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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 90-86
23-13 24-21 25-27 18-25
Position#4
Record57-31
FormWLWWL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game106.7
vs
Position#11
Record51-37
FormLWLLW
Points / game111.3
Allowed / game109.8
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
119-110
119
110
+9
no box
H06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
108-115
108
115
-7
92avg 105
A08/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
108-118
108
118
-10
92avg 105
A10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
H14/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
114-105
114
105
+9
106avg 105
H17/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
108-118
108
118
-10
105avg 105
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
117-103
117
103
+14
110avg 105
A20/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
108-90
108
90
+18
109avg 105
H24/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
103-120
103
120
-17
89avg 105
A26/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
34-21
28-37
35-23
25-29
24-31
32-26
27-29
21-27
38-33
27-31
22-27
22-21
29-29
22-29
26-16
20-25
31-34
17-13
28-29
21-26
28-33
26-23
39-23
22-31
36-30
26-27
24-30
22-34
32-20
37-25
26-24
26-19
27-23
32-21
23-27
24-34
36-30
25-26
18-30
215.5Avg total
108.0Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (88)110.5106.7217.1+3.865%
Season at home (44)113.6103.3216.8+10.382%
Season away (44)107.4110.1217.5-2.748%
Last 10 (10)108.0107.5215.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)110.0107.2217.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)107.4108.2215.6-0.848%
vs Weaker (9)107.6100.9208.4+6.778%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
85-113
85
113
-28
67avg 104
A04/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
129-112
129
112
+17
no box
A05/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
112-90
112
90
+22
113avg 104
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
105-94
105
94
+11
no box
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
101-96
101
96
+5
no box
A14/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
105-114
105
114
-9
98avg 104
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
118-108
118
108
+10
109avg 104
H19/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
103-117
103
117
-14
98avg 104
H20/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
90-108
90
108
-18
72avg 104
A24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
120-103
120
103
+17
117avg 104
H26/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
19-33
21-25
21-27
37-32
40-26
28-30
24-24
24-24
38-22
17-17
33-27
30-16
27-21
23-28
25-29
25-20
34-31
13-17
29-28
26-21
33-28
23-26
23-39
31-22
30-36
27-26
30-24
34-22
20-32
25-37
24-26
19-26
23-27
21-32
27-23
34-24
30-36
26-25
30-18
212.3Avg total
106.8Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (88)111.3109.8221.1+1.558%
Season at home (44)112.9106.2219.0+6.777%
Season away (44)109.7113.5223.2-3.839%
Last 10 (10)106.8105.5212.3+1.360%
Last 5 (5)107.2110.0217.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)116.3113.0229.3+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (19)105.5106.1211.5-0.653%
vs Weaker (8)115.0105.9220.9+9.188%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H06/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A08/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A10/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H11/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H14/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H17/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A19/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A20/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H24/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A26/04
NBA
109.9Avg total
54.0Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.254.7109.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.752.4109.1+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)53.757.0110.7-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)54.055.9109.9-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)54.856.0110.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.056.3109.4-3.333%-
vs Weaker (9)60.250.9111.1+9.389%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A04/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A05/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A14/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A17/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H19/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H26/04
NBA
110.5Avg total
57.8Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.353.8109.0+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.953.0108.9+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)54.654.5109.1+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)57.852.7110.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)56.054.8110.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.054.0110.0+2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)54.253.7107.9+0.558%-
vs Weaker (8)57.553.8111.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.830.2
51.4%
51.7%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.8
37.6%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.115.2
72.0%
76.6%15.2
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.933.6
52.6%
51.7%67.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.3
34.1%
35.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.617.3
76.5%
76.6%17.3
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWLWLLW
San Antonio Spurs
WLLWLWWWWL
#4
League position
#11
+1.2
Net rating
+1.2
113.0
Offensive rating
111.9
111.8
Defensive rating
110.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
9.8%
Turnover %
10.4%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.6%
3-point %
34.1%
63.2%
Assist %
55.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 111.9Defence111.8 · 110.7Shooting53.0% · 52.2%3-point %37.6% · 34.1%Ball care9.8% · 10.4%Off. rebounds22.2% · 25.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/19ASan Antonio Spurs103-120
24/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs108-90
20/04/19ASan Antonio Spurs117-103
19/04/19ASan Antonio Spurs108-118
17/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs114-105
14/04/19HSan Antonio Spurs96-101
11/04/19HMinnesota Timberwolves99-95
10/04/19AUtah Jazz108-118
08/04/19APortland Trail Blazers108-115
06/04/19HPortland Trail Blazers119-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/19HDenver Nuggets120-103
24/04/19ADenver Nuggets90-108
20/04/19HDenver Nuggets103-117
19/04/19HDenver Nuggets118-108
17/04/19ADenver Nuggets105-114
14/04/19ADenver Nuggets101-96
11/04/19HDallas Mavericks105-94
07/04/19ACleveland Cavaliers112-90
05/04/19AWashington Wizards129-112
04/04/19ADenver Nuggets85-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLLLWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games884444
Win %65%82%48%
Points / game110.5113.6107.4
Allowed / game106.7103.3110.1
Point differential+3.8+10.3-2.7
Avg total217.1216.8217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won76% (25)75% (12)77% (13)
Overtime %2%0%5%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayWWWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games884444
Win %58%77%39%
Points / game111.3112.9109.7
Allowed / game109.8106.2113.5
Point differential+1.5+6.7-3.8
Avg total221.1219.0223.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%41%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (22)73% (11)55% (11)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks86642274%118.3108.7+9.6
2 Toronto Raptors88632572%113.9107.3+6.6
3 Golden State Warriors88612769%118.1111.5+6.7
4 Houston Rockets87573066%113.5108.5+5.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers87573066%114.4110.2+4.3
6 Denver Nuggets88573165%110.5106.7+3.8
7 Philadelphia 76ers88553362%115.4112.4+3.0
8 Boston Celtics86533362%111.8107.2+4.6
9 Utah Jazz87513659%110.9106.5+4.4
10 San Antonio Spurs88513758%111.3109.8+1.5
11 Oklahoma City Thunder87503757%113.9111.1+2.9
12 Los Angeles Clippers88503857%115.1115.0+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers86483856%107.3104.4+2.8
14 Orlando Magic87434449%106.4106.6-0.2
15 Brooklyn Nets87434449%112.2112.9-0.7
16 Detroit Pistons86414548%106.6108.0-1.3
17 Miami Heat82394348%105.7105.9-0.2
18 Charlotte Hornets82394348%110.7111.8-1.1
19 Sacramento Kings82394348%114.2115.3-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers82374545%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves82364644%112.5114.0-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%108.9110.1-1.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans82334940%115.4116.8-1.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies82334940%103.5106.1-2.6
25 Washington Wizards82325039%114.0116.9-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks82295335%113.3119.4-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls82226027%104.9113.4-8.4
28 Phoenix Suns82196323%107.5116.8-9.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%104.5114.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks82176521%104.6113.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2324251890
San Antonio Spurs1321272586
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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