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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 126-97
48-28 25-32 27-18 26-19
Position#1
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.7
Allowed / game104.9
vs
Position#11
Record9-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game102.9
Allowed / game100.1
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
112-100
112
100
+12
115avg 107
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
123-111
123
111
+12
118avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
121-117
121
117
+4
115avg 107
H07/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
109-104
109
104
+5
99avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
119-109
119
109
+10
110avg 107
H11/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
119-94
119
94
+25
114avg 107
A13/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
115-89
115
89
+26
102avg 107
A15/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
99-96
99
96
+3
90avg 107
A16/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
105-98
105
98
+7
98avg 107
H18/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
112-104
112
104
+8
115avg 107
H20/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-36
26-23
28-23
36-18
36-30
20-31
37-25
30-25
25-26
34-32
27-40
35-19
34-28
33-36
31-12
11-28
27-26
33-21
27-30
32-32
36-23
26-20
30-21
27-30
27-23
24-21
29-19
35-26
18-21
22-18
26-23
33-34
25-22
20-24
23-27
37-25
27-24
28-27
24-33
33-20
215.6Avg total
113.4Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)110.7104.9215.5+5.880%
Season at home (9)110.9105.7216.6+5.278%
Season away (6)110.3103.7214.0+6.783%
Last 10 (10)113.4102.2215.6+11.2100%
Last 5 (5)110.096.2206.2+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)110.4105.9216.3+4.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)110.3106.4216.8+3.975%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
97-106
97
106
-9
88avg 106
A02/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
106-108
106
108
-2
98avg 106
A04/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
95-94
95
94
+1
82avg 106
H06/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
113-96
113
96
+17
108avg 106
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
101-98
101
98
+3
88avg 106
H11/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
105-96
105
96
+9
99avg 106
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-95
124
95
+29
123avg 106
H15/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
101-111
101
111
-10
93avg 106
A16/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
89-103
89
103
-14
77avg 106
H19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
108-114
108
114
-6
100avg 106
H20/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
32-29
15-22
24-24
19-37
36-19
28-22
23-30
26-27
20-20
26-24
23-23
30-25
34-24
27-21
22-26
23-20
21-24
25-21
32-33
32-25
17-21
30-23
26-27
33-18
34-35
24-26
33-16
32-35
26-14
25-30
18-32
23-24
29-34
17-29
20-16
30-30
22-23
26-35
30-26
206.0Avg total
103.9Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)102.9100.1203.1+2.856%
Season at home (10)103.096.6199.6+6.470%
Season away (6)102.8106.0208.8-3.233%
Last 10 (10)103.9102.1206.0+1.850%
Last 5 (5)105.4103.8209.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)110.098.0208.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (23)107.9111.0218.8-3.139%
vs Weaker (6)109.298.8208.0+10.3100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H07/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A09/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H11/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A13/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H18/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H20/11
NBA
105.5Avg total
54.3Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.351.2105.5+3.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.752.0106.7+2.769%-
Last 30 away (14)53.950.3104.1+3.679%-
Last 10 (10)54.351.2105.5+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)50.644.695.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)54.250.2104.3+4.072%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)54.552.8107.2+1.875%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A02/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A04/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H06/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H15/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A16/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H20/11
NBA
106.0Avg total
54.5Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.855.4111.3+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.753.1108.9+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)55.957.7113.7-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)54.551.5106.0+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)55.651.8107.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (23)55.856.3112.2-0.543%-
vs Weaker (6)56.751.5108.2+5.267%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.030.4
53.3%
53.1%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.6
37.7%
35.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws17.814.8
83.1%
77.4%14.8
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.228.0
53.6%
53.1%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.611.4
32.0%
35.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.413.7
78.7%
77.4%13.7
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWWWWWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LLLWWWWWLL
#1
League position
#11
+10.9
Net rating
+1.9
110.2
Offensive rating
109.3
99.3
Defensive rating
107.4
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
10.6%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.20
37.7%
3-point %
32.0%
61.6%
Assist %
60.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 109.3Defence99.3 · 107.4Shooting54.5% · 51.4%3-point %37.7% · 32.0%Ball care12.5% · 10.6%Off. rebounds19.3% · 22.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/21HDallas Mavericks112-104
18/11/21HDallas Mavericks105-98
16/11/21AMinnesota Timberwolves99-96
15/11/21AHouston Rockets115-89
13/11/21AMemphis Grizzlies119-94
11/11/21HPortland Trail Blazers119-109
09/11/21ASacramento Kings109-104
07/11/21HAtlanta Hawks121-117
05/11/21HHouston Rockets123-111
03/11/21HNew Orleans Pelicans112-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/21HChicago Bulls108-114
19/11/21HPhiladelphia 76ers89-103
16/11/21ADallas Mavericks101-111
15/11/21HPortland Trail Blazers124-95
13/11/21HAtlanta Hawks105-96
11/11/21HIndiana Pacers101-98
09/11/21HMiami Heat113-96
06/11/21HHouston Rockets95-94
04/11/21AMemphis Grizzlies106-108
02/11/21AMemphis Grizzlies97-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%78%83%
Points / game110.7110.9110.3
Allowed / game104.9105.7103.7
Point differential+5.8+5.2+6.7
Avg total215.5216.6214.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %56%70%33%
Points / game102.9103.0102.8
Allowed / game100.196.6106.0
Point differential+2.8+6.4-3.2
Avg total203.1199.6208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1614288%113.9100.9+13.0
2 Phoenix Suns1512380%110.7104.9+5.8
3 Brooklyn Nets1712571%108.4104.6+3.8
4 Utah Jazz1611569%112.1102.4+9.7
5 Chicago Bulls1611569%108.8103.6+5.2
6 Washington Wizards1611569%106.0103.4+2.6
7 Miami Heat1711665%109.8102.4+7.4
8 Los Angeles Clippers1710759%106.1102.4+3.7
9 Denver Nuggets169756%102.9100.1+2.8
10 New York Knicks169756%107.6106.6+0.9
11 Dallas Mavericks169756%103.6105.5-1.9
12 Charlotte Hornets1810856%112.3113.7-1.3
13 Boston Celtics179853%108.3106.4+1.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers179853%108.1106.3+1.8
15 Portland Trail Blazers179853%109.9109.2+0.6
16 Cleveland Cavaliers179853%101.7101.7+0.0
17 Milwaukee Bucks179853%107.8108.0-0.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers189950%109.9113.4-3.6
19 Memphis Grizzlies168850%109.6114.7-5.1
20 Toronto Raptors178947%105.9105.1+0.8
21 Atlanta Hawks178947%109.4109.2+0.1
22 Minnesota Timberwolves167944%106.9105.6+1.4
23 Indiana Pacers1871139%107.2106.8+0.4
24 Oklahoma City Thunder1661038%98.6105.6-7.0
25 Sacramento Kings1761135%109.1111.1-2.0
26 San Antonio Spurs1541127%107.1109.7-2.5
27 Detroit Pistons1641225%99.6108.2-8.7
28 Orlando Magic1741324%101.4110.1-8.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans1831517%100.9109.7-8.8
30 Houston Rockets161156%100.8111.6-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns48252726126
Denver Nuggets2832181997
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