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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 100-123
29-33 21-38 29-27 21-25
Position#1
Record30-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game104.5
Phoenix Suns
USA
vs
Miami Heat 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record24-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game108.1
Allowed / game104.3
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
137-106
137
106
+31
144avg 108
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
108-90
108
90
+18
106avg 108
A22/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
113-101
113
101
+12
108avg 108
H24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-116
107
116
-9
97avg 108
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
113-114
113
114
-1
100avg 108
H28/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
115-97
115
97
+18
110avg 108
H30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
108-123
108
123
-15
86avg 108
A31/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
133-99
133
99
+34
133avg 108
A03/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
123-110
123
110
+13
123avg 108
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
106-89
106
89
+17
95avg 108
H07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-15
32-32
39-33
29-26
24-25
30-27
31-21
23-17
29-17
16-31
37-21
31-32
27-33
35-25
22-26
23-32
24-25
24-35
27-29
38-25
33-23
27-29
25-29
30-16
20-32
21-35
36-33
31-23
36-27
37-20
33-27
27-25
42-31
22-23
31-30
28-26
21-20
35-20
19-26
31-23
220.8Avg total
116.3Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)112.4104.5216.9+7.979%
Season at home (21)112.9103.0215.8+9.981%
Season away (17)111.9106.5218.4+5.476%
Last 10 (10)116.3104.5220.8+11.870%
Last 5 (5)117.0103.6220.6+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)108.3105.9214.2+2.456%
vs Weaker (21)115.0101.9216.9+13.195%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
115-105
115
105
+10
112avg 102
A18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 102
A19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
125-96
125
96
+29
124avg 102
H22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
115-112
115
112
+3
107avg 102
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
93-83
93
83
+10
87avg 102
H26/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
119-112
119
112
+7
109avg 102
H29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
120-110
120
110
+10
110avg 102
A01/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
113-115
113
115
-2
101avg 102
A02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
108-115
108
115
-7
100avg 102
A04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
115-109
115
109
+6
115avg 102
A06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
35-35
27-26
22-22
23-20
25-26
19-33
23-21
33-21
35-24
30-24
27-27
29-29
26-32
33-26
27-25
22-24
20-15
30-21
21-23
38-24
27-27
26-22
28-39
41-30
33-30
26-27
20-23
18-26
39-35
33-29
23-25
25-33
29-26
28-30
26-26
30-23
28-24
25-33
32-29
217.0Avg total
111.3Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)108.1104.3212.3+3.862%
Season at home (16)109.2101.5210.8+7.875%
Season away (23)107.2106.2213.4+1.052%
Last 10 (10)111.3105.7217.0+5.670%
Last 5 (5)115.0112.2227.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)101.1110.1211.2-9.027%
vs Weaker (19)110.4102.8213.2+7.574%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
69-47
69
47
+22
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A22/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H28/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
41-67
41
67
-26
A31/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
73-47
73
47
+26
A03/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H07/01
NBA
109.7Avg total
57.2Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.450.4106.8+6.077%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.950.1107.9+7.880%-
Last 30 away (15)54.950.7105.6+4.373%-
Last 10 (10)57.252.5109.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)58.852.0110.8+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)52.752.1104.8+0.656%-
vs Weaker (21)58.049.6107.6+8.486%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A18/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H22/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H24/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H26/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H29/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A01/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A06/01
NBA
111.3Avg total
58.7Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.553.1106.6+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (11)51.652.3103.9-0.645%-
Last 30 away (19)54.653.6108.2+1.163%-
Last 10 (10)58.752.6111.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)61.655.6117.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)50.557.5108.1-7.027%-
vs Weaker (19)55.350.5105.8+4.774%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.430.9
52.9%
53.1%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.413.6
38.4%
35.3%40.8
🏀 Free throws16.613.7
82.5%
77.4%13.7
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.724.5
48.3%
53.1%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.615.1
40.2%
35.3%45.3
🏀 Free throws21.417.0
79.4%
77.4%17.0
They take 88.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWWLWLLWWW
Miami Heat
WLLWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#4
+11.6
Net rating
+5.8
114.4
Offensive rating
114.6
102.8
Defensive rating
108.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
12.6%
Turnover %
12.8%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.4%
3-point %
40.2%
60.0%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 114.6Defence102.8 · 108.8Shooting54.7% · 53.4%3-point %38.4% · 40.2%Ball care12.6% · 12.8%Off. rebounds26.2% · 28.3%Free throws0.18 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
14/04/21Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat106-86
24/03/21Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns100-110
08/08/20Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns112-119
08/11/19Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat108-124
26/02/19Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns121-124
08/12/18Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat98-115
06/03/18Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns125-103
09/11/17Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat115-126
21/03/17Miami Heat v Phoenix Suns112-97
04/01/17Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat99-90
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/22HLos Angeles Clippers106-89
05/01/22ANew Orleans Pelicans123-110
03/01/22ACharlotte Hornets133-99
31/12/21ABoston Celtics108-123
30/12/21HOklahoma City Thunder115-97
28/12/21HMemphis Grizzlies113-114
25/12/21HGolden State Warriors107-116
24/12/21HOklahoma City Thunder113-101
22/12/21ALos Angeles Lakers108-90
20/12/21HCharlotte Hornets137-106
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/22APortland Trail Blazers115-109
04/01/22AGolden State Warriors108-115
02/01/22ASacramento Kings113-115
01/01/22AHouston Rockets120-110
29/12/21HWashington Wizards119-112
26/12/21HOrlando Magic93-83
24/12/21HDetroit Pistons115-112
22/12/21HIndiana Pacers125-96
19/12/21ADetroit Pistons90-100
18/12/21AOrlando Magic115-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWLLWW81%
AwayWWLWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382117
Win %79%81%76%
Points / game112.4112.9111.9
Allowed / game104.5103.0106.5
Point differential+7.9+9.9+5.4
Avg total216.9215.8218.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%52%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)50% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLWLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391623
Win %62%75%52%
Points / game108.1109.2107.2
Allowed / game104.3101.5106.2
Point differential+3.8+7.8+1.0
Avg total212.3210.8213.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns3830879%112.4104.5+7.9
2 Golden State Warriors3829976%110.2101.4+8.7
3 Chicago Bulls36261072%111.2107.4+3.8
4 Utah Jazz40281270%115.7107.0+8.7
5 Memphis Grizzlies41271466%111.7107.6+4.1
6 Brooklyn Nets37241365%110.7108.2+2.6
7 Milwaukee Bucks42261662%112.1108.2+4.0
8 Miami Heat39241562%108.1104.3+3.8
9 Philadelphia 76ers38221658%107.4106.0+1.4
10 Cleveland Cavaliers39221756%107.8102.5+5.3
11 Dallas Mavericks39211854%105.6103.4+2.2
12 Toronto Raptors36191753%108.2106.8+1.4
13 Los Angeles Lakers40211952%111.8112.2-0.3
14 Charlotte Hornets40211952%115.5116.3-0.8
15 Denver Nuggets37191851%106.3106.4-0.1
16 Minnesota Timberwolves39192049%108.8108.3+0.5
17 Washington Wizards39192049%107.5109.8-2.4
18 Boston Celtics40192148%107.7106.1+1.5
19 Los Angeles Clippers40192148%105.1106.1-1.0
20 New York Knicks40192148%104.0105.2-1.2
21 Atlanta Hawks38172145%111.3111.6-0.3
22 San Antonio Spurs38152339%110.7110.6+0.0
23 Sacramento Kings41162539%109.5113.9-4.5
24 Indiana Pacers40152538%108.1108.0+0.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers38142437%108.8113.3-4.5
26 New Orleans Pelicans39142536%105.3110.3-5.0
27 Oklahoma City Thunder38132534%99.7107.5-7.8
28 Houston Rockets40112928%107.5115.9-8.4
29 Detroit Pistons3883021%100.9110.6-9.7
30 Orlando Magic4073318%101.7111.1-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns29212921100
Miami Heat33382725123
← all games of the day
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