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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 108-124
30-31 27-33 29-29 22-31
Position#14
Record7-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game107.4
vs
Position#6
Record9-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game104.8
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
14 Jul 2016
PHX77
MIA74
12 Jul 2016
PHX71
MIA80
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
21 Jul 2013
PHX91
MIA89
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
88-105
88
105
-17
A11/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
134-118
134
118
+16
A13/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
102-107
102
107
-5
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
124-95
124
95
+29
H24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
107-108 OT
107
108
-1
A26/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
130-122
130
122
+8
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
95-96
95
96
-1
H29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
121-110
121
110
+11
A31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
114-105
114
105
+9
A03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
114-109
114
109
+5
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
21-22
33-25
18-29
32-33
33-25
38-31
31-29
30-39
22-27
21-19
29-22
25-29
29-30
32-17
38-19
21-15
24-24
17-25
33-31
26-22
29-33
36-30
39-37
21-28
18-18
31-24
25-26
43-14
29-32
23-21
26-43
31-24
14-23
37-22
32-36
29-31
26-30
26-21
33-27
220.4Avg total
112.9Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)112.7107.4220.1+5.464%
Season at home (6)112.7105.8218.5+6.867%
Season away (5)112.8109.2222.0+3.660%
Last 10 (10)112.9107.5220.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)114.8108.4223.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)111.6121.6233.3-10.029%
vs Similar ◀ (12)106.2104.2210.5+2.050%
vs Weaker (4)101.289.5190.8+11.8100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
120-87
120
87
+33
H14/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
W
107-98
107
98
+9
A17/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
133-144
133
144
-11
H19/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
120-101
120
101
+19
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
131-126 OT
131
126
+5
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
L
109-116
109
116
-7
A27/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
112-97
112
97
+15
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
106-97
106
97
+9
A31/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
W
129-100
129
100
+29
H03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
89-109
89
109
-20
A06/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
25-15
34-20
29-18
27-26
23-23
33-26
24-23
35-38
35-35
25-38
38-33
24-32
30-28
29-24
37-17
29-33
24-37
29-23
39-28
23-36
34-19
27-22
25-39
29-26
30-23
29-21
24-27
30-26
22-20
33-29
21-22
46-14
25-32
28-25
30-29
28-29
20-29
21-31
20-20
223.1Avg total
115.6Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)114.2104.8219.1+9.475%
Season at home (6)120.2103.0223.2+17.283%
Season away (6)108.3106.7215.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)115.6107.5223.1+8.170%
Last 5 (5)109.0103.8212.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)120.0121.5241.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)106.7107.7214.4-1.031%
vs Weaker (15)103.389.2192.5+14.193%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A11/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A13/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
52-66
52
66
-14
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H24/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H27/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H05/11
NBA
104.7Avg total
51.9Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.954.5106.4-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)53.254.6107.8-1.431%-
Last 30 away (14)50.454.4104.8-4.143%-
Last 10 (10)51.952.8104.7-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)53.251.0104.2+2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)54.159.8113.9-5.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)49.353.2102.6-3.925%-
vs Weaker (4)51.840.091.8+11.875%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H14/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A17/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H19/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A27/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H29/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A31/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A06/11
NBA
112.6Avg total
57.1Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.550.2103.6+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)56.849.7106.4+7.158%-
Last 30 away (18)51.350.5101.8+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)57.155.5112.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)57.450.8108.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.060.0115.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)54.353.4107.7+0.938%-
vs Weaker (15)52.546.198.6+6.567%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.326.5
50.7%
52.3%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.612.8
37.0%
35.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws26.021.5
82.7%
77.2%21.5
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.828.3
52.6%
52.3%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.013.4
39.4%
35.7%40.2
🏀 Free throws25.718.8
73.2%
77.2%18.8
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWWLWLWLWL
Miami Heat
LWWWLWWLWW
#14
League position
#6
+5.0
Net rating
+7.5
104.5
Offensive rating
106.5
99.5
Defensive rating
99.1
52.6%
Effective FG%
55.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
17.6%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.0%
3-point %
39.4%
68.2%
Assist %
63.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 106.5Defence99.5 · 99.1Shooting52.6% · 55.1%3-point %37.0% · 39.4%Ball care15.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds17.6% · 22.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Phoenix Suns wins
7
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/19HPhiladelphia 76ers114-109
03/11/19AMemphis Grizzlies114-105
31/10/19AGolden State Warriors121-110
29/10/19HUtah Jazz95-96
27/10/19HLos Angeles Clippers130-122
26/10/19ADenver Nuggets107-108 OT
24/10/19HSacramento Kings124-95
15/10/19HDenver Nuggets102-107
13/10/19APortland Trail Blazers134-118
11/10/19ASacramento Kings88-105
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/19ADenver Nuggets89-109
03/11/19HHouston Rockets129-100
31/10/19AAtlanta Hawks106-97
29/10/19HAtlanta Hawks112-97
27/10/19AMinnesota Timberwolves109-116
26/10/19AMilwaukee Bucks131-126 OT
23/10/19HMemphis Grizzlies120-101
19/10/19HHouston Rockets133-144
17/10/19AOrlando Magic107-98
14/10/19HAtlanta Hawks120-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game112.7112.7112.8
Allowed / game107.4105.8109.2
Point differential+5.4+6.8+3.6
Avg total220.1218.5222.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Miami Heat
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game114.2120.2108.3
Allowed / game104.8103.0106.7
Point differential+9.4+17.2+1.7
Avg total219.1223.2215.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%83%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1110191%110.396.6+13.6
2 Milwaukee Bucks1311285%121.8109.4+12.5
3 Denver Nuggets119282%105.799.9+5.8
4 Miami Heat129375%114.2104.8+9.4
5 Philadelphia 76ers118373%110.3102.6+7.6
6 Los Angeles Lakers139469%109.3102.2+7.1
7 Phoenix Suns117464%112.7107.4+5.4
8 Toronto Raptors117464%114.6110.9+3.7
9 Houston Rockets138562%121.4121.2+0.2
10 Indiana Pacers127558%112.5107.8+4.7
11 Dallas Mavericks127558%112.3108.1+4.2
12 San Antonio Spurs137654%109.4110.7-1.3
13 Brooklyn Nets105550%115.9115.3+0.6
14 New Orleans Pelicans126650%121.9121.8+0.2
15 Detroit Pistons147750%107.5111.0-3.5
16 Los Angeles Clippers115645%108.0109.3-1.3
17 Minnesota Timberwolves115645%114.6119.5-4.8
18 Utah Jazz125742%105.4107.3-1.9
19 Charlotte Hornets135838%104.5110.2-5.7
20 Washington Wizards114736%112.8112.5+0.3
21 Oklahoma City Thunder114736%104.4105.5-1.2
22 Portland Trail Blazers114736%113.0115.8-2.8
23 Chicago Bulls145936%107.1108.6-1.5
24 Orlando Magic145936%97.599.9-2.4
25 Sacramento Kings124833%108.2113.3-5.2
26 Atlanta Hawks124833%99.6107.7-8.1
27 Golden State Warriors134931%111.8119.3-7.5
28 Memphis Grizzlies103730%108.4116.8-8.4
29 Cleveland Cavaliers102820%101.5113.0-11.5
30 New York Knicks1221017%101.2109.5-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns30272922108
Miami Heat31332931124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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