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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 98-110
20-26 38-25 24-34 16-25
Position#1
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
92-106
92
106
-14
81avg 107
A25/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 107
A27/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-116
102
116
-14
93avg 107
H29/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
130-103
130
103
+27
126avg 107
A01/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
118-105
118
105
+13
106avg 107
H07/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
118-108
118
108
+10
112avg 107
H09/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
100-120
100
120
-20
89avg 107
A12/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
103-109
103
109
-6
96avg 107
A15/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
119-123
119
123
-4
110avg 107
H18/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
98-105
98
105
-7
80avg 107
A21/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
27-17
21-34
23-26
29-20
21-16
19-30
15-14
26-36
26-23
26-32
24-25
33-29
33-28
31-26
33-20
30-26
27-23
35-27
26-29
26-29
30-16
32-33
30-30
28-25
17-35
31-38
24-22
23-20
29-32
30-24
21-33
37-21
24-43
29-36
29-23
16-29
31-13
30-35
21-28
213.9Avg total
106.4Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.4107.5213.9-1.140%
Last 5 (5)107.6113.0220.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (26)109.8107.1216.9+2.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)128.8114.8243.5+14.0100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
109-123
109
123
-14
100avg 108
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-109
128
109
+19
122avg 108
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 108
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
95-115
95
115
-20
78avg 108
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
147-140 OT
147
140
+7
141avg 108
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-115
126
115
+11
no box
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
no box
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
98-123
98
123
-25
86avg 108
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
102-116
102
116
-14
86avg 108
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
118-125
118
125
-7
98avg 108
H14/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-35
31-23
25-38
23-27
31-25
42-36
28-26
27-22
39-30
25-29
20-20
36-36
24-32
23-25
19-36
29-22
38-25
27-37
27-32
29-27
29-33
32-35
37-33
28-14
28-28
30-29
21-31
26-34
21-25
21-27
25-34
31-37
27-37
28-22
21-31
26-26
22-28
33-35
28-33
35-29
235.1Avg total
114.8Scored
120.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)114.8120.3235.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)109.8120.2230.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (22)112.3116.3228.6-4.041%
vs Weaker (8)118.8106.2225.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A27/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H29/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A01/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H07/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A12/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A15/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H18/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A21/07
NBA
104.4Avg total
53.4Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.251.7106.9+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.951.4106.3+3.554%-
Last 30 away (17)55.551.9107.4+3.665%-
Last 10 (10)53.451.0104.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)52.252.6104.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (26)54.851.4106.2+3.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)57.853.5111.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A08/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A10/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H12/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H14/06
NBA
117.7Avg total
58.1Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.255.8115.0+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.454.8116.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)57.356.7114.0+0.662%-
Last 10 (10)58.159.6117.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.259.8114.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (22)57.957.0114.9+1.059%-
vs Weaker (8)62.952.6115.5+10.2100%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.330.1
51.6%
53.1%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.6
37.7%
35.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.014.4
84.7%
77.4%14.4
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.2
50.7%
53.1%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.514.7
38.2%
35.3%44.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
77.4%15.9
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLLLWWWLWL
Denver Nuggets
LLLLWWLWWL
#1
League position
#11
-1.1
Net rating
-5.9
110.0
Offensive rating
113.8
111.1
Defensive rating
119.7
53.2%
Effective FG%
53.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
12.4%
Turnover %
10.7%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.7%
3-point %
38.2%
51.4%
Assist %
59.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 113.8Defence111.1 · 119.7Shooting53.2% · 53.4%3-point %37.7% · 38.2%Ball care12.4% · 10.7%Off. rebounds20.4% · 25.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/07/21AMilwaukee Bucks98-105
18/07/21HMilwaukee Bucks119-123
15/07/21AMilwaukee Bucks103-109
12/07/21AMilwaukee Bucks100-120
09/07/21HMilwaukee Bucks118-108
07/07/21HMilwaukee Bucks118-105
01/07/21ALos Angeles Clippers130-103
29/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers102-116
27/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers84-80
25/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers92-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/21HPhoenix Suns118-125
12/06/21HPhoenix Suns102-116
10/06/21APhoenix Suns98-123
08/06/21APhoenix Suns105-122
04/06/21APortland Trail Blazers126-115
02/06/21HPortland Trail Blazers147-140 OT
29/05/21APortland Trail Blazers95-115
28/05/21APortland Trail Blazers120-115
25/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers128-109
23/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers109-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs110100%123.097.0+26.0
2 Milwaukee Bucks110100%127.0104.0+23.0
3 Utah Jazz110100%107.086.0+21.0
4 Philadelphia 76ers110100%117.097.0+20.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves110100%124.0106.0+18.0
6 Washington Wizards110100%98.083.0+15.0
7 Memphis Grizzlies110100%132.0121.0+11.0
8 Golden State Warriors110100%121.0114.0+7.0
9 Chicago Bulls110100%94.088.0+6.0
10 New York Knicks110100%138.0134.0+4.0
11 Charlotte Hornets110100%123.0122.0+1.0
12 Indiana Pacers1010%122.0123.0-1.0
13 Boston Celtics1010%134.0138.0-4.0
14 Detroit Pistons1010%88.094.0-6.0
15 Los Angeles Lakers1010%114.0121.0-7.0
16 Cleveland Cavaliers1010%121.0132.0-11.0
17 Toronto Raptors1010%83.098.0-15.0
18 Houston Rockets1010%106.0124.0-18.0
19 New Orleans Pelicans1010%97.0117.0-20.0
20 Oklahoma City Thunder1010%86.0107.0-21.0
21 Brooklyn Nets1010%104.0127.0-23.0
22 Orlando Magic1010%97.0123.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns2038241698
Denver Nuggets26253425110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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