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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 02 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#28
Record19-45
FormWWLLL
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game117.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#12
Record40-27
FormWWLLW
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game110.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
116-128
116
128
-12
103avg 102
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
123-139
123
139
-16
102avg 102
A25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
129-126
129
126
+3
117avg 102
A27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
125-136
125
136
-11
109avg 102
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
91-111
91
111
-20
74avg 102
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
139-134
139
134
+5
134avg 102
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
115-108
115
108
+7
111avg 102
H05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
118-132
118
132
-14
105avg 102
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
107-120
107
120
-13
89avg 102
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
111-117
111
117
-6
102avg 102
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-43
27-30
22-24
29-31
27-41
38-40
31-29
27-29
29-28
28-32
38-34
34-32
35-35
30-34
31-34
29-33
24-28
20-35
21-18
26-30
28-31
44-37
37-43
30-23
22-29
33-29
33-21
27-29
24-29
31-36
28-37
35-30
29-36
34-35
21-27
23-22
35-26
21-26
24-31
31-34
242.5Avg total
117.4Scored
125.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)113.2117.5230.8-4.330%
Season at home (32)110.7115.3226.0-4.725%
Season away (32)115.8119.8235.6-3.934%
Last 10 (10)117.4125.1242.5-7.730%
Last 5 (5)118.0122.2240.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)113.4121.6234.9-8.212%
vs Similar (13)117.4119.9237.3-2.531%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
139-123
139
123
+16
132avg 108
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
109-103
109
103
+6
98avg 108
A27/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
118-126
118
126
-8
109avg 108
A29/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
111-91
111
91
+20
108avg 108
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
107-109
107
109
-2
102avg 108
A03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
127-123 OT
127
123
+4
121avg 108
H05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
121-96
121
96
+25
116avg 108
H07/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
109-112
109
112
-3
92avg 108
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
109-119
109
119
-10
97avg 108
A11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
113-97
113
97
+16
105avg 108
H12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-27
40-38
29-31
29-27
36-20
23-29
29-28
21-26
31-31
24-32
38-25
25-38
28-24
35-20
18-21
30-26
29-19
29-29
17-33
32-28
24-22
33-33
30-30
25-27
33-28
28-21
34-16
26-31
26-31
26-24
32-31
25-26
29-27
30-27
26-29
24-36
33-29
24-21
27-35
29-12
226.2Avg total
116.3Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)116.4110.3226.7+6.060%
Season at home (34)116.1110.1226.1+6.056%
Season away (33)116.7110.6227.2+6.164%
Last 10 (10)116.3109.9226.2+6.460%
Last 5 (5)115.8109.4225.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)111.7113.4225.1-1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)119.4110.5229.9+8.972%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H08/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A11/03
NBA
125.7Avg total
59.7Scored
66.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.360.6119.9-1.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.958.3117.2+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)59.763.3123.0-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)59.766.0125.7-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)60.262.8123.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)58.662.0120.6-3.429%-
vs Similar (13)60.258.8119.1+1.446%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H25/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A27/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A29/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
63-44
63
44
+19
A01/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A03/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H07/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#17
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H12/03
NBA
113.4Avg total
60.2Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.356.3116.6+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.158.4116.5-0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)62.254.5116.8+7.881%-
Last 10 (10)60.253.2113.4+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)57.252.6109.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)53.959.2113.1-5.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)64.654.4119.0+10.294%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.728.7
54.5%
52.3%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.614.1
35.6%
35.7%42.3
🏀 Free throws24.617.7
72.0%
77.2%17.7
They take 92.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.426.3
55.5%
52.3%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.016.0
36.4%
35.7%48.0
🏀 Free throws21.615.7
72.7%
77.2%15.7
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWLLWLL
Dallas Mavericks
WLLWWLWLWW
#28
League position
#12
-7.1
Net rating
+6.1
107.9
Offensive rating
111.3
115.0
Defensive rating
105.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.2%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
18.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.6%
3-point %
36.4%
57.2%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 111.3Defence115.0 · 105.2Shooting54.0% · 55.0%3-point %35.6% · 36.4%Ball care13.4% · 12.2%Off. rebounds19.0% · 18.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/20AHouston Rockets111-117
08/03/20HNew Orleans Pelicans107-120
07/03/20HOrlando Magic118-132
05/03/20HChicago Bulls115-108
04/03/20ANew Orleans Pelicans139-134
01/03/20HDallas Mavericks91-111
29/02/20AOrlando Magic125-136
27/02/20AMiami Heat129-126
25/02/20ADallas Mavericks123-139
23/02/20ADenver Nuggets116-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/20HDenver Nuggets113-97
11/03/20ASan Antonio Spurs109-119
08/03/20HIndiana Pacers109-112
07/03/20HMemphis Grizzlies121-96
05/03/20HNew Orleans Pelicans127-123 OT
03/03/20AChicago Bulls107-109
01/03/20AMinnesota Timberwolves111-91
29/02/20AMiami Heat118-126
27/02/20ASan Antonio Spurs109-103
25/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves139-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL30%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLWLWL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643232
Win %30%25%34%
Points / game113.2110.7115.8
Allowed / game117.5115.3119.8
Point differential-4.3-4.7-3.9
Avg total230.8226.0235.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%12%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %11%12%9%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayWLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673433
Win %60%56%64%
Points / game116.4116.1116.7
Allowed / game110.3110.1110.6
Point differential+6.0+6.0+6.1
Avg total226.7226.1227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%29%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (22)25% (12)30% (10)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks65531282%118.6107.4+11.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers63491478%114.3106.9+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors64461872%113.0106.5+6.5
4 Los Angeles Clippers64442069%116.2109.7+6.5
5 Boston Celtics64432167%113.0106.8+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets65432266%110.4107.4+3.0
7 Utah Jazz64412364%111.0107.9+3.2
8 Miami Heat65412463%112.2108.9+3.2
9 Houston Rockets64402462%118.1114.4+3.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder64402462%110.8108.3+2.5
11 Philadelphia 76ers65392660%109.6107.4+2.2
12 Indiana Pacers65392660%109.3107.4+1.9
13 Dallas Mavericks67402760%116.4110.3+6.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies65323349%112.6113.7-1.1
15 Brooklyn Nets64303447%110.8111.4-0.6
16 Orlando Magic65303546%106.4107.3-1.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers66293744%113.6115.2-1.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans64283644%116.2117.0-0.8
19 Sacramento Kings64283644%109.0110.9-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs63273643%113.2114.9-1.8
21 Phoenix Suns65263940%112.6113.9-1.4
22 Washington Wizards64244038%115.6119.7-4.0
23 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
24 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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