vs Weaker (8)119.9109.9229.8+10.088%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
85-87
85
87
-2
85avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
140-108
140
108
+32
145avg 106
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
133-96
133
96
+37
138avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
102-125
102
125
-23
94avg 106
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
130-128 OT
130
128
+2
123avg 106
H20/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
118-122
118
122
-4
112avg 106
H22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
117-111
117
111
+6
110avg 106
H24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
110-105
110
105
+5
110avg 106
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
124-118
124
118
+6
121avg 106
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
116-105
116
105
+11
116avg 106
A29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
23-12
25-27
19-32
41-28
31-27
29-25
39-28
34-29
39-31
29-19
31-17
33-37
25-31
30-23
14-34
29-25
18-34
34-22
33-33
28-37
35-31
29-30
26-24
29-30
31-30
32-16
25-35
34-32
35-27
28-26
13-20
29-28
25-37
42-26
28-27
26-17
24-31
36-30
30-27
228.0Avg total
117.5Scored
110.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)108.5107.0215.5+1.456%
Season at home (22)110.7106.7217.5+4.059%
Season away (26)106.6107.3213.9-0.754%
Last 10 (10)117.5110.5228.0+7.070%
Last 5 (5)117.0112.2229.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)110.5111.5222.0-1.150%
vs Weaker (10)115.4106.0221.4+9.480%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A09/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A11/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
77-38
77
38
+39
H14/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A17/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H20/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H23/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A27/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H29/01
NBA
107.0Avg total
56.9Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.452.6110.1+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.654.6115.2+6.081%-
Last 30 away (14)53.850.4104.1+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)56.950.1107.0+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)58.454.6113.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)56.352.5108.8+3.759%-
vs Weaker (8)60.652.9113.5+7.888%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A12/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H20/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A29/01
NBA
115.7Avg total
58.7Scored
57.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.054.5114.5+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.658.9119.5+1.742%-
Last 30 away (18)59.651.5111.1+8.178%-
Last 10 (10)58.757.0115.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)59.260.0119.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)57.454.7112.1+2.755%-
vs Weaker (10)65.254.0119.2+11.280%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.725.0
51.3%
53.1%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.313.4
35.0%
35.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws24.320.6
84.8%
77.4%20.6
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.429.2
56.8%
53.1%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.5
37.1%
35.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws21.918.6
84.9%
77.4%18.6
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWWLLWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWLWWL
#5
League position
#11
+1.4
Net rating
+6.9
108.6
Offensive rating
116.3
107.2
Defensive rating
109.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.0%
3-point %
37.1%
60.4%
Assist %
70.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 116.3Defence107.2 · 109.4Shooting51.8% · 56.3%3-point %35.0% · 37.1%Ball care13.6% · 14.2%Off. rebounds21.8% · 24.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/22HNew York Knicks123-108
27/01/22ACleveland Cavaliers99-115
23/01/22HSacramento Kings133-127
22/01/22HChicago Bulls94-90
20/01/22HMemphis Grizzlies126-114
17/01/22AAtlanta Hawks114-121
15/01/22HToronto Raptors96-103
14/01/22HGolden State Warriors118-99
11/01/22ACharlotte Hornets99-103
09/01/22ACharlotte Hornets106-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/22ANew Orleans Pelicans116-105
27/01/22ABrooklyn Nets124-118
26/01/22ADetroit Pistons110-105
24/01/22HDetroit Pistons117-111
22/01/22HMemphis Grizzlies118-122
20/01/22HLos Angeles Clippers130-128 OT
17/01/22HUtah Jazz102-125
16/01/22HLos Angeles Lakers133-96
14/01/22HPortland Trail Blazers140-108
12/01/22ALos Angeles Clippers85-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW61%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayWLLLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %61%69%52%
Points / game112.0112.8111.1
Allowed / game108.3106.8109.8
Point differential+3.7+6.0+1.3
Avg total220.3219.6221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%38%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWLWLW59%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482226
Win %56%59%54%
Points / game108.5110.7106.6
Allowed / game107.0106.7107.3
Point differential+1.4+4.0-0.7
Avg total215.5217.5213.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)75% (4)62% (8)
Overtime %4%5%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns4839981%112.8104.9+8.0
2 Golden State Warriors50371374%110.2102.0+8.2
3 Memphis Grizzlies52351767%112.0108.2+3.8
4 Miami Heat50321864%109.1104.5+4.5
5 Chicago Bulls49311863%111.0109.2+1.8
6 Philadelphia 76ers49301961%107.6105.2+2.3
7 Milwaukee Bucks51312061%112.0108.3+3.7
8 Utah Jazz50302060%113.7107.4+6.2
9 Cleveland Cavaliers50302060%107.1102.5+4.6
10 Brooklyn Nets49292059%111.9110.0+1.8
11 Dallas Mavericks50292158%106.1103.3+2.8
12 Denver Nuggets48272156%108.5107.0+1.4
13 Charlotte Hornets51282355%114.5114.6-0.1
14 Toronto Raptors47242351%107.5106.7+0.8
15 Boston Celtics51262551%107.7104.8+2.9
16 Los Angeles Clippers52262650%105.9106.5-0.6
17 Minnesota Timberwolves49242549%111.3110.7+0.6
18 Atlanta Hawks49242549%111.7111.3+0.4
19 Los Angeles Lakers51242747%111.0112.6-1.6
20 Washington Wizards49232647%107.6110.1-2.5
21 New York Knicks50232746%103.8104.8-1.0
22 Portland Trail Blazers50212942%108.9112.7-3.7
23 San Antonio Spurs50193138%111.3111.3+0.0
24 New Orleans Pelicans49183137%105.6110.0-4.4
25 Indiana Pacers51183335%108.6110.7-2.0
26 Sacramento Kings51183335%109.5114.7-5.2
27 Oklahoma City Thunder48143429%100.8108.0-7.2
28 Houston Rockets49143529%108.3116.8-8.6
29 Detroit Pistons49123724%102.3111.6-9.3
30 Orlando Magic50104020%102.4110.4-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks30272419100
Denver Nuggets33323833136
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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