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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 25 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record7-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game110.3
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#24
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 103
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 103
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 103
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 103
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 103
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 103
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 103
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 103
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 103
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 103
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
223.9Avg total
116.8Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)118.1107.0225.1+11.173%
Season at home (5)117.0102.8219.8+14.280%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)116.8107.1223.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)114.0107.4221.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.0119.6224.6-14.629%
vs Similar (13)113.9114.8228.8-0.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)121.3106.0227.3+15.390%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
121-105
121
105
+16
119avg 99
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
79avg 99
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 99
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
120-96
120
96
+24
114avg 99
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 99
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#29
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 99
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-112
111
112
-1
98avg 99
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 99
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
130-93
130
93
+37
134avg 99
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
125-122
125
122
+3
120avg 99
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-27
33-16
21-33
23-29
31-32
29-36
29-24
17-30
23-27
30-25
30-32
30-25
33-30
32-29
29-22
26-15
27-20
17-31
32-33
40-27
18-19
35-35
21-27
26-34
26-32
25-36
29-22
31-22
26-28
31-29
32-19
23-24
33-26
33-20
34-25
30-22
26-31
30-35
34-27
35-29
223.9Avg total
115.4Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.9110.3225.2+4.664%
Season at home (7)115.6108.4224.0+7.171%
Season away (4)113.8113.5227.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)115.4108.5223.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)115.6108.4224.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)114.9125.2240.2-10.321%
vs Similar (5)119.8117.6237.4+2.260%
vs Weaker (6)116.8107.3224.2+9.583%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
109.7Avg total
56.9Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.3112.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.754.1111.8+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)55.956.2112.1-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)56.952.8109.7+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.2109.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.456.9107.3-6.414%-
vs Similar (13)56.957.1114.0-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)60.851.8112.6+9.0100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
77-43
77
43
+34
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#29
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H10/11
NBA
114.6Avg total
58.2Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.960.6118.5-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.260.3120.5-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)55.660.8116.4-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)58.256.4114.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.2114.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)55.863.1118.8-7.326%-
vs Similar (5)63.060.2123.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker (6)60.353.0113.3+7.350%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.2
51.7%
54.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.2
36.5%
35.0%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.219.2
70.6%
76.8%19.2
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.530.1
57.3%
54.0%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.5
37.1%
35.0%40.5
🏀 Free throws23.818.6
78.2%
76.8%18.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLLWW
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLLWWWLW
#5
League position
#12
+2.9
Net rating
+6.0
110.4
Offensive rating
112.7
107.6
Defensive rating
106.8
52.9%
Effective FG%
56.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.5%
3-point %
37.1%
57.0%
Assist %
63.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 112.7Defence107.6 · 106.8Shooting52.9% · 56.6%3-point %36.5% · 37.1%Ball care14.2% · 15.4%Off. rebounds34.2% · 31.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HIndiana Pacers125-122
09/11/26HBrooklyn Nets130-93
07/11/26HUtah Jazz112-100
05/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-112
03/11/26HSacramento Kings100-115
31/10/26HHouston Rockets116-111
29/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder120-96
26/10/26AMiami Heat113-109
25/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs106-122
23/10/26AIndiana Pacers121-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game118.1117.0119.0
Allowed / game107.0102.8110.5
Point differential+11.1+14.2+8.5
Avg total225.1219.8229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%71%50%
Points / game114.9115.6113.8
Allowed / game110.3108.4113.5
Point differential+4.6+7.1+0.2
Avg total225.2224.0227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
14 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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