PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 119-115
27-25 29-30 33-31 30-29
Position#9
Record44-35
FormWWWWW
Points / game113.7
Allowed / game111.3
vs
Position#2
Record52-27
FormWLLWL
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game112.5
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
116-113
116
113
+3
106avg 106
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
120-124
120
124
-4
112avg 106
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
111-122
111
122
-11
98avg 106
A23/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
127-135
127
135
-8
126avg 106
A25/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
125-105
125
105
+20
124avg 106
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
117-103
117
103
+14
109avg 106
A28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
107-100
107
100
+7
94avg 106
H30/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
100-93
100
93
+7
96avg 106
H01/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
128-118
128
118
+10
128avg 106
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
115-94
115
94
+21
113avg 106
H05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-31
33-27
31-27
22-28
31-25
38-32
27-33
24-34
26-23
26-36
33-29
26-34
30-24
37-32
26-45
34-34
26-24
32-29
31-30
36-22
37-26
20-26
27-29
33-22
25-24
23-27
33-23
26-26
32-20
28-20
24-34
16-19
27-27
42-28
29-34
30-29
42-25
27-26
28-25
18-18
227.3Avg total
116.6Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)113.7111.3225.0+2.356%
Season at home (39)114.0108.8222.8+5.169%
Season away (40)113.3113.7227.1-0.442%
Last 10 (10)116.6110.7227.3+5.970%
Last 5 (5)113.4101.6215.0+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.094.0200.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (23)114.8113.3228.2+1.552%
vs Weaker (6)116.2103.3219.5+12.8100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-100
119
100
+19
116avg 112
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
110-116
110
116
-6
105avg 112
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
108-102
108
102
+6
110avg 112
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
118-104
118
104
+14
116avg 112
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
129-106
129
106
+23
126avg 112
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
117avg 112
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
88-107
88
107
-19
75avg 112
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
93-100
93
100
-7
77avg 112
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
112-110
112
110
+2
99avg 112
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
103-124
103
124
-21
97avg 112
A05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
29-36
28-22
33-14
28-36
39-26
24-29
19-25
33-21
30-27
28-23
17-31
31-29
24-28
39-16
24-31
37-38
26-28
34-19
32-21
25-18
36-39
30-20
25-34
17-21
23-29
30-32
18-25
20-32
20-28
34-24
19-16
26-36
32-25
31-26
23-23
30-31
29-25
26-30
18-38
217.6Avg total
109.6Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)115.9112.5228.4+3.466%
Season at home (40)119.7110.0229.6+9.782%
Season away (39)112.1115.2227.2-3.149%
Last 10 (10)109.6108.0217.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)102.4110.4212.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)111.3111.9223.2-0.753%
vs Weaker (15)118.7113.4232.1+5.367%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.0-3.0
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H17/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A23/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A25/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H26/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H30/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H01/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H05/04
NBA
114.4Avg total
61.2Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.654.8112.4+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.255.3112.5+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)58.054.3112.3+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)61.253.2114.4+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)60.649.8110.4+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.044.0101.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)57.056.7113.7+0.248%-
vs Weaker (6)60.349.0109.3+11.3100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A05/04
NBA
114.5Avg total
56.4Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.558.9118.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.056.9117.9+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)58.160.8118.9-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)56.458.1114.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)51.656.8108.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.260.5116.7-4.333%-
vs Weaker (15)62.757.3120.1+5.460%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.631.9
53.5%
54.5%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.4
36.4%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws23.318.6
79.8%
78.1%18.6
They take 90.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.931.6
55.5%
54.5%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.3
34.0%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.5
73.1%
78.1%15.5
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWWWWWLLLW
Denver Nuggets
LWLLWWWWLW
#9
League position
#2
+5.8
Net rating
+1.6
115.5
Offensive rating
112.2
109.7
Defensive rating
110.6
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
11.9%
Turnover %
12.4%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.4%
3-point %
34.0%
66.1%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 112.2Defence109.7 · 110.6Shooting53.9% · 54.0%3-point %36.4% · 34.0%Ball care11.9% · 12.4%Off. rebounds26.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Phoenix Suns wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/23HSan Antonio Spurs115-94
02/04/23AOklahoma City Thunder128-118
01/04/23HDenver Nuggets100-93
30/03/23HMinnesota Timberwolves107-100
28/03/23AUtah Jazz117-103
26/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers125-105
25/03/23ASacramento Kings127-135
23/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers111-122
19/03/23AOklahoma City Thunder120-124
17/03/23HOrlando Magic116-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/23AHouston Rockets103-124
03/04/23HGolden State Warriors112-110
01/04/23APhoenix Suns93-100
31/03/23HNew Orleans Pelicans88-107
28/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers116-111
26/03/23HMilwaukee Bucks129-106
22/03/23AWashington Wizards118-104
19/03/23ABrooklyn Nets108-102
18/03/23ANew York Knicks110-116
16/03/23ADetroit Pistons119-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games793940
Win %56%69%42%
Points / game113.7114.0113.3
Allowed / game111.3108.8113.7
Point differential+2.3+5.1-0.4
Avg total225.0222.8227.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (23)64% (11)25% (12)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL66%
HomeLWWLW82%
AwayLWWLL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %66%82%49%
Points / game115.9119.7112.1
Allowed / game112.5110.0115.2
Point differential+3.4+9.7-3.1
Avg total228.4229.6227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (23)67% (15)88% (8)
Overtime %4%5%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks80582272%117.1112.9+4.2
2 Boston Celtics80552569%117.9111.5+6.4
3 Denver Nuggets79522766%115.9112.5+3.4
4 Philadelphia 76ers80522865%114.7110.7+4.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers81513063%112.5106.9+5.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies80503062%116.9112.9+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings80483260%121.3118.2+3.2
8 New York Knicks80473359%115.9112.8+3.2
9 Phoenix Suns79443556%113.7111.3+2.3
10 Brooklyn Nets80443655%113.6112.6+1.0
11 Miami Heat80433754%109.3109.7-0.4
12 Golden State Warriors80423852%118.5117.6+0.9
13 Los Angeles Clippers80423852%113.2112.9+0.3
14 New Orleans Pelicans80413951%114.5112.6+1.9
15 Atlanta Hawks80413951%118.3117.9+0.4
16 Los Angeles Lakers80413951%117.0116.7+0.3
17 Toronto Raptors80404050%112.9111.3+1.6
18 Minnesota Timberwolves80404050%115.4115.7-0.3
19 Oklahoma City Thunder81394248%117.5116.6+0.9
20 Chicago Bulls80384248%113.2112.2+1.0
21 Dallas Mavericks80384248%114.2113.8+0.4
22 Utah Jazz80364445%117.1117.9-0.9
23 Washington Wizards80344642%113.2114.5-1.2
24 Orlando Magic80344642%111.8114.0-2.2
25 Indiana Pacers80344642%116.0119.2-3.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers80334741%113.4116.7-3.3
27 Charlotte Hornets80265432%111.0117.5-6.5
28 San Antonio Spurs80215926%112.5122.8-10.3
29 Houston Rockets80206025%110.7118.8-8.2
30 Detroit Pistons80166420%110.5118.8-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns27293330119
Denver Nuggets25303129115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.