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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game116.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 99
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 99
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 99
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
104avg 99
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
119-132
119
132
-13
105avg 99
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-104
117
104
+13
110avg 99
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 99
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
96-122
96
122
-26
76avg 99
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
133-110
133
110
+23
131avg 99
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
101-96
101
96
+5
82avg 99
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
31-19
26-32
36-42
20-23
34-29
25-43
26-32
34-28
33-26
30-25
33-22
21-31
35-23
12-24
29-28
26-24
25-31
21-30
22-32
28-29
29-18
35-29
35-25
34-38
28-22
27-28
17-26
29-20
229.9Avg total
114.6Scored
115.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)111.7116.1227.8-4.445%
Season at home (8)114.9114.0228.9+0.962%
Season away (3)103.3121.7225.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)114.6115.3229.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)109.8106.2216.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)109.6118.7228.4-9.121%
vs Similar (10)111.0110.9221.9+0.140%
vs Weaker (6)117.2105.8223.0+11.383%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 106
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 106
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 106
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 106
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 106
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 106
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 106
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
232.2Avg total
117.7Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.6112.8227.5+1.864%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (7)109.7106.4216.1+3.371%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%
vs Similar (14)113.9114.5228.4-0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)127.5118.0245.5+9.592%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H13/11
NBA
113.9Avg total
56.8Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.658.6116.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.756.9115.6+1.850%-
Last 30 away (12)55.961.2117.1-5.242%-
Last 10 (10)56.857.1113.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)55.051.2106.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)55.461.9117.2-6.529%-
vs Similar (10)58.357.0115.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (6)61.553.7115.2+7.883%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A15/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.762.4124.1-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)57.853.5111.3+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.553.8111.2+3.875%-
vs Similar (14)58.656.8115.4+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)62.261.4123.6+0.850%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.026.3
56.0%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.3
36.0%
35.1%42.9
🏀 Free throws18.014.3
79.4%
77.3%14.3
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWLWWLLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLW
#18
League position
#10
-3.5
Net rating
-1.6
110.0
Offensive rating
110.1
113.5
Defensive rating
111.6
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
13.9%
Turnover %
11.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
16.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
32.2%
62.8%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 110.1Defence113.5 · 111.6Shooting55.1% · 53.6%3-point %36.0% · 32.2%Ball care13.9% · 11.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 16.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Phoenix Suns wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCharlotte Hornets101-96
11/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers133-110
10/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs96-122
08/11/26HHouston Rockets102-99
06/11/26HOrlando Magic117-104
05/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-132
03/11/26AGolden State Warriors113-116
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans116-108
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %45%62%0%
Points / game111.7114.9103.3
Allowed / game116.1114.0121.7
Point differential-4.4+0.9-18.3
Avg total227.8228.9225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game114.6123.2109.7
Allowed / game112.8124.0106.4
Point differential+1.8-0.8+3.3
Avg total227.5247.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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