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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 117-113 (OT)
31-26 28-24 27-30 19-25 12-8
Position#15
Record39-29
FormWWLLL
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game105.3
vs
Position#16
Record37-33
FormWWLWW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game102.2
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
17 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Feb 2027
WAS v MIA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
WAS117
MIA140
08 Feb 2026
WAS101
MIA132
31 Mar 2025
WAS94
MIA120
02 Nov 2024
WAS98
MIA118
31 Mar 2024
WAS107
MIA119
02 Feb 2024
WAS102
MIA110
07 Apr 2023
WAS114
MIA108
18 Nov 2022
WAS107
MIA106
07 Feb 2022
WAS100
MIA121
20 Nov 2021
WAS103
MIA100
09 Jan 2021
WAS124
MIA128
08 Mar 2020
WAS89
MIA100
30 Dec 2019
WAS123
MIA105
23 Mar 2019
WAS108
MIA113
18 Oct 2018
WAS112
MIA113
05 Oct 2018
WAS121
MIA114
06 Mar 2018
WAS117
MIA113
17 Nov 2017
WAS88
MIA91
10 Jul 2017
WAS87
MIA91
08 Apr 2017
WAS103
MIA106
19 Nov 2016
WAS111
MIA114
04 Oct 2016
WAS95
MIA106
20 Jan 2016
WAS106
MIA87
03 Jan 2016
WAS75
MIA97
06 Mar 2015
WAS99
MIA97
01 Dec 2014
WAS107
MIA86
17 Jul 2014
WAS78
MIA67
15 Jul 2014
WAS85
MIA83
14 Apr 2014
WAS114
MIA93
15 Jan 2014
WAS114
MIA97
15 Oct 2013
WAS100
MIA82
10 Apr 2013
WAS98
MIA103
04 Dec 2012
WAS105
MIA101
26 Apr 2012
WAS104
MIA70
10 Feb 2012
WAS89
MIA106
30 Mar 2011
WAS107
MIA123
18 Dec 2010
WAS94
MIA95
22 Jan 2010
WAS88
MIA112
04 Nov 2009
WAS89
MIA93
04 Apr 2009
WAS104
MIA118
18 Nov 2008
WAS87
MIA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
H09/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
101-90
101
90
+11
A11/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
118-113
118
113
+5
A15/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
110-103
110
103
+7
A23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
105-122
105
122
-17
H24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
109-94
109
94
+15
H26/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
107-104
107
104
+3
A28/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
101-109
101
109
-8
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
95-98
95
98
-3
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
24-23
19-26
28-23
30-22
26-24
26-24
19-20
26-39
25-33
39-15
28-26
22-31
35-23
25-25
28-24
26-36
29-31
27-27
23-28
30-28
37-20
20-25
22-21
40-22
24-28
20-31
23-23
21-36
35-22
14-27
31-24
27-19
20-32
27-26
21-25
20-30
25-25
20-25
30-18
209.0Avg total
104.5Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)107.0105.3212.3+1.757%
Season at home (34)108.4105.0213.4+3.559%
Season away (34)105.6105.7211.2-0.156%
Last 10 (10)104.5104.5209.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)101.4101.4202.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)109.8108.2218.0+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)104.9108.4213.3-3.441%
vs Weaker (9)113.8105.6219.3+8.289%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
101-109
101
109
-8
H08/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H10/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
112-115
112
115
-3
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
102-104
102
104
-2
A15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
L
123-124 OT
123
124
-1
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
115-89
115
89
+26
H25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
113-131
113
131
-18
H02/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H04/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
125-103
125
103
+22
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-35
33-26
23-22
21-26
19-23
23-23
30-8
19-31
24-28
31-29
26-41
31-17
29-20
33-19
19-34
21-31
27-22
32-35
30-27
19-24
34-31
26-21
32-18
23-19
17-24
28-24
28-27
29-26
36-33
26-40
32-31
19-27
27-28
32-18
15-24
31-26
30-27
31-21
32-32
32-23
214.6Avg total
108.9Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)101.5102.2203.8-0.753%
Season at home (34)102.6102.2204.7+0.462%
Season away (36)100.6102.3202.9-1.744%
Last 10 (10)108.9105.7214.6+3.250%
Last 5 (5)112.0104.0216.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)99.6102.8202.4-3.138%
vs Similar ◀ (18)103.7102.7206.4+1.061%
vs Weaker (4)109.8100.0209.8+9.850%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Washington WizardsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H09/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A11/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A15/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
67-48
67
48
+19
H26/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A28/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H04/03
NBA
109.9Avg total
54.9Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.954.5109.4+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.654.5110.1+1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)54.154.5108.6-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)54.955.0109.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)55.852.4108.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.254.8109.0-0.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)53.153.6106.7-0.641%-
vs Weaker (9)58.656.0114.6+2.678%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#1
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H08/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H28/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H02/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H04/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H06/03
NBA
108.9Avg total
56.2Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.351.0103.3+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.251.6103.8+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)52.550.3102.8+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)56.252.7108.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)57.453.4110.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)51.248.8100.0+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)52.452.1104.5+0.461%-
vs Weaker (4)54.050.5104.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 104.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.829.8
50.7%
51.0%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.2
37.9%
36.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.514.3
81.7%
76.5%14.3
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.929.9
49.9%
51.0%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.6
36.8%
36.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.617.3
76.5%
76.5%17.3
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLWWLWWWL
Miami Heat
WWLWWLLLWL
#15
League position
#16
+0.0
Net rating
+3.2
107.4
Offensive rating
109.0
107.4
Defensive rating
105.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
12.8%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.9%
3-point %
36.8%
69.8%
Assist %
57.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 109.0Defence107.4 · 105.8Shooting52.6% · 51.6%3-point %37.9% · 36.8%Ball care14.9% · 12.8%Off. rebounds25.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Washington Wizards wins
9
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18HIndiana Pacers95-98
03/03/18HToronto Raptors95-102
01/03/18HGolden State Warriors101-109
28/02/18AMilwaukee Bucks107-104
26/02/18HPhiladelphia 76ers109-94
24/02/18HCharlotte Hornets105-122
23/02/18ACleveland Cavaliers110-103
15/02/18ANew York Knicks118-113
11/02/18AChicago Bulls101-90
09/02/18HBoston Celtics104-110 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/18HPhoenix Suns125-103
04/03/18HDetroit Pistons105-96
02/03/18HLos Angeles Lakers113-131
28/02/18HPhiladelphia 76ers102-101
25/02/18HMemphis Grizzlies115-89
24/02/18ANew Orleans Pelicans123-124 OT
15/02/18APhiladelphia 76ers102-104
14/02/18AToronto Raptors112-115
10/02/18HMilwaukee Bucks91-85
08/02/18HHouston Rockets101-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeLWLLL59%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683434
Win %57%59%56%
Points / game107.0108.4105.6
Allowed / game105.3105.0105.7
Point differential+1.7+3.5-0.1
Avg total212.3213.4211.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%26%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)56% (9)42% (12)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703436
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game101.5102.6100.6
Allowed / game102.2102.2102.3
Point differential-0.7+0.4-1.7
Avg total203.8204.7202.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (25)75% (12)46% (13)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets66521479%113.4104.7+8.8
2 Golden State Warriors67511676%116.0107.6+8.3
3 Toronto Raptors67481972%111.7103.3+8.5
4 Boston Celtics69492071%104.599.8+4.7
5 Portland Trail Blazers69422761%105.8103.2+2.5
6 Indiana Pacers67392858%106.2104.5+1.7
7 San Antonio Spurs69402958%102.799.4+3.3
8 Minnesota Timberwolves69402958%109.7107.2+2.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder68392957%106.2103.3+2.9
10 Washington Wizards68392957%107.0105.3+1.7
11 New Orleans Pelicans66372956%111.7111.7+0.0
12 Denver Nuggets68383056%108.5107.4+1.0
13 Cleveland Cavaliers68383056%109.3109.5-0.2
14 Utah Jazz67373055%103.1101.0+2.2
15 Philadelphia 76ers67363154%107.6105.8+1.7
16 Los Angeles Clippers67363154%108.8108.0+0.9
17 Miami Heat70373353%101.5102.2-0.7
18 Milwaukee Bucks68353351%104.4105.2-0.9
19 Detroit Pistons69313845%103.0104.1-1.1
20 Charlotte Hornets69303943%106.1106.4-0.3
21 Los Angeles Lakers69303943%107.5109.4-1.9
22 New York Knicks69244535%103.6107.4-3.8
23 Chicago Bulls69244535%102.9109.4-6.4
24 Brooklyn Nets68234534%106.2109.5-3.2
25 Dallas Mavericks70234733%102.2104.5-2.3
26 Orlando Magic70234733%104.8108.6-3.8
27 Atlanta Hawks69224732%103.2107.6-4.3
28 Memphis Grizzlies68214731%99.3102.9-3.6
29 Sacramento Kings70214930%98.5106.5-8.0
30 Phoenix Suns70205029%104.7113.4-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Washington Wizards3128271912117
Miami Heat262430258113
← all games of the day
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