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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 107-114
29-17 34-32 21-31 23-34
Position#22
Record6-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game103.1
vs
Position#27
Record6-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game100.5
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
93-117
93
117
-24
72avg 89
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
120-109
120
109
+11
122avg 89
A04/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
84-96
84
96
-12
74avg 89
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
104-119
104
119
-15
92avg 89
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
108-104
108
104
+4
103avg 89
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
103-102
103
102
+1
97avg 89
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
107-98
107
98
+9
102avg 89
H14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
81-105
81
105
-24
49avg 89
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
115-98
115
98
+17
113avg 89
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
98-109
98
109
-11
87avg 89
A19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
28-29
20-37
23-22
30-36
30-21
33-26
27-26
24-19
18-21
22-25
20-31
23-40
21-34
31-25
29-20
29-33
28-25
22-22
29-24
25-32
28-32
34-16
16-22
30-23
29-28
23-23
25-24
13-27
15-33
26-28
27-17
31-21
20-32
32-22
32-23
24-31
34-34
21-28
19-16
207.0Avg total
101.3Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)99.7103.1202.8-3.450%
Season at home (5)96.099.0195.0-3.060%
Season away (7)102.3106.0208.3-3.743%
Last 10 (10)101.3105.7207.0-4.450%
Last 5 (5)100.8102.4203.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)104.9113.8218.6-8.914%
vs Similar ◀ (14)104.1100.5204.6+3.671%
vs Weaker (2)102.5104.0206.5-1.550%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
110-92
110
92
+18
102avg 93
H31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
101-90
101
90
+11
84avg 93
A01/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
96-102
96
102
-6
83avg 93
A03/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
118-97
118
97
+21
114avg 93
H05/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
92-100
92
100
-8
73avg 93
H07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
103-124
103
124
-21
86avg 93
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
118-104
118
104
+14
114avg 93
H13/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
105-81
105
81
+24
100avg 93
H15/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
120-101
120
101
+19
112avg 93
H17/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
97-103
97
103
-6
78avg 93
H19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
28-26
28-20
27-23
27-23
29-25
18-23
27-19
23-22
16-26
33-27
24-27
28-18
21-22
32-29
37-28
14-21
26-21
23-25
29-33
29-29
25-31
23-29
26-35
30-25
28-24
35-24
25-31
27-13
33-15
28-26
17-27
26-22
31-31
23-22
40-26
18-31
29-22
23-19
27-31
205.4Avg total
106.0Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)105.0100.5205.5+4.555%
Season at home (8)106.998.6205.5+8.262%
Season away (3)100.0105.3205.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)106.099.4205.4+6.660%
Last 5 (5)108.6102.6211.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)95.0101.3196.3-6.322%
vs Similar ◀ (10)97.694.7192.3+2.960%
vs Weaker (2)104.093.0197.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A04/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
44-74
44
74
-30
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A19/11
NBA
108.2Avg total
50.2Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.355.9107.2-4.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.252.8105.1-0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)50.658.2108.8-7.529%-
Last 10 (10)50.258.0108.2-7.830%-
Last 5 (5)49.858.6108.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)51.258.8110.0-7.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)51.253.4104.6-2.150%-
vs Weaker (2)53.053.0106.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A01/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H05/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H13/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
60-28
60
28
+32
H15/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H17/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H19/11
NBA
98.5Avg total
51.5Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.449.598.9-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (19)50.347.197.4+3.258%-
Last 30 away (11)47.953.5101.5-5.627%-
Last 10 (10)51.547.098.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)55.248.6103.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)46.751.197.8-4.328%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)54.547.3101.8+7.280%-
vs Weaker (2)48.546.094.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.629.9
47.8%
49.0%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.9
33.9%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.317.8
76.4%
75.5%17.8
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.529.6
47.4%
49.0%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.9
38.1%
35.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
75.5%17.1
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWWWLLWL
Phoenix Suns
LWWWLLWLWW
#22
League position
#27
-4.5
Net rating
+6.5
103.2
Offensive rating
104.2
107.7
Defensive rating
97.7
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
38.1%
59.8%
Assist %
49.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 104.2Defence107.7 · 97.7Shooting48.6% · 50.2%3-point %33.9% · 38.1%Ball care13.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds25.9% · 25.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/15ASan Antonio Spurs98-109
18/11/15ANew Orleans Pelicans115-98
15/11/15APhoenix Suns81-105
14/11/15HHouston Rockets107-98
12/11/15HMilwaukee Bucks103-102
10/11/15HPortland Trail Blazers108-104
07/11/15AGolden State Warriors104-119
06/11/15HUtah Jazz84-96
04/11/15ALos Angeles Lakers120-109
02/11/15AOklahoma City Thunder93-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/15HChicago Bulls97-103
17/11/15HLos Angeles Lakers120-101
15/11/15HDenver Nuggets105-81
13/11/15HLos Angeles Clippers118-104
09/11/15AOklahoma City Thunder103-124
07/11/15HDetroit Pistons92-100
05/11/15HSacramento Kings118-97
03/11/15ALos Angeles Clippers96-102
01/11/15APortland Trail Blazers101-90
31/10/15HPortland Trail Blazers110-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%60%43%
Points / game99.796.0102.3
Allowed / game103.199.0106.0
Point differential-3.4-3.0-3.7
Avg total202.8195.0208.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %55%62%33%
Points / game105.0106.9100.0
Allowed / game100.598.6105.3
Point differential+4.5+8.2-5.3
Avg total205.5205.5205.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors13130100%114.9100.2+14.7
2 San Antonio Spurs129375%101.192.3+8.8
3 Cleveland Cavaliers129375%103.596.7+6.8
4 Chicago Bulls118373%101.198.8+2.3
5 Dallas Mavericks139469%101.399.2+2.2
6 Atlanta Hawks149564%101.799.4+2.4
7 Miami Heat117464%97.893.1+4.7
8 Boston Celtics127558%103.996.7+7.2
9 Indiana Pacers127558%97.795.2+2.5
10 Detroit Pistons127558%97.296.4+0.8
11 Washington Wizards95456%104.3106.4-2.1
12 Phoenix Suns116555%105.0100.5+4.5
13 Los Angeles Clippers116555%106.2106.0+0.2
14 Oklahoma City Thunder137654%109.2104.5+4.6
15 Toronto Raptors137654%101.698.2+3.5
16 Charlotte Hornets137654%102.899.5+3.4
17 New York Knicks137654%98.497.5+0.8
18 Memphis Grizzlies137654%95.8100.8-5.0
19 Utah Jazz126650%95.192.4+2.7
20 Orlando Magic126650%101.2101.2+0.0
21 Denver Nuggets126650%99.7103.1-3.4
22 Milwaukee Bucks125742%96.9103.7-6.8
23 Minnesota Timberwolves135838%101.6102.8-1.2
24 Houston Rockets135838%100.1107.2-7.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers134931%100.6103.3-2.7
26 Sacramento Kings134931%103.7108.2-4.5
27 Los Angeles Lakers112918%99.4105.5-6.2
28 New Orleans Pelicans1321115%100.5108.4-7.8
29 Brooklyn Nets1321115%95.6104.6-9.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers130130%90.0104.8-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29342123107
Phoenix Suns17323134114
← all games of the day
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