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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 112-123
33-21 28-38 22-36 29-28
Position#29
Record15-31
FormLWWLL
Points / game106.5
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#17
Record20-25
FormLWLWW
Points / game110.1
Allowed / game111.1
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
102-95
102
95
+7
94avg 92
A06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
116-120
116
120
-4
106avg 92
H09/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
108-113
108
113
-5
101avg 92
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
108-105
108
105
+3
98avg 92
H14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
101-106
101
106
-5
88avg 92
H17/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
103-118
103
118
-15
95avg 92
A20/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
107-105
107
105
+2
94avg 92
A22/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
115-103
115
103
+12
111avg 92
A22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
111-112
111
112
-1
100avg 92
H25/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
120-127
120
127
-7
104avg 92
A27/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
22-23
29-27
32-23
28-41
25-28
37-24
26-27
29-32
30-25
17-31
32-25
25-25
26-33
29-27
28-20
28-24
25-23
27-32
21-27
21-29
20-30
35-30
27-29
30-33
31-22
29-35
17-15
28-31
29-29
25-25
33-18
27-23
29-36
23-28
32-25
29-35
32-22
31-39
28-31
219.5Avg total
109.1Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)106.5111.8218.3-5.333%
Season at home (21)106.0109.8215.8-3.938%
Season away (25)106.9113.5220.4-6.628%
Last 10 (10)109.1110.4219.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)111.2113.0224.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)104.2111.6215.8-7.422%
vs Similar (7)113.0110.7223.7+2.371%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-127
99
127
-28
90avg 100
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
106-121
106
121
-15
89avg 100
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
140-112
140
112
+28
146avg 100
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
125-112
125
112
+13
125avg 100
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
127-121
127
121
+6
124avg 100
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
93avg 100
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
123-98
123
98
+25
122avg 100
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
108-111
108
111
-3
104avg 100
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
103-93
103
93
+10
102avg 100
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
127-120
127
120
+7
126avg 100
H27/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
20-29
24-32
22-37
22-24
38-36
20-28
26-33
30-29
37-27
39-20
34-36
39-36
30-25
31-22
25-29
40-26
26-28
35-30
26-37
23-28
35-31
23-33
23-26
27-18
32-27
36-26
28-27
29-28
29-34
26-22
24-27
18-22
33-17
29-28
23-26
35-29
22-32
39-31
31-28
229.5Avg total
116.2Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)110.1111.1221.2-1.044%
Season at home (23)114.5112.4226.9+2.052%
Season away (22)105.5109.7215.1-4.236%
Last 10 (10)116.2113.3229.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)113.0108.0221.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.0125.0233.0-17.00%
vs Similar (16)109.5108.9218.4+0.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)119.9115.2235.1+4.770%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H09/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H17/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A20/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A22/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H25/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A27/01
NBA
109.9Avg total
53.3Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.256.2108.3-4.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.954.0105.9-2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)52.458.6111.1-6.229%-
Last 10 (10)53.356.6109.9-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)55.258.0113.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)51.257.1108.3-5.935%-
vs Similar (7)55.453.1108.6+2.371%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H27/01
NBA
115.3Avg total
59.8Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.856.5114.3+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.855.9114.7+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)56.857.1113.9-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)59.855.5115.3+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.2109.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.564.5124.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (16)56.354.1110.4+2.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)59.657.2116.8+2.450%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.732.3
51.5%
50.2%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.8
36.6%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.421.1
86.5%
77.0%21.1
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.234.0
55.6%
50.2%68.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.419.1
78.3%
77.0%19.1
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWWLLWLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWWWLL
#29
League position
#17
-1.3
Net rating
+2.9
113.2
Offensive rating
115.6
114.5
Defensive rating
112.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.6%
3-point %
37.0%
45.6%
Assist %
64.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 115.6Defence114.5 · 112.7Shooting52.4% · 55.5%3-point %36.6% · 37.0%Ball care14.5% · 13.9%Off. rebounds30.2% · 29.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/17ADenver Nuggets120-127
25/01/17HMinnesota Timberwolves111-112
22/01/17AToronto Raptors115-103
22/01/17ANew York Knicks107-105
20/01/17ACleveland Cavaliers103-118
17/01/17HUtah Jazz101-106
14/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs108-105
13/01/17HDallas Mavericks108-113
09/01/17HCleveland Cavaliers116-120
06/01/17ADallas Mavericks102-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/17HPhoenix Suns127-120
25/01/17HUtah Jazz103-93
23/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves108-111
22/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers123-98
20/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs104-118
18/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers127-121
16/01/17HOrlando Magic125-112
12/01/17HIndiana Pacers140-112
08/01/17AOklahoma City Thunder106-121
06/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs99-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWLWWL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462125
Win %33%38%28%
Points / game106.5106.0106.9
Allowed / game111.8109.8113.5
Point differential-5.3-3.9-6.6
Avg total218.3215.8220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)44% (9)50% (8)
Overtime %11%14%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeWWWWW52%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %44%52%36%
Points / game110.1114.5105.5
Allowed / game111.1112.4109.7
Point differential-1.0+2.0-4.2
Avg total221.2226.9215.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%39%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)29% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4740785%118.1104.7+13.4
2 San Antonio Spurs46361078%107.699.2+8.4
3 Houston Rockets50351570%114.5108.3+6.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers45311469%110.0105.4+4.6
5 Utah Jazz48301862%99.495.4+4.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers48301862%107.8103.9+4.0
7 Toronto Raptors47291862%109.6104.4+5.1
8 Boston Celtics47291862%108.1105.7+2.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder47281960%106.3105.2+1.2
10 Atlanta Hawks47272057%103.0103.2-0.3
11 Washington Wizards46262057%106.7105.3+1.4
12 Memphis Grizzlies48272156%99.999.7+0.2
13 Indiana Pacers46242252%105.6106.8-1.1
14 Charlotte Hornets48232548%105.2103.6+1.6
15 Chicago Bulls48232548%101.2101.5-0.3
16 Milwaukee Bucks47212645%104.7104.6+0.1
17 Detroit Pistons47212645%100.6101.6-1.0
18 Denver Nuggets45202544%110.1111.1-1.0
19 New York Knicks48212744%105.5108.1-2.6
20 Portland Trail Blazers48212744%107.5110.2-2.6
21 New Orleans Pelicans47192840%103.7106.2-2.5
22 Sacramento Kings47192840%103.1105.8-2.7
23 Philadelphia 76ers45172838%100.3105.4-5.1
24 Miami Heat48183038%99.5102.2-2.7
25 Orlando Magic48183038%99.7105.4-5.7
26 Minnesota Timberwolves46172937%103.5104.6-1.1
27 Dallas Mavericks46163035%96.7100.1-3.4
28 Phoenix Suns46153133%106.5111.8-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers50163432%103.6110.0-6.4
30 Brooklyn Nets4693720%106.0114.9-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns33282229112
Denver Nuggets21383628123
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