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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 121-114
29-31 38-21 23-36 31-26
Position#9
Record49-40
FormWWWLL
Points / game113.7
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#2
Record59-30
FormWLWWW
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game111.7
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Footprint Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
119-115
119
115
+4
113avg 106
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
107-121
107
121
-14
90avg 106
A08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
114-119
114
119
-5
103avg 106
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
110-115
110
115
-5
105avg 106
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
123-109
123
109
+14
122avg 106
H19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
129-124
129
124
+5
116avg 106
A21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
112-100
112
100
+12
109avg 106
A22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
136-130
136
130
+6
133avg 106
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
107-125
107
125
-18
97avg 106
A30/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
87-97
87
97
-10
71avg 106
A02/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
29-30
33-31
30-29
34-30
28-31
27-35
18-25
28-19
25-29
33-34
28-37
18-30
36-29
27-22
29-34
24-29
35-30
33-28
31-22
27-27
27-24
40-34
35-39
23-30
25-17
35-31
29-22
32-30
29-40
50-24
25-36
32-31
19-37
30-26
26-31
21-18
21-22
31-30
14-27
229.9Avg total
114.4Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)113.7111.8225.5+2.055%
Season at home (44)114.7109.8224.5+4.968%
Season away (45)112.8113.7226.5-0.942%
Last 10 (10)114.4115.5229.9-1.150%
Last 5 (5)114.2115.2229.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (27)116.0114.4230.4+1.752%
vs Weaker (3)112.099.3211.3+12.7100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-119
115
119
-4
109avg 111
A07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
114-118
114
118
-4
108avg 111
A08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
109-95
109
95
+14
107avg 111
H09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
109-80
109
80
+29
104avg 111
H17/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-113
122
113
+9
115avg 111
H20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
120-111
120
111
+9
122avg 111
A22/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
94avg 111
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
112-109
112
109
+3
103avg 111
H26/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
125-107
125
107
+18
113avg 111
H30/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
97-87
97
87
+10
91avg 111
H02/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
30-29
31-33
29-30
19-32
36-26
40-31
19-29
26-43
33-24
24-14
26-14
26-23
29-21
32-14
22-22
31-22
33-27
23-40
35-24
28-28
33-27
33-33
26-23
22-23
30-25
22-32
22-16
22-29
26-18
29-30
35-32
31-32
37-19
26-30
31-26
18-21
22-21
30-31
27-14
218.4Avg total
113.1Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)115.6111.7227.3+3.966%
Season at home (46)118.7108.5227.2+10.285%
Season away (43)112.3115.2227.5-2.947%
Last 10 (10)113.1105.3218.4+7.870%
Last 5 (5)112.4105.6218.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)108.8108.2216.9+0.656%
vs Weaker (14)117.1111.5228.6+5.664%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H07/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H19/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A21/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A30/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/05
NBA
109.8Avg total
54.0Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.255.8113.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.755.6113.3+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)56.756.1112.8+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)54.055.8109.8-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)51.255.2106.4-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (27)56.656.5113.0+0.152%-
vs Weaker (3)63.050.0113.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A08/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H17/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H20/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A22/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H26/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H30/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/05
NBA
107.4Avg total
55.7Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.056.8113.8+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.754.9111.6+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)57.358.7116.1-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)55.751.7107.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)53.848.6102.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.158.6112.6-4.525%-
vs Weaker (14)60.454.8115.2+5.671%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.332.9
53.7%
54.5%65.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.1
35.9%
35.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.718.3
80.6%
78.1%18.3
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.030.6
55.6%
54.5%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.6
35.9%
35.8%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.717.1
78.8%
78.1%17.1
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWWWWLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWWLL
#9
League position
#2
-1.1
Net rating
+7.9
114.2
Offensive rating
115.1
115.3
Defensive rating
107.2
53.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
10.6%
Turnover %
12.0%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.9%
3-point %
35.9%
59.1%
Assist %
58.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 115.1Defence115.3 · 107.2Shooting53.7% · 55.0%3-point %35.9% · 35.9%Ball care10.6% · 12.0%Off. rebounds24.4% · 24.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/23ADenver Nuggets87-97
30/04/23ADenver Nuggets107-125
26/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers136-130
22/04/23ALos Angeles Clippers112-100
21/04/23ALos Angeles Clippers129-124
19/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers123-109
17/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers110-115
09/04/23HLos Angeles Clippers114-119
08/04/23ALos Angeles Lakers107-121
07/04/23HDenver Nuggets119-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/23HPhoenix Suns97-87
30/04/23HPhoenix Suns125-107
26/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves112-109
24/04/23AMinnesota Timberwolves108-114 OT
22/04/23AMinnesota Timberwolves120-111
20/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-113
17/04/23HMinnesota Timberwolves109-80
09/04/23HSacramento Kings109-95
08/04/23AUtah Jazz114-118
07/04/23APhoenix Suns115-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWLLWW68%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894445
Win %55%68%42%
Points / game113.7114.7112.8
Allowed / game111.8109.8113.7
Point differential+2.0+4.9-0.9
Avg total225.5224.5226.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%34%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (27)57% (14)31% (13)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW66%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894643
Win %66%85%47%
Points / game115.6118.7112.3
Allowed / game111.7108.5115.2
Point differential+3.9+10.2-2.9
Avg total227.3227.2227.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%52%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (26)69% (16)70% (10)
Overtime %4%4%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics91632869%118.1111.4+6.7
2 Milwaukee Bucks87592868%117.0113.9+3.1
3 Philadelphia 76ers89593066%114.3110.3+4.0
4 Denver Nuggets89593066%115.6111.7+3.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies88533560%116.1112.9+3.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers87523560%111.2106.5+4.8
7 New York Knicks89523758%114.9111.9+3.0
8 Sacramento Kings89513857%120.2117.9+2.3
9 Phoenix Suns89494055%113.7111.8+2.0
10 Miami Heat91504155%110.1110.1+0.0
11 Golden State Warriors91494254%118.7116.7+2.0
12 Los Angeles Lakers91494254%116.5115.7+0.8
13 Brooklyn Nets86454152%112.4112.1+0.3
14 Los Angeles Clippers87454252%113.7113.6+0.1
15 New Orleans Pelicans83424151%114.4112.6+1.8
16 Atlanta Hawks89444549%118.2118.2+0.0
17 Minnesota Timberwolves89444549%115.1115.4-0.3
18 Toronto Raptors83414249%112.8111.3+1.4
19 Chicago Bulls84414349%112.8111.6+1.2
20 Oklahoma City Thunder84414349%117.3116.5+0.8
21 Dallas Mavericks82384446%114.2114.1+0.1
22 Utah Jazz82374545%117.1118.0-0.9
23 Washington Wizards82354743%113.2114.4-1.2
24 Indiana Pacers82354743%116.3119.5-3.2
25 Orlando Magic82344841%111.4114.0-2.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers82334940%113.4117.4-4.0
27 Charlotte Hornets82275533%111.0117.2-6.2
28 Houston Rockets82226027%110.7118.6-7.9
29 San Antonio Spurs82226027%113.0123.1-10.0
30 Detroit Pistons82176521%110.3118.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns29382331121
Denver Nuggets31213626114
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