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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 102-111
21-32 27-26 29-24 25-29
Position#16
Record27-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game111.2
vs
Position#17
Record24-21
FormWLWLW
Points / game120.2
Allowed / game118.4
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
L
97-100
97
100
-3
85avg 106
A06/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-98
117
98
+19
113avg 106
A08/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
112-107
112
107
+5
101avg 106
H10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
112-93
112
93
+19
108avg 106
H12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
121-127
121
127
-6
106avg 106
A14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
105-108
105
108
-3
90avg 106
A16/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
106-99
106
99
+7
94avg 106
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
126-117
126
117
+9
126avg 106
A20/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
116-110
116
110
+6
106avg 106
A21/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
103-110
103
110
-7
91avg 106
A24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
31-29
18-24
19-22
30-23
35-24
26-21
26-30
28-23
34-37
32-26
18-21
32-28
33-22
31-17
16-26
28-36
26-35
38-21
29-35
32-23
31-33
27-33
15-19
19-27
36-29
25-21
26-22
40-26
32-42
31-21
23-28
27-30
30-23
40-31
19-26
31-27
28-37
32-20
12-26
218.4Avg total
111.5Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)115.0111.2226.2+3.861%
Season at home (19)116.2108.1224.3+8.174%
Season away (25)114.1113.5227.6+0.652%
Last 10 (10)111.5106.9218.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)111.2108.8220.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)110.2107.3217.5+2.867%
vs Similar ◀ (16)111.7113.4225.1-1.744%
vs Weaker (8)118.6104.1222.8+14.5100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
94-122
94
122
-28
82avg 106
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
99-123
99
123
-24
84avg 106
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
112-124
112
124
-12
113avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
127-121
127
121
+6
120avg 106
H14/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
114-119
114
119
-5
104avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
122-120
122
120
+2
104avg 106
H18/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
112-135
112
135
-23
105avg 106
A20/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
130-117
130
117
+13
123avg 106
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
110-127
110
127
-17
99avg 106
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
147-116
147
116
+31
144avg 106
A25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
25-34
23-32
17-29
18-36
27-25
27-38
27-24
34-32
25-22
26-39
27-31
36-28
35-26
21-38
35-29
36-25
28-29
29-29
21-36
30-37
30-28
35-30
27-25
34-36
32-34
27-34
19-31
32-25
45-39
23-25
30-28
31-38
32-26
29-39
18-24
35-34
38-18
35-37
39-27
239.1Avg total
116.7Scored
122.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)120.2118.4238.6+1.853%
Season at home (22)121.8117.3239.1+4.568%
Season away (23)118.7119.5238.2-0.839%
Last 10 (10)116.7122.4239.1-5.740%
Last 5 (5)124.2123.0247.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)120.3124.9245.1-4.629%
vs Similar ◀ (12)115.8119.0234.8-3.242%
vs Weaker (11)120.3111.8232.1+8.573%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A06/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A08/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H12/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A16/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A20/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A21/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A24/01
NBA
119.1Avg total
61.2Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.357.0116.3+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (11)57.055.8112.8+1.245%-
Last 30 away (19)60.757.7118.4+3.068%-
Last 10 (10)61.257.9119.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)61.259.4120.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.855.5109.3-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.259.6118.8-0.450%-
vs Weaker (8)63.852.9116.6+10.9100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A11/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H14/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H18/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A20/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A21/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A25/01
NBA
123.1Avg total
63.2Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.758.2118.8+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.157.2116.4+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)62.059.0121.0+3.056%-
Last 10 (10)63.259.9123.1+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)67.863.0130.8+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.760.3121.0+0.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)61.158.0119.1+3.150%-
vs Weaker (11)60.257.0117.2+3.264%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.123.8
51.6%
54.8%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.916.2
36.9%
35.8%48.6
🏀 Free throws18.615.3
82.3%
78.1%15.3
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 116.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.327.6
49.9%
54.8%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.814.3
35.0%
35.8%42.9
🏀 Free throws24.418.6
76.2%
78.1%18.6
They take 96.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWWWLLWWWL
Miami Heat
WLWLWLWLLL
#16
League position
#17
+4.6
Net rating
-5.3
112.7
Offensive rating
109.3
108.1
Defensive rating
114.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.3%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.9%
3-point %
35.0%
63.0%
Assist %
68.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 109.3Defence108.1 · 114.6Shooting53.4% · 51.0%3-point %36.9% · 35.0%Ball care13.3% · 13.3%Off. rebounds26.9% · 29.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AAtlanta Hawks103-110
21/01/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-110
20/01/26ABrooklyn Nets126-117
18/01/26ANew York Knicks106-99
16/01/26ADetroit Pistons105-108
14/01/26AMiami Heat121-127
12/01/26HWashington Wizards112-93
10/01/26HNew York Knicks112-107
08/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies117-98
06/01/26AHouston Rockets97-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26AUtah Jazz147-116
23/01/26APortland Trail Blazers110-127
21/01/26ASacramento Kings130-117
20/01/26AGolden State Warriors112-135
18/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder122-120
16/01/26HBoston Celtics114-119
14/01/26HPhoenix Suns127-121
12/01/26AOklahoma City Thunder112-124
11/01/26AIndiana Pacers99-123
07/01/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL61%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayLWWWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games441925
Win %61%74%52%
Points / game115.0116.2114.1
Allowed / game111.2108.1113.5
Point differential+3.8+8.1+0.6
Avg total226.2224.3227.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)62% (8)17% (6)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW53%
HomeLWWLW68%
AwayLLWLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %53%68%39%
Points / game120.2121.8118.7
Allowed / game118.4117.3119.5
Point differential+1.8+4.5-0.8
Avg total238.6239.1238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%32%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)75% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4536980%120.7108.3+12.4
2 Detroit Pistons44331175%117.4110.1+7.3
3 Denver Nuggets46311567%120.7116.2+4.5
4 San Antonio Spurs44291566%117.2112.3+4.9
5 Houston Rockets43271663%116.9110.8+6.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers43271663%115.9115.9+0.1
7 Boston Celtics45281762%116.9110.3+6.6
8 Toronto Raptors47291862%114.3111.8+2.5
9 Phoenix Suns44271761%115.0111.2+3.8
10 Minnesota Timberwolves46271959%119.2115.0+4.2
11 New York Knicks43251858%117.5113.8+3.7
12 Cleveland Cavaliers47272057%119.1116.9+2.3
13 Golden State Warriors47262155%116.7113.5+3.2
14 Philadelphia 76ers44242055%116.6115.5+1.2
15 Miami Heat45242153%120.2118.4+1.8
16 Orlando Magic42222052%115.3115.2+0.0
17 Chicago Bulls45232251%117.9119.7-1.8
18 Portland Trail Blazers46232350%116.1117.8-1.7
19 Atlanta Hawks47222547%117.4118.7-1.3
20 Los Angeles Clippers44202445%112.3113.5-1.2
21 Memphis Grizzlies43182542%115.5116.6-1.1
22 Dallas Mavericks46192741%114.3116.5-2.3
23 Milwaukee Bucks44182641%111.9115.5-3.6
24 Charlotte Hornets46182839%116.0115.5+0.5
25 Utah Jazz46153133%119.0127.8-8.8
26 Brooklyn Nets43123128%108.3114.8-6.5
27 Sacramento Kings47123526%111.0121.2-10.2
28 New Orleans Pelicans48123625%114.8121.5-6.7
29 Indiana Pacers46113524%110.1118.2-8.1
30 Washington Wizards44103423%112.2123.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns21272925102
Miami Heat32262429111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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