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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 130-140
31-31 37-35 38-38 24-36
Position#11
Record43-30
FormWWLLW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game109.0
vs
Position#1
Record59-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game106.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
138-130 OT
138
130
+8
138avg 107
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-124
131
124
+7
134avg 107
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-100
106
100
+6
108avg 107
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-113
102
113
-11
92avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
115-127
115
127
-12
117avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
114-110
114
110
+4
113avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
127-109
127
109
+18
124avg 107
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
116-119 OT
116
119
-3
118avg 107
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
104-124
104
124
-20
91avg 107
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
127-115
127
115
+12
128avg 107
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-19
27-38
22-37
40-30
40-31
31-38
33-32
27-23
32-29
31-22
17-26
26-23
29-30
31-21
24-37
18-25
25-28
38-37
36-28
16-34
22-37
31-21
28-30
33-22
34-28
39-24
31-29
23-28
29-31
34-21
24-26
20-29
27-33
16-35
32-30
29-26
37-27
35-34
27-27
28-27
235.1Avg total
118.0Scored
117.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)111.5109.0220.5+2.659%
Season at home (35)113.5110.1223.6+3.460%
Season away (38)109.7107.9217.7+1.858%
Last 10 (10)118.0117.1235.1+0.960%
Last 5 (5)117.6115.4233.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)103.0116.0219.0-13.00%
vs Similar (18)119.1115.4234.6+3.761%
vs Weaker (10)117.1106.8223.9+10.390%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
122-132
122
132
-10
112avg 109
A06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
102-99
102
99
+3
94avg 109
A09/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
111-90
111
90
+21
105avg 109
A10/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
112-117
112
117
-5
105avg 109
H12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
140-111
140
111
+29
142avg 109
H14/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
131-115
131
115
+16
129avg 109
A16/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
129-112
129
112
+17
129avg 109
A17/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
129-102
129
102
+27
129avg 109
H19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
127-124 OT
127
124
+3
122avg 109
A20/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
125-116
125
116
+9
123avg 109
A24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-30
30-30
27-31
32-41
28-22
25-21
26-28
23-28
29-27
28-28
34-19
20-16
24-30
28-26
30-40
30-21
48-22
31-34
40-34
21-21
33-29
34-30
31-26
33-30
35-31
24-27
36-24
34-30
30-27
31-21
34-24
34-30
22-26
27-33
34-28
27-23
25-30
26-34
32-24
42-28
234.6Avg total
122.8Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)115.0106.6221.6+8.481%
Season at home (38)115.5106.3221.8+9.279%
Season away (35)114.4106.9221.3+7.583%
Last 10 (10)122.8111.8234.6+11.080%
Last 5 (5)128.2113.8242.0+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)115.3107.7223.0+7.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)119.5109.9229.4+9.687%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.8+2.8
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A14/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A16/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A18/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H21/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H23/03
NBA
120.7Avg total
62.3Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.857.8118.6+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.759.0120.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)60.056.5116.5+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)62.358.4120.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)60.858.2119.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)51.559.5111.0-8.050%-
vs Similar (18)61.660.3121.9+1.361%-
vs Weaker (10)61.352.8114.1+8.580%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A09/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A10/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H14/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A16/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A17/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H19/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
49-59
49
59
-10
A20/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A24/03
NBA
114.9Avg total
59.1Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.554.4112.9+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.855.2116.0+5.575%-
Last 30 away (14)56.053.4109.4+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)59.155.8114.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)57.457.6115.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)56.754.9111.6+1.986%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)59.154.3113.3+4.865%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.731.2
60.3%
53.1%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.5
34.6%
35.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws26.621.1
79.3%
77.4%21.1
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 122.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.434.5
58.1%
53.1%69.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.7
39.0%
35.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws18.515.7
84.9%
77.4%15.7
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWLLWWW
Phoenix Suns
WWWWWWLWWL
#11
League position
#1
+0.9
Net rating
+10.7
117.6
Offensive rating
119.7
116.7
Defensive rating
109.0
57.1%
Effective FG%
58.2%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
13.3%
Turnover %
11.6%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.6%
3-point %
39.0%
69.1%
Assist %
61.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 119.7Defence116.7 · 109.0Shooting57.1% · 58.2%3-point %34.6% · 39.0%Ball care13.3% · 11.6%Off. rebounds22.9% · 23.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/22HLos Angeles Clippers127-115
21/03/22HBoston Celtics104-124
18/03/22ACleveland Cavaliers116-119 OT
16/03/22AWashington Wizards127-109
14/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers114-110
13/03/22HToronto Raptors115-127
11/03/22HGolden State Warriors102-113
10/03/22ASacramento Kings106-100
08/03/22HGolden State Warriors131-124
07/03/22HNew Orleans Pelicans138-130 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/22AMinnesota Timberwolves125-116
20/03/22ASacramento Kings127-124 OT
19/03/22HChicago Bulls129-102
17/03/22AHouston Rockets129-112
16/03/22ANew Orleans Pelicans131-115
14/03/22HLos Angeles Lakers140-111
12/03/22HToronto Raptors112-117
10/03/22AMiami Heat111-90
09/03/22AOrlando Magic102-99
06/03/22AMilwaukee Bucks122-132

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733538
Win %59%60%58%
Points / game111.5113.5109.7
Allowed / game109.0110.1107.9
Point differential+2.6+3.4+1.8
Avg total220.5223.6217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%31%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (18)80% (5)62% (13)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733835
Win %81%79%83%
Points / game115.0115.5114.4
Allowed / game106.6106.3106.9
Point differential+8.4+9.2+7.5
Avg total221.6221.8221.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won79% (19)56% (9)100% (10)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns73591481%115.0106.6+8.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies74512369%115.1109.4+5.7
3 Golden State Warriors73482566%111.0105.0+6.0
4 Miami Heat73472664%109.4105.1+4.3
5 Milwaukee Bucks73462763%115.1111.0+4.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers72452762%108.7106.7+2.0
7 Boston Celtics74462862%110.4103.8+6.7
8 Utah Jazz73452862%113.7107.6+6.1
9 Dallas Mavericks73452862%106.7104.0+2.7
10 Denver Nuggets73433059%111.5109.0+2.6
11 Chicago Bulls73423158%111.8111.4+0.3
12 Minnesota Timberwolves74423257%115.4112.1+3.3
13 Cleveland Cavaliers73413256%107.4104.8+2.6
14 Toronto Raptors73413256%108.8107.3+1.5
15 Brooklyn Nets73383552%112.2112.0+0.2
16 Charlotte Hornets73373651%114.8114.6+0.2
17 Atlanta Hawks73363749%112.8112.2+0.6
18 Los Angeles Clippers74363849%106.8108.1-1.4
19 New York Knicks73314242%106.3106.9-0.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans73314242%108.8109.8-1.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers73314242%111.6114.3-2.7
22 Washington Wizards72304242%108.2111.6-3.4
23 San Antonio Spurs73294440%112.9113.4-0.5
24 Portland Trail Blazers72274538%107.2114.5-7.2
25 Sacramento Kings74264835%110.5115.8-5.3
26 Indiana Pacers74254934%110.8113.4-2.6
27 Oklahoma City Thunder73215229%103.3110.9-7.6
28 Detroit Pistons73205327%104.4112.4-8.0
29 Orlando Magic74205427%104.1111.9-7.8
30 Houston Rockets73185525%108.7118.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31373824130
Phoenix Suns31353836140
← all games of the day
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