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Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 134-111
37-28 24-25 38-29 35-29
Position#2
Record32-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game113.2
vs
Position#24
Record23-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game116.5
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
123-111
123
111
+12
124avg 114
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
111-124
111
124
-13
104avg 114
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
122-91
122
91
+31
125avg 114
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
121-108
121
108
+13
124avg 114
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
122-109
122
109
+13
118avg 114
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
126-97
126
97
+29
123avg 114
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
115-103
115
103
+12
110avg 114
A14/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
119-116
119
116
+3
115avg 114
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
122-113
122
113
+9
119avg 114
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-118
122
118
+4
113avg 114
H19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-28
25-26
36-31
25-26
23-23
30-36
32-31
26-34
32-15
34-17
36-27
20-32
26-28
36-30
32-24
27-26
29-23
33-25
32-31
28-30
34-28
36-26
30-21
26-22
32-34
25-24
29-23
29-22
31-25
38-29
25-34
25-28
34-31
39-36
28-22
21-24
30-27
25-33
33-35
34-23
229.3Avg total
120.3Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)117.3113.2230.4+4.171%
Season at home (24)120.0109.2229.2+10.888%
Season away (21)114.2117.7231.9-3.552%
Last 10 (10)120.3109.0229.3+11.390%
Last 5 (5)120.8109.4230.2+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)119.0113.4232.4+5.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)118.1111.6229.7+6.579%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
131-130
131
130
+1
124avg 107
H31/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
122-114
122
114
+8
115avg 107
H03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
126-129 OT
126
129
-3
120avg 107
A05/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
108-99
108
99
+9
99avg 107
H07/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
116-111
116
111
+5
107avg 107
H08/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
113-119
113
119
-6
104avg 107
A12/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
111-113
111
113
-2
97avg 107
H14/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
112-130
112
130
-18
97avg 107
H15/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
119-132
119
132
-13
116avg 107
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
106-126
106
126
-20
93avg 107
A19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-22
30-33
31-38
38-37
29-33
37-24
25-33
31-24
28-27
33-39
23-31
36-23
26-29
28-26
27-27
27-17
15-27
32-18
26-34
43-32
21-37
20-25
40-33
32-24
27-36
31-19
31-29
22-29
28-36
24-32
27-29
33-33
38-32
38-33
22-28
21-39
20-36
24-22
29-42
33-26
236.7Avg total
116.4Scored
120.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)115.3116.5231.8-1.250%
Season at home (24)117.9115.0232.8+2.962%
Season away (22)112.4118.2230.6-5.836%
Last 10 (10)116.4120.3236.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)112.2124.0236.2-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)115.2120.2235.4-5.040%
vs Similar (15)113.7115.4229.1-1.747%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.2+3.2
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-32
66
32
+34
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A14/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H19/01
NBA
117.3Avg total
62.9Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.556.9118.3+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (19)62.655.4118.1+7.274%-
Last 30 away (11)59.559.4118.8+0.145%-
Last 10 (10)62.954.4117.3+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)64.858.6123.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)61.655.9117.5+5.782%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)61.457.4118.8+3.953%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H31/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A05/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H07/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H08/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A12/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H14/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H15/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A19/01
NBA
114.7Avg total
56.1Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.458.4115.8-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.157.6116.7+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)55.859.2115.0-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)56.158.6114.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.261.6115.8-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)57.658.7116.3-1.140%-
vs Similar (15)57.358.1115.4-0.940%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.731.2
58.1%
54.5%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.113.5
40.8%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.4
77.7%
78.1%17.4
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.629.7
52.5%
54.5%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.8
33.4%
35.8%35.4
🏀 Free throws25.921.6
83.4%
78.1%21.6
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWWWLW
Indiana Pacers
LLLLLWWLWW
#2
League position
#24
+11.4
Net rating
-3.7
121.4
Offensive rating
111.1
110.0
Defensive rating
114.9
59.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.7%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.8%
3-point %
33.4%
64.4%
Assist %
62.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.4 · 111.1Defence110.0 · 114.9Shooting59.3% · 51.6%3-point %40.8% · 33.4%Ball care12.9% · 13.7%Off. rebounds26.2% · 25.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-118
18/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers122-113
16/01/23HOrlando Magic119-116
14/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers115-103
12/01/23HPhoenix Suns126-97
10/01/23HLos Angeles Lakers122-109
07/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers121-108
06/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers122-91
03/01/23AMinnesota Timberwolves111-124
02/01/23HBoston Celtics123-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23AOklahoma City Thunder106-126
16/01/23AMilwaukee Bucks119-132
15/01/23HMemphis Grizzlies112-130
14/01/23HAtlanta Hawks111-113
12/01/23ANew York Knicks113-119
08/01/23HCharlotte Hornets116-111
07/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers108-99
05/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers126-129 OT
03/01/23HToronto Raptors122-114
31/12/22HLos Angeles Clippers131-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %71%88%52%
Points / game117.3120.0114.2
Allowed / game113.2109.2117.7
Point differential+4.1+10.8-3.5
Avg total230.4229.2231.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (16)70% (10)83% (6)
Overtime %4%4%5%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %50%62%36%
Points / game115.3117.9112.4
Allowed / game116.5115.0118.2
Point differential-1.2+2.9-5.8
Avg total231.8232.8230.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)40% (10)75% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics46341274%118.8112.4+6.4
2 Denver Nuggets45321371%117.3113.2+4.1
3 Memphis Grizzlies44311370%117.5111.7+5.8
4 Philadelphia 76ers45291664%113.7109.8+3.9
5 Milwaukee Bucks45291664%112.6111.3+1.3
6 Brooklyn Nets44271761%113.5110.6+2.8
7 Cleveland Cavaliers47281960%111.6107.4+4.3
8 Sacramento Kings43251858%119.9116.9+3.0
9 New Orleans Pelicans46262057%116.4113.7+2.7
10 New York Knicks47252253%114.3112.0+2.3
11 Dallas Mavericks47252253%112.9112.2+0.7
12 Miami Heat47252253%108.8108.7+0.1
13 Atlanta Hawks46242252%115.9116.2-0.2
14 Utah Jazz48242450%117.8116.6+1.2
15 Golden State Warriors46232350%117.6117.9-0.3
16 Los Angeles Clippers48242450%109.7110.8-1.1
17 Indiana Pacers46232350%115.3116.5-1.2
18 Minnesota Timberwolves47232449%115.4115.8-0.4
19 Oklahoma City Thunder45222349%117.0115.8+1.2
20 Phoenix Suns46222448%112.7112.2+0.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers45212447%112.9112.6+0.3
22 Chicago Bulls45212447%114.8115.0-0.2
23 Los Angeles Lakers45202544%116.9118.0-1.1
24 Toronto Raptors46202643%112.5112.5+0.1
25 Washington Wizards45192642%111.9113.2-1.3
26 Orlando Magic45172838%110.8114.2-3.4
27 San Antonio Spurs46143230%112.8121.4-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets46123426%112.4118.9-6.5
29 Detroit Pistons48123625%112.0119.6-7.6
30 Houston Rockets45103522%109.8117.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets37243835134
Indiana Pacers28252929111
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