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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 134-117
34-35 36-34 35-22 29-26
Position#2
Record35-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game112.7
vs
Position#11
Record26-25
FormLWWWL
Points / game118.0
Allowed / game118.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
115-103
115
103
+12
110avg 113
A14/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
119-116
119
116
+3
115avg 113
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
122-113
122
113
+9
119avg 113
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-118
122
118
+4
113avg 113
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
134-111
134
111
+23
139avg 113
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
99-101
99
101
-2
86avg 113
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
99-98
99
98
+1
93avg 113
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
99-107
99
107
-8
85avg 113
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
119-126
119
126
-7
116avg 113
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
122-113
122
113
+9
122avg 113
H01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
25-24
29-23
29-22
31-25
38-29
25-34
25-28
34-31
39-36
28-22
21-24
30-27
25-33
33-35
34-23
37-28
24-25
38-29
35-29
18-27
29-25
27-29
25-20
28-24
35-23
20-27
16-24
27-26
26-32
20-23
26-26
38-29
35-29
26-38
20-30
31-35
26-25
36-24
29-29
225.6Avg total
115.0Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)116.6112.7229.4+3.969%
Season at home (27)119.8109.1228.9+10.785%
Season away (24)113.1116.8229.9-3.750%
Last 10 (10)115.0110.6225.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)107.6109.0216.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)114.4111.1225.5+3.360%
vs Weaker (15)120.6113.9234.5+6.780%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
144-113
144
113
+31
144avg 110
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
118-132
118
132
-14
118avg 110
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
127-118
127
118
+9
122avg 110
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
118-121 OT
118
121
-3
106avg 110
A20/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
120-114
120
114
+6
114avg 110
A21/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
116-120
116
120
-4
108avg 110
H23/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
122-120
122
120
+2
122avg 110
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
129-117
129
117
+12
134avg 110
H28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
128-120
128
120
+8
130avg 110
A31/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
114-119 OT
114
119
-5
106avg 110
A02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
41-32
40-29
30-24
20-35
42-24
24-33
32-40
35-33
34-31
24-29
34-25
26-25
29-29
34-28
17-24
33-28
31-31
34-27
22-28
33-28
39-32
18-26
26-34
24-22
29-32
37-42
32-24
34-36
29-26
35-32
31-23
38-20
25-28
31-37
34-35
34-32
37-30
22-20
17-28
243.0Avg total
123.6Scored
119.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)118.0118.0236.1-0.051%
Season at home (25)119.6113.2232.8+6.376%
Season away (26)116.5122.7239.2-6.127%
Last 10 (10)123.6119.4243.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)121.8119.2241.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)120.5114.0234.5+6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (20)118.5121.2239.7-2.750%
vs Weaker (8)116.9113.1230.0+3.850%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A14/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
63-47
63
47
+16
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A26/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H01/02
NBA
117.5Avg total
60.8Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.356.3116.6+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (19)60.755.0115.7+5.768%-
Last 30 away (11)59.558.6118.2+0.945%-
Last 10 (10)60.856.7117.5+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.0113.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)60.155.1115.3+5.067%-
vs Weaker (15)60.557.5118.0+2.953%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A15/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A20/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A21/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H23/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A31/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A02/02
NBA
122.8Avg total
64.6Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.859.7120.5+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.357.1117.5+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)61.362.3123.5-1.067%-
Last 10 (10)64.658.2122.8+6.490%-
Last 5 (5)64.457.2121.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.558.5120.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)60.860.0120.7+0.865%-
vs Weaker (8)60.859.4120.1+1.450%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.630.7
57.3%
54.5%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.812.2
38.4%
35.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
78.1%17.0
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 123.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.026.7
55.6%
54.5%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.717.4
40.7%
35.8%52.2
🏀 Free throws22.918.0
78.6%
78.1%18.0
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLWWWWW
Golden State Warriors
LWWWLWLWLW
#2
League position
#11
+4.4
Net rating
+3.9
115.7
Offensive rating
115.1
111.3
Defensive rating
111.1
57.4%
Effective FG%
58.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.4%
3-point %
40.7%
66.2%
Assist %
69.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 115.1Defence111.3 · 111.1Shooting57.4% · 58.2%3-point %38.4% · 40.7%Ball care13.9% · 14.5%Off. rebounds25.2% · 22.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans122-113
28/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers119-126
26/01/23AMilwaukee Bucks99-107
25/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans99-98
23/01/23HOklahoma City Thunder99-101
21/01/23HIndiana Pacers134-111
19/01/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-118
18/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers122-113
16/01/23HOrlando Magic119-116
14/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers115-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23AMinnesota Timberwolves114-119 OT
31/01/23AOklahoma City Thunder128-120
28/01/23HToronto Raptors129-117
26/01/23HMemphis Grizzlies122-120
23/01/23HBrooklyn Nets116-120
21/01/23ACleveland Cavaliers120-114
20/01/23ABoston Celtics118-121 OT
16/01/23AWashington Wizards127-118
15/01/23AChicago Bulls118-132
14/01/23ASan Antonio Spurs144-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW69%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512724
Win %69%85%50%
Points / game116.6119.8113.1
Allowed / game112.7109.1116.8
Point differential+3.9+10.7-3.7
Avg total229.4228.9229.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%52%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won72% (18)64% (11)86% (7)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL51%
HomeLLLWW76%
AwayWLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %51%76%27%
Points / game118.0119.6116.5
Allowed / game118.0113.2122.7
Point differential-0.0+6.3-6.1
Avg total236.1232.8239.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)70% (10)0% (5)
Overtime %8%4%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics52371571%118.2112.0+6.2
2 Denver Nuggets51351669%116.6112.7+3.9
3 Milwaukee Bucks51341767%114.3111.9+2.3
4 Philadelphia 76ers50331766%114.5110.7+3.8
5 Memphis Grizzlies52322062%116.5112.8+3.7
6 Brooklyn Nets51312061%114.2112.1+2.1
7 Cleveland Cavaliers54322259%111.6106.9+4.7
8 Sacramento Kings50292158%119.5116.4+3.1
9 Miami Heat53292455%108.4108.1+0.3
10 Los Angeles Clippers54292554%110.6110.5+0.1
11 New York Knicks53282553%114.3112.5+1.7
12 Dallas Mavericks53282553%112.3111.8+0.5
13 Minnesota Timberwolves54282652%115.1115.0+0.1
14 Golden State Warriors51262551%118.0118.0-0.0
15 Utah Jazz53272651%117.8116.5+1.2
16 Phoenix Suns53272651%112.7111.8+0.8
17 Atlanta Hawks52262650%116.5116.5+0.0
18 New Orleans Pelicans53262749%114.8113.6+1.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers51252649%114.3113.7+0.6
20 Washington Wizards50242648%113.0113.0-0.0
21 Los Angeles Lakers53252847%116.9118.1-1.2
22 Oklahoma City Thunder51242747%116.6115.8+0.8
23 Chicago Bulls51242747%114.3114.1+0.2
24 Indiana Pacers53242945%115.1117.1-2.0
25 Toronto Raptors53233043%113.1112.6+0.4
26 Orlando Magic52203238%110.9114.3-3.4
27 Charlotte Hornets53153828%112.0118.6-6.6
28 San Antonio Spurs52143827%112.5122.2-9.7
29 Houston Rockets51133825%109.6116.9-7.2
30 Detroit Pistons52133925%112.6120.1-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34363529134
Golden State Warriors35342226117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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