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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 127-120
35-29 22-32 39-31 31-28
Position#17
Record19-25
FormWLWLW
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game110.9
vs
Position#29
Record15-30
FormLLWWL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 99
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-127
99
127
-28
90avg 99
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
106-121
106
121
-15
89avg 99
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
140-112
140
112
+28
146avg 99
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
125-112
125
112
+13
125avg 99
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
127-121
127
121
+6
124avg 99
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
93avg 99
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
123-98
123
98
+25
122avg 99
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
108-111
108
111
-3
104avg 99
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
103-93
103
93
+10
102avg 99
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
23-31
37-34
25-26
33-29
20-29
24-32
22-37
22-24
38-36
20-28
26-33
30-29
37-27
39-20
34-36
39-36
30-25
31-22
25-29
40-26
26-28
35-30
26-37
23-28
35-31
23-33
23-26
27-18
32-27
36-26
28-27
29-28
29-34
26-22
24-27
18-22
33-17
29-28
23-26
228.1Avg total
114.8Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)109.7110.9220.6-1.243%
Season at home (22)113.9112.1226.0+1.850%
Season away (22)105.5109.7215.1-4.236%
Last 10 (10)114.8113.3228.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)113.0108.2221.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.0125.0233.0-17.00%
vs Similar (17)107.9108.8216.8-0.941%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)119.1114.7233.8+4.467%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
W
99-90
99
90
+9
97avg 92
H04/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
102-95
102
95
+7
94avg 92
A06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
116-120
116
120
-4
106avg 92
H09/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
108-113
108
113
-5
101avg 92
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
108-105
108
105
+3
98avg 92
H14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
101-106
101
106
-5
88avg 92
H17/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
103-118
103
118
-15
95avg 92
A20/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
107-105
107
105
+2
94avg 92
A22/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
115-103
115
103
+12
111avg 92
A22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
111-112
111
112
-1
100avg 92
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
28-23
27-14
16-24
19-22
22-23
29-27
32-23
28-41
25-28
37-24
26-27
29-32
30-25
17-31
32-25
25-25
26-33
29-27
28-20
28-24
25-23
27-32
21-27
21-29
20-30
35-30
27-29
30-33
31-22
29-35
17-15
28-31
29-29
25-25
33-18
27-23
29-36
23-28
32-25
213.7Avg total
107.0Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)106.2111.5217.6-5.333%
Season at home (21)106.0109.8215.8-3.938%
Season away (24)106.4112.9219.3-6.529%
Last 10 (10)107.0106.7213.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)107.4108.8216.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)103.5110.9214.4-7.423%
vs Similar (8)110.4107.8218.1+2.675%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/01
NBA
114.6Avg total
59.2Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.556.2113.7+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.955.6114.5+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)56.156.9113.0-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)59.255.4114.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)58.451.8110.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.564.5124.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (17)55.854.0109.8+1.853%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)59.956.8116.7+3.156%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H04/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H09/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H13/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H14/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H17/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A20/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A22/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H25/01
NBA
108.9Avg total
52.8Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.755.7107.4-4.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.954.0105.9-2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)51.457.7109.1-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)52.856.1108.9-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)53.656.0109.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)50.757.1107.8-6.432%-
vs Similar (8)54.252.0106.2+2.275%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.332.8
55.3%
50.2%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.6
38.3%
35.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.217.4
78.4%
77.0%17.4
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.631.2
50.6%
50.2%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.7
36.3%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.921.5
86.3%
77.0%21.5
They take 82.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWWLLL
Phoenix Suns
LWWLLWLLWW
#17
League position
#29
+1.5
Net rating
+0.3
114.0
Offensive rating
111.4
112.5
Defensive rating
111.1
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.4%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.3%
3-point %
36.3%
65.0%
Assist %
47.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 111.4Defence112.5 · 111.1Shooting56.0% · 51.6%3-point %38.3% · 36.3%Ball care14.0% · 15.4%Off. rebounds25.8% · 31.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/17HUtah Jazz103-93
23/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves108-111
22/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers123-98
20/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs104-118
18/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers127-121
16/01/17HOrlando Magic125-112
12/01/17HIndiana Pacers140-112
08/01/17AOklahoma City Thunder106-121
06/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs99-127
04/01/17HSacramento Kings113-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/17HMinnesota Timberwolves111-112
22/01/17AToronto Raptors115-103
22/01/17ANew York Knicks107-105
20/01/17ACleveland Cavaliers103-118
17/01/17HUtah Jazz101-106
14/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs108-105
13/01/17HDallas Mavericks108-113
09/01/17HCleveland Cavaliers116-120
06/01/17ADallas Mavericks102-95
04/01/17HMiami Heat99-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game109.7113.9105.5
Allowed / game110.9112.1109.7
Point differential-1.2+1.8-4.2
Avg total220.6226.0215.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%41%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)29% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLWLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452124
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game106.2106.0106.4
Allowed / game111.5109.8112.9
Point differential-5.3-3.9-6.5
Avg total217.6215.8219.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)44% (9)50% (8)
Overtime %11%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4639785%117.5104.8+12.7
2 San Antonio Spurs4536980%107.798.8+8.9
3 Houston Rockets49341569%114.3108.1+6.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers44301468%109.7105.1+4.5
5 Los Angeles Clippers47301764%108.0103.0+5.0
6 Utah Jazz47291862%99.495.5+3.9
7 Toronto Raptors46281861%109.7104.8+4.9
8 Boston Celtics45271860%107.6105.8+1.8
9 Oklahoma City Thunder47281960%106.3105.2+1.2
10 Atlanta Hawks46271959%103.3103.0+0.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies47272057%99.799.4+0.3
12 Washington Wizards45252056%106.6105.7+0.8
13 Indiana Pacers45232251%105.4106.7-1.2
14 Charlotte Hornets46232350%105.2103.4+1.8
15 Chicago Bulls47232449%101.5101.5-0.1
16 Milwaukee Bucks45212447%105.0104.5+0.5
17 Detroit Pistons46212546%100.6101.3-0.8
18 Denver Nuggets44192543%109.7110.9-1.2
19 New York Knicks47202743%105.4108.1-2.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers47202743%107.4110.2-2.7
21 Sacramento Kings45182740%102.8105.6-2.8
22 New Orleans Pelicans46182839%103.3106.2-2.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers44172739%99.9105.0-5.1
24 Orlando Magic47182938%99.7104.9-5.1
25 Minnesota Timberwolves46172937%103.5104.6-1.1
26 Dallas Mavericks46163035%96.7100.1-3.4
27 Miami Heat46163035%99.2102.5-3.4
28 Phoenix Suns45153033%106.2111.5-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers49163333%104.0110.3-6.4
30 Brooklyn Nets4593620%105.8114.7-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets35223931127
Phoenix Suns29323128120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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