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Olimpia Milano vs Varese Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
6.4/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game87.1
ItalyLega ARound 14· Unipol Forum
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Varese
03 Jan 2027
MIL v VAR
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
MIL74
VAR84
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
VAR92
03 Mar 2024
MIL94
VAR63
26 Dec 2022
MIL96
VAR84
26 Mar 2022
MIL95
VAR77
05 Apr 2021
MIL81
VAR83
10 Sep 2020
MIL91
VAR77
03 Nov 2019
MIL93
VAR69
23 Dec 2018
MIL72
VAR67
08 Oct 2017
MIL74
VAR73
16 Oct 2016
MIL79
VAR71
11 Oct 2015
MIL90
VAR62
15 Mar 2015
MIL79
VAR69
20 Oct 2013
MIL84
VAR72
23 Dec 2012
MIL77
VAR83
09 Oct 2011
MIL89
VAR75
29 Dec 2010
MIL84
VAR80
31 Jan 2010
MIL74
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
97-101
97
101
-4
93avg 82
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 82
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 82
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 82
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
25-18
16-27
11-18
31-23
173.4Avg total
86.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.982.7173.6+8.171%
Season at home (4)92.885.0177.8+7.875%
Season away (3)88.379.7168.0+8.767%
Last 10 (10)86.287.2173.4-1.030%
Last 5 (5)83.484.4167.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.589.2170.8-7.80%
vs Similar (6)86.287.8174.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.679.8168.4+8.975%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 77
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 77
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 77
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 77
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 77
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
92avg 77
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
90avg 77
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
25-23
25-21
23-27
26-17
26-14
23-26
14-27
18-17
20-28
27-30
17-21
32-22
34-18
21-22
25-18
19-26
175.2Avg total
89.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.187.1176.2+2.062%
Season at home (4)86.290.2176.5-4.050%
Season away (4)92.084.0176.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)89.086.2175.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)94.083.6177.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.590.2173.7-6.636%
vs Similar (14)87.486.9174.2+0.557%
vs Weaker (5)92.679.4172.0+13.280%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
Olimpia MilanoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
Euroleague
88.7Avg total
44.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.587.1+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.989.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.143.184.3-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.988.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.890.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.545.586.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.241.188.4+6.169%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A14/11
Lega A
86.7Avg total
45.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.885.1-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.286.6+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.283.9-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.686.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.691.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.546.087.5-4.527%-
vs Similar (14)41.641.483.1+0.257%-
vs Weaker (5)46.439.485.8+7.080%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
34.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
74.6%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
34.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.1
69.2%
74.6%17.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWLLLLWL
Varese
WLLWWWLLWL
#3
League position
#6
-1.4
Net rating
-1.2
100.0
Offensive rating
91.5
101.4
Defensive rating
92.7
55.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.0%
3-point %
36.3%
66.8%
Assist %
66.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 91.5Defence101.4 · 92.7Shooting55.5% · 52.4%3-point %36.0% · 36.3%Ball care16.5% · 18.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AReggiana99-84
11/11/26APeristeri96-101
08/11/26HUdine81-84
31/10/26AVerona99-88
27/10/26ABamberg95-61
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game90.992.888.3
Allowed / game82.785.079.7
Point differential+8.1+7.8+8.7
Avg total173.6177.8168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game89.186.292.0
Allowed / game87.190.284.0
Point differential+2.0-4.0+8.0
Avg total176.2176.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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