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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2013
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 94-107
27-26 15-25 26-33 26-23
Position#20
Record35-36
FormLWWLL
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game99.5
vs
Position#1
Record53-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game95.5
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
18 Jul 2025
MIL92
MIA93
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
13 Jul 2023
MIL72
MIA91
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
102-103
102
103
-1
H24/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#15
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
110-107
110
107
+3
A28/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
122-114 OT
122
114
+8
H03/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
109-108 OT
109
108
+1
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
101-117
101
117
-16
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
103-93
103
93
+10
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
115-113
115
113
+2
A11/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#15
L
108-115
108
115
-7
H13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
93-106
93
106
-13
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
26-35
27-22
22-27
17-21
27-28
22-21
29-20
33-36
22-19
26-25
29-27
23-32
31-23
28-19
22-30
20-24
25-24
30-17
24-34
32-34
26-32
24-23
19-28
24-28
23-20
30-22
26-23
26-29
35-21
24-30
30-33
35-28
20-35
24-27
29-25
21-30
23-30
34-15
15-31
212.4Avg total
105.8Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)98.599.5197.9-1.049%
Season at home (35)98.9100.2199.1-1.349%
Season away (36)98.098.8196.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)105.8106.6212.4-0.860%
Last 5 (5)104.0108.8212.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)100.2108.0208.2-7.825%
vs Similar (25)101.9102.4204.3-0.452%
vs Weaker (1)107.098.0205.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
109-105
109
105
+4
H24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
141-129 OT
141
129
+12
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
98-91
98
91
+7
H02/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
W
99-93
99
93
+6
A03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
W
97-81
97
81
+16
A05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
97-96
97
96
+1
H07/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H09/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
105-91
105
91
+14
H10/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H12/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
98-94
98
94
+4
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-20
31-26
17-36
28-23
27-22
24-31
33-32
28-27
16-20
26-21
25-25
31-25
23-22
22-37
28-18
26-16
22-16
28-27
19-20
28-18
25-18
30-22
22-34
20-22
28-24
19-27
29-24
26-18
29-20
27-26
23-19
26-26
26-18
31-26
22-21
19-16
21-22
30-17
20-27
27-28
199.8Avg total
104.4Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)102.395.5197.7+6.875%
Season at home (38)105.896.6202.5+9.284%
Season away (33)98.194.2192.3+3.964%
Last 10 (10)104.495.4199.8+9.0100%
Last 5 (5)100.091.0191.0+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)104.593.2197.8+11.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)104.594.5199.0+10.185%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H24/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#15
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A28/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H03/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A11/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#15
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A13/03
NBA
106.4Avg total
51.6Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.552.1103.7-0.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.151.5101.6-1.531%-
Last 30 away (17)52.652.6105.2+0.135%-
Last 10 (10)51.654.8106.4-3.210%-
Last 5 (5)53.057.4110.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)58.054.8112.8+3.250%-
vs Similar (25)50.551.9102.4-1.428%-
vs Weaker (1)52.048.0100.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H27/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H07/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H09/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H10/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H12/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A13/03
NBA
98.0Avg total
51.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.047.799.7+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.649.3103.9+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)49.846.296.0+3.550%-
Last 10 (10)51.846.298.0+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)53.244.097.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)53.049.0102.0+4.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)51.947.599.3+4.454%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/13AWashington Wizards93-106
13/03/13HDallas Mavericks108-115
11/03/13ASacramento Kings115-113
10/03/13AGolden State Warriors103-93
07/03/13ALos Angeles Clippers101-117
05/03/13HUtah Jazz109-108 OT
03/03/13HToronto Raptors122-114 OT
28/02/13AHouston Rockets110-107
27/02/13ADallas Mavericks95-90
24/02/13HAtlanta Hawks102-103
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/13APhiladelphia 76ers98-94
12/03/13HAtlanta Hawks98-81
10/03/13HIndiana Pacers105-91
09/03/13HPhiladelphia 76ers102-93
07/03/13HOrlando Magic97-96
05/03/13AMinnesota Timberwolves97-81
03/03/13ANew York Knicks99-93
02/03/13HMemphis Grizzlies98-91
27/02/13HSacramento Kings141-129 OT
24/02/13HCleveland Cavaliers109-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL49%
HomeLLWWL49%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713536
Win %49%49%50%
Points / game98.598.998.0
Allowed / game99.5100.298.8
Point differential-1.0-1.3-0.8
Avg total197.9199.1196.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (22)55% (11)64% (11)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW84%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713833
Win %75%84%64%
Points / game102.3105.898.1
Allowed / game95.596.694.2
Point differential+6.8+9.2+3.9
Avg total197.7202.5192.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%47%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)88% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %8%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami Heat71531875%102.395.5+6.8
2 San Antonio Spurs72531974%104.096.5+7.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder73532073%106.097.0+9.0
4 Los Angeles Clippers74502468%100.394.2+6.1
5 Memphis Grizzlies70472367%94.490.5+3.9
6 Denver Nuggets73472664%104.8100.9+3.9
7 Indiana Pacers72442861%93.990.1+3.8
8 New York Knicks69412859%98.996.6+2.3
9 Brooklyn Nets71413058%95.495.0+0.4
10 Golden State Warriors73423158%100.199.7+0.4
11 Chicago Bulls71403156%91.991.3+0.6
12 Houston Rockets73413256%106.6102.9+3.7
13 Atlanta Hawks72393354%97.396.5+0.9
14 Boston Celtics70373353%95.895.7+0.1
15 Utah Jazz73383552%98.398.0+0.3
16 Milwaukee Bucks71353649%98.599.5-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks70333747%100.7101.4-0.6
18 Los Angeles Lakers75354047%100.6101.1-0.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers71333846%98.299.5-1.4
20 Toronto Raptors72314143%98.098.6-0.6
21 Philadelphia 76ers71304142%93.495.8-2.4
22 Sacramento Kings73284538%99.3103.8-4.5
23 Minnesota Timberwolves69264338%94.196.5-2.3
24 Detroit Pistons75274836%93.997.8-3.9
25 Phoenix Suns73264736%94.7100.0-5.3
26 New Orleans Pelicans74264835%93.397.1-3.8
27 Washington Wizards72254735%92.495.4-3.0
28 Cleveland Cavaliers70244634%97.1100.9-3.8
29 Orlando Magic74205427%94.7101.1-6.4
30 Charlotte Hornets73155821%92.4102.2-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2715262694
Miami Heat26253323107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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