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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 130-115
30-28 39-23 31-27 30-37
Position#12
Record25-25
FormWWLLW
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game110.6
vs
Position#11
Record28-21
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game106.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
125-128
125
128
-3
113avg 103
A12/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
108-116
108
116
-8
95avg 103
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
119-99
119
99
+20
115avg 103
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
112-110
112
110
+2
99avg 103
A19/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
122-134
122
134
-12
105avg 103
A20/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
136-125
136
125
+11
124avg 103
H24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
109-107
109
107
+2
102avg 103
A26/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
115-124
115
124
-9
99avg 103
A28/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
124-134
124
134
-10
110avg 103
A29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
126-106
126
106
+20
127avg 103
H31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-35
23-30
30-32
36-31
31-25
29-28
24-37
24-26
30-22
26-28
35-31
28-18
30-23
31-28
25-40
26-19
42-26
31-35
20-45
29-28
37-36
35-26
30-33
34-30
26-29
29-34
29-19
25-25
29-29
32-28
20-38
34-29
32-40
34-34
27-26
31-34
26-20
26-28
40-27
34-31
237.9Avg total
119.6Scored
118.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)111.6110.6222.2+1.050%
Season at home (24)107.9104.8212.8+3.158%
Season away (26)115.0116.0231.0-1.042%
Last 10 (10)119.6118.3237.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)122.0119.2241.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)116.0118.5234.5-2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (19)113.6116.1229.7-2.537%
vs Weaker (9)113.2105.4218.7+7.878%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
140-108
140
108
+32
145avg 106
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
133-96
133
96
+37
138avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
102-125
102
125
-23
94avg 106
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
130-128 OT
130
128
+2
123avg 106
H20/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
118-122
118
122
-4
112avg 106
H22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
117-111
117
111
+6
110avg 106
H24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
110-105
110
105
+5
110avg 106
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
124-118
124
118
+6
121avg 106
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
116-105
116
105
+11
116avg 106
A29/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
136-100
136
100
+36
142avg 106
A31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-28
31-27
29-25
39-28
34-29
39-31
29-19
31-17
33-37
25-31
30-23
14-34
29-25
18-34
34-22
33-33
28-37
35-31
29-30
26-24
29-30
31-30
32-16
25-35
34-32
35-27
28-26
13-20
29-28
25-37
42-26
28-27
26-17
24-31
36-30
30-27
33-30
32-27
38-24
33-19
234.4Avg total
122.6Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)109.0106.9215.9+2.157%
Season at home (22)110.7106.7217.5+4.059%
Season away (27)107.7107.0214.7+0.656%
Last 10 (10)122.6111.8234.4+10.880%
Last 5 (5)120.6107.8228.4+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)111.8110.5222.3+1.255%
vs Weaker (10)115.4106.0221.4+9.480%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +8.6+8.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +8.6+8.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A12/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H17/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A19/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A20/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A26/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A28/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H31/01
NBA
119.9Avg total
61.5Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.656.4114.0+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (12)52.052.8104.8-0.850%-
Last 30 away (18)61.358.7120.1+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)61.558.4119.9+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)61.260.8122.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.565.0120.5-9.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.757.1114.7+0.653%-
vs Weaker (9)57.953.0110.9+4.967%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H16/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H20/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A27/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A29/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A31/01
NBA
121.0Avg total
61.1Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.654.4115.0+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (11)61.859.0120.8+2.845%-
Last 30 away (19)59.951.8111.7+8.179%-
Last 10 (10)61.159.9121.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)59.657.8117.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)58.354.6112.9+3.660%-
vs Weaker (10)65.254.0119.2+11.280%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.328.0
56.8%
53.1%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.614.4
35.5%
35.3%43.2
🏀 Free throws26.620.4
76.7%
77.4%20.4
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 122.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.229.4
57.4%
53.1%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.415.4
41.2%
35.3%46.2
🏀 Free throws20.917.6
84.2%
77.4%17.6
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWLWWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLWLWW
#12
League position
#11
+1.3
Net rating
+10.7
116.1
Offensive rating
121.2
114.8
Defensive rating
110.6
55.2%
Effective FG%
59.3%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
11.9%
Turnover %
13.2%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.5%
3-point %
41.2%
57.5%
Assist %
70.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 121.2Defence114.8 · 110.6Shooting55.2% · 59.3%3-point %35.5% · 41.2%Ball care11.9% · 13.2%Off. rebounds22.5% · 23.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/22HUtah Jazz126-106
29/01/22APhoenix Suns124-134
28/01/22AGolden State Warriors115-124
26/01/22APortland Trail Blazers109-107
24/01/22HBrooklyn Nets136-125
20/01/22AAtlanta Hawks122-134
19/01/22ANew York Knicks112-110
17/01/22HGolden State Warriors119-99
14/01/22AMemphis Grizzlies108-116
12/01/22ANew Orleans Pelicans125-128
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/22AMilwaukee Bucks136-100
29/01/22ANew Orleans Pelicans116-105
27/01/22ABrooklyn Nets124-118
26/01/22ADetroit Pistons110-105
24/01/22HDetroit Pistons117-111
22/01/22HMemphis Grizzlies118-122
20/01/22HLos Angeles Clippers130-128 OT
17/01/22HUtah Jazz102-125
16/01/22HLos Angeles Lakers133-96
14/01/22HPortland Trail Blazers140-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502426
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game111.6107.9115.0
Allowed / game110.6104.8116.0
Point differential+1.0+3.1-1.0
Avg total222.2212.8231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (4)62% (8)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeWLWLW59%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492227
Win %57%59%56%
Points / game109.0110.7107.7
Allowed / game106.9106.7107.0
Point differential+2.1+4.0+0.6
Avg total215.9217.5214.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)75% (4)62% (8)
Overtime %4%5%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns4940982%112.9105.0+7.9
2 Golden State Warriors51381375%110.4102.1+8.3
3 Memphis Grizzlies53351866%112.1108.5+3.6
4 Chicago Bulls49311863%111.0109.2+1.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers50311962%107.9105.5+2.4
6 Miami Heat52322062%108.7105.0+3.7
7 Cleveland Cavaliers51312061%106.8102.2+4.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks53322160%111.8108.6+3.1
9 Brooklyn Nets49292059%111.9110.0+1.8
10 Utah Jazz51302159%113.5107.8+5.7
11 Denver Nuggets49282157%109.0106.9+2.1
12 Dallas Mavericks51292257%106.1103.4+2.7
13 Charlotte Hornets51282355%114.5114.6-0.1
14 Toronto Raptors49262353%107.5106.5+1.0
15 Boston Celtics52272552%108.0104.6+3.4
16 Minnesota Timberwolves50252550%111.6110.6+1.0
17 Los Angeles Clippers53262749%106.1106.8-0.7
18 Atlanta Hawks50242648%111.5111.2+0.3
19 New York Knicks51242747%104.1104.6-0.5
20 Los Angeles Lakers51242747%111.0112.6-1.6
21 Washington Wizards50232746%107.4110.1-2.7
22 Portland Trail Blazers51213041%108.4112.4-4.0
23 San Antonio Spurs51193237%111.3111.4-0.1
24 New Orleans Pelicans51193237%105.4109.5-4.1
25 Indiana Pacers52193337%108.9110.8-1.9
26 Sacramento Kings52183435%109.2114.7-5.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder49153431%100.7107.4-6.8
28 Houston Rockets50143628%108.3116.9-8.7
29 Detroit Pistons50123824%102.3111.6-9.3
30 Orlando Magic51114022%102.5110.4-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves30393130130
Denver Nuggets28232737115
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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