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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 103-116
29-28 22-34 22-31 30-23
Position#6
Record24-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game109.5
vs
Position#9
Record21-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game112.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Dallas Mavericks
04 Feb 2027
DEN v DAL
upcoming
24 Nov 2026
DEN v DAL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
DEN142
DAL135
01 Dec 2025
DEN121
DAL131
22 Nov 2024
DEN120
DAL123
10 Nov 2024
DEN122
DAL120
18 Dec 2023
DEN130
DAL104
03 Nov 2023
DEN125
DAL114
15 Feb 2023
DEN118
DAL109
06 Dec 2022
DEN115
DAL116
29 Oct 2021
DEN106
DAL75
13 Mar 2021
DEN103
DAL116
07 Jan 2021
DEN117
DAL124
13 Apr 2020
DEN v DAL
upcoming
29 Oct 2019
DEN106
DAL109
14 Mar 2019
DEN100
DAL99
18 Dec 2018
DEN126
DAL118
27 Jan 2018
DEN91
DAL89
16 Jan 2018
DEN105
DAL102
06 Feb 2017
DEN110
DAL87
19 Dec 2016
DEN117
DAL107
28 Mar 2016
DEN88
DAL97
06 Mar 2016
DEN116
DAL114
10 Apr 2015
DEN143
DAL144
14 Jan 2015
DEN114
DAL107
05 Mar 2014
DEN115
DAL110
23 Nov 2013
DEN102
DAL100
04 Apr 2013
DEN95
DAL94
19 Mar 2012
DEN95
DAL112
08 Feb 2012
DEN95
DAL105
10 Feb 2011
DEN121
DAL120
03 Nov 2010
DEN101
DAL102
09 Feb 2010
DEN127
DAL91
27 Dec 2009
DEN96
DAL104
13 May 2009
DEN124
DAL110
05 May 2009
DEN117
DAL105
03 May 2009
DEN109
DAL95
13 Jan 2009
DEN99
DAL97
07 Nov 2008
DEN108
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
L
128-130
128
130
-2
119avg 107
A18/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
120-103
120
103
+17
116avg 107
A20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
115-123
115
123
-8
106avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
111-106
111
106
+5
98avg 107
H24/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
110-112
110
112
-2
102avg 107
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
126-96
126
96
+30
128avg 107
A28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
118-112
118
112
+6
114avg 107
A02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
128-97
128
97
+31
124avg 107
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
113-103
113
103
+10
114avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 107
A13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-24
23-46
29-30
35-30
33-23
36-27
26-30
25-23
33-27
23-37
20-29
39-30
34-25
23-32
21-21
33-28
22-26
32-30
34-32
22-24
38-20
27-23
34-26
27-27
37-25
25-30
27-32
29-25
37-23
27-27
35-30
29-17
28-29
33-23
21-22
31-29
26-31
27-24
28-22
22-25
225.6Avg total
117.2Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)115.8109.5225.3+6.360%
Season at home (18)116.8109.0225.8+7.861%
Season away (22)115.0109.9225.0+5.159%
Last 10 (10)117.2108.4225.6+8.870%
Last 5 (5)117.6102.0219.6+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)114.4111.3225.7+3.161%
vs Weaker (12)116.3105.6221.9+10.867%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
143-130
143
130
+13
139avg 104
H13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
118-121
118
121
-3
108avg 104
H15/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 104
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
110-107
110
107
+3
96avg 104
H24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
97-111
97
111
-14
91avg 104
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
115-98
115
98
+17
104avg 104
A28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
130-124
130
124
+6
128avg 104
A02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
87-78
87
78
+9
79avg 104
H04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
115-104
115
104
+11
119avg 104
H11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
108-116
108
116
-8
93avg 104
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
42-31
39-36
35-29
25-34
36-24
30-45
27-18
26-13
28-23
27-26
21-30
34-31
21-25
25-20
30-31
22-23
21-36
25-27
29-25
38-26
30-38
26-18
21-16
29-33
32-25
34-28
35-38
25-23
24-19
26-19
12-17
27-32
25-27
35-27
28-18
19-35
28-27
27-27
34-27
220.6Avg total
112.5Scored
108.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)112.6112.4224.9+0.254%
Season at home (19)112.4113.9226.4-1.553%
Season away (20)112.8110.8223.6+1.955%
Last 10 (10)112.5108.1220.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)111.0104.0215.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.7115.7216.3-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)115.0115.9230.9-0.953%
vs Weaker (10)112.6108.5221.1+4.180%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
Denver NuggetsDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A18/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H24/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-43
65
43
+22
A28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
NBA
115.7Avg total
60.5Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.353.5113.8+6.863%-
Last 30 at home (11)60.853.2114.0+7.673%-
Last 30 away (19)60.053.7113.7+6.358%-
Last 10 (10)60.555.2115.7+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)61.051.0112.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)61.154.7115.8+6.467%-
vs Weaker (12)59.151.8110.8+7.358%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H13/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H15/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H24/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A02/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H04/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A12/03
NBA
111.8Avg total
55.9Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.757.4114.1-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.057.9116.9+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)54.056.9110.9-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)55.955.9111.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)55.457.0112.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.363.0108.3-17.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)57.658.3115.9-0.647%-
vs Weaker (10)58.454.2112.6+4.270%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.331.0
57.1%
52.8%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.213.8
41.6%
36.6%41.4
🏀 Free throws16.813.8
82.1%
77.7%13.8
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.025.5
56.7%
52.8%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.014.7
37.7%
36.6%44.1
🏀 Free throws22.117.4
78.7%
77.7%17.4
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWLWLWL
Dallas Mavericks
LWWWWLWWLW
#6
League position
#9
+8.9
Net rating
+4.5
118.9
Offensive rating
115.1
110.0
Defensive rating
110.6
59.1%
Effective FG%
56.6%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
12.1%
Turnover %
11.2%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
19.1%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.26
41.6%
3-point %
37.7%
56.7%
Assist %
55.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 115.1Defence110.0 · 110.6Shooting59.1% · 56.6%3-point %41.6% · 37.7%Ball care12.1% · 11.2%Off. rebounds20.4% · 19.1%Free throws0.19 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies103-102
05/03/21AIndiana Pacers113-103
03/03/21AMilwaukee Bucks128-97
02/03/21AChicago Bulls118-112
28/02/21AOklahoma City Thunder126-96
26/02/21HWashington Wizards110-112
24/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers111-106
22/02/21AAtlanta Hawks115-123
20/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers120-103
18/02/21AWashington Wizards128-130
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/21AOklahoma City Thunder108-116
11/03/21HSan Antonio Spurs115-104
04/03/21HOklahoma City Thunder87-78
02/03/21AOrlando Magic130-124
28/02/21ABrooklyn Nets115-98
26/02/21APhiladelphia 76ers97-111
24/02/21HBoston Celtics110-107
23/02/21HMemphis Grizzlies102-92
15/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers118-121
13/02/21HNew Orleans Pelicans143-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWWWWL61%
AwayWWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401822
Win %60%61%59%
Points / game115.8116.8115.0
Allowed / game109.5109.0109.9
Point differential+6.3+7.8+5.1
Avg total225.3225.8225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL54%
HomeLWWWW53%
AwayWLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %54%53%55%
Points / game112.6112.4112.8
Allowed / game112.4113.9110.8
Point differential+0.2-1.5+1.9
Avg total224.9226.4223.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%26%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz4031978%116.7107.0+9.6
2 Philadelphia 76ers40281270%115.1110.3+4.7
3 Los Angeles Lakers42291369%111.2105.7+5.5
4 Brooklyn Nets41281368%120.3114.7+5.6
5 Phoenix Suns40251562%113.0108.1+4.8
6 Denver Nuggets40241660%115.8109.5+6.3
7 Los Angeles Clippers42251760%114.0109.7+4.3
8 Milwaukee Bucks41241759%118.6113.1+5.5
9 Portland Trail Blazers41231856%114.1115.8-1.7
10 Dallas Mavericks39211854%112.6112.4+0.2
11 New York Knicks43232053%104.7103.6+1.1
12 Memphis Grizzlies38201853%112.5110.3+2.2
13 Miami Heat40211952%106.7107.8-1.2
14 San Antonio Spurs37191851%110.0110.9-0.9
15 Golden State Warriors41212051%113.0113.0+0.0
16 Charlotte Hornets41202149%112.5112.8-0.3
17 Boston Celtics39192049%110.7111.1-0.3
18 Atlanta Hawks42202248%113.0112.7+0.4
19 Chicago Bulls40192148%113.5114.2-0.6
20 Toronto Raptors41192246%112.7111.6+1.0
21 New Orleans Pelicans40182245%115.5114.8+0.6
22 Oklahoma City Thunder41172441%106.1111.6-5.4
23 Indiana Pacers39162341%111.9112.3-0.4
24 Sacramento Kings42172540%114.4119.5-5.1
25 Cleveland Cavaliers41162539%103.6111.7-8.1
26 Washington Wizards40152538%113.3118.5-5.2
27 Orlando Magic42152736%105.7112.4-6.7
28 Houston Rockets40142635%107.9112.2-4.2
29 Detroit Pistons42123029%106.2109.5-3.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves4193222%109.2117.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29222230103
Dallas Mavericks28343123116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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