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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 111-105
27-25 29-25 30-38 25-17
Position#12
Record14-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game108.7
Allowed / game108.7
vs
Position#7
Record14-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game104.4
Allowed / game104.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
121-120 OT
121
120
+1
113avg 101
A27/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
100-98
100
98
+2
95avg 101
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
107-115
107
115
-8
89avg 101
A02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
105-110
105
110
-5
90avg 101
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
110-121
110
121
-11
96avg 101
H07/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
104-136
104
136
-32
82avg 101
H09/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
106-123
106
123
-17
91avg 101
H11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
116-111
116
111
+5
106avg 101
A13/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
124-107
124
107
+17
115avg 101
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
110-92
110
92
+18
101avg 101
H18/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-20
21-21
16-29
28-30
20-26
28-31
30-19
22-22
24-24
33-29
31-38
19-24
34-27
21-32
30-27
20-24
24-33
24-28
30-35
32-25
33-34
26-26
22-35
23-41
20-34
24-31
27-27
35-31
33-26
23-29
33-29
27-27
40-32
35-29
33-27
16-19
23-16
31-29
31-20
25-27
223.6Avg total
110.3Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)108.7108.7217.4+0.048%
Season at home (17)106.1105.4211.5+0.747%
Season away (12)112.3113.3225.7-1.050%
Last 10 (10)110.3113.3223.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)112.0113.8225.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)116.0110.0226.0+6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (20)109.4111.8221.2-2.440%
vs Weaker (8)108.5102.1210.6+6.475%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
96-114
96
114
-18
76avg 101
H30/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
139-107
139
107
+32
142avg 101
A02/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
91-107
91
107
-16
78avg 101
H04/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
90-97
90
97
-7
70avg 101
H05/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
99-102
99
102
-3
83avg 101
H08/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
104-96
104
96
+8
103avg 101
A09/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
93-106
93
106
-13
81avg 101
A11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
103-84
103
84
+19
98avg 101
A13/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
120-96
120
96
+24
123avg 101
H14/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
104-107 OT
104
107
-3
91avg 101
H16/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
18-22
24-35
31-27
41-23
26-23
35-29
37-32
19-14
29-30
20-35
23-28
18-22
19-27
21-23
32-25
27-21
35-29
24-25
13-27
26-25
22-27
28-23
28-21
26-22
28-34
26-26
13-24
28-27
28-19
24-25
23-13
37-20
33-23
21-26
29-27
23-33
27-14
23-26
20-20
205.5Avg total
103.9Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)104.4104.6209.0-0.250%
Season at home (14)105.4104.9210.3+0.450%
Season away (14)103.4104.2207.6-0.850%
Last 10 (10)103.9101.6205.5+2.340%
Last 5 (5)104.897.8202.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)103.9105.2209.0-1.348%
vs Weaker (7)106.0105.6211.6+0.443%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A27/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H30/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A02/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H07/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H09/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
44-65
44
65
-21
H11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A13/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H18/12
NBA
110.9Avg total
55.2Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.854.2110.0+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.951.9106.9+3.050%-
Last 30 away (12)57.057.6114.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)55.255.7110.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)57.657.2114.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.550.0107.5+7.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)56.256.0112.3+0.245%-
vs Weaker (8)54.150.6104.8+3.562%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H30/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
67-46
67
46
+21
A02/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H04/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H05/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H08/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A09/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A13/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
70-43
70
43
+27
H14/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H16/12
NBA
101.8Avg total
53.3Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.852.0104.9+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.251.0104.2+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)52.553.1105.5-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)53.348.5101.8+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)55.648.8104.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)51.851.4103.3+0.443%-
vs Weaker (7)56.154.0110.1+2.157%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.125.3
49.5%
53.1%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.414.1
34.9%
35.3%42.3
🏀 Free throws22.817.4
76.3%
77.4%17.4
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.927.1
55.4%
53.1%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.612.0
31.9%
35.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
77.4%13.7
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLLLLLWW
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLWLLLWL
#12
League position
#7
-2.9
Net rating
+2.4
106.1
Offensive rating
107.7
109.0
Defensive rating
105.3
50.8%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
12.1%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.9%
3-point %
31.9%
55.6%
Assist %
57.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 107.7Defence109.0 · 105.3Shooting50.8% · 52.1%3-point %34.9% · 31.9%Ball care13.5% · 12.1%Off. rebounds23.6% · 22.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21HLos Angeles Lakers110-92
16/12/21ADenver Nuggets124-107
13/12/21APortland Trail Blazers116-111
11/12/21HCleveland Cavaliers106-123
09/12/21HUtah Jazz104-136
07/12/21HAtlanta Hawks110-121
04/12/21ABrooklyn Nets105-110
02/12/21AWashington Wizards107-115
30/11/21HIndiana Pacers100-98
27/11/21APhiladelphia 76ers121-120 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21HLos Angeles Lakers104-107 OT
14/12/21HCharlotte Hornets120-96
13/12/21AOklahoma City Thunder103-84
11/12/21AIndiana Pacers93-106
09/12/21AMemphis Grizzlies104-96
08/12/21HBrooklyn Nets99-102
05/12/21HMemphis Grizzlies90-97
04/12/21HNew Orleans Pelicans91-107
02/12/21ANew Orleans Pelicans139-107
30/11/21HCleveland Cavaliers96-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW48%
HomeWLLLW47%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %48%47%50%
Points / game108.7106.1112.3
Allowed / game108.7105.4113.3
Point differential+0.0+0.7-1.0
Avg total217.4211.5225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%35%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game104.4105.4103.4
Allowed / game104.6104.9104.2
Point differential-0.2+0.4-0.8
Avg total209.0210.3207.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns2823582%111.0104.5+6.5
2 Golden State Warriors3024680%111.4101.1+10.3
3 Brooklyn Nets3021970%109.7106.3+3.4
4 Utah Jazz2920969%115.6105.1+10.4
5 Chicago Bulls27171063%108.3105.7+2.6
6 Cleveland Cavaliers31191261%107.0101.1+5.9
7 Memphis Grizzlies31191261%111.1108.7+2.4
8 Milwaukee Bucks32191359%110.0107.3+2.8
9 Miami Heat31181358%106.6103.7+2.9
10 Los Angeles Clippers30161453%106.0104.9+1.1
11 Los Angeles Lakers30161453%110.5111.2-0.7
12 Denver Nuggets29151452%106.8106.5+0.3
13 Charlotte Hornets31161552%115.6116.6-1.0
14 Washington Wizards31161552%105.6108.1-2.5
15 Boston Celtics30151550%108.5107.3+1.2
16 Dallas Mavericks28141450%104.4104.6-0.2
17 Philadelphia 76ers30151550%105.6106.7-1.1
18 Atlanta Hawks29141548%111.5110.0+1.5
19 Toronto Raptors29141548%106.4105.2+1.2
20 Minnesota Timberwolves29141548%108.7108.7+0.0
21 New York Knicks30131743%105.9107.4-1.5
22 Indiana Pacers31131842%108.0106.5+1.5
23 Portland Trail Blazers31131842%108.5111.0-2.5
24 Sacramento Kings31131842%111.3114.4-3.1
25 San Antonio Spurs29111838%109.6110.4-0.8
26 Houston Rockets30102033%106.4112.9-6.4
27 New Orleans Pelicans31102132%104.4110.0-5.6
28 Oklahoma City Thunder2891932%99.1108.1-9.0
29 Orlando Magic3162519%101.4111.3-9.9
30 Detroit Pistons2952417%100.4109.4-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves27293025111
Dallas Mavericks25253817105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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