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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 121-105
35-28 25-15 32-28 29-34
Position#11
Record26-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game114.2
vs
Position#9
Record30-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game109.3
Allowed / game105.6
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU110
DEN100
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
112-127
112
127
-15
110avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
130-104
130
104
+26
119avg 106
H01/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
118-108
118
108
+10
109avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
122-115
122
115
+7
114avg 106
A09/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
92-113
92
113
-21
74avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
139-109
139
109
+30
139avg 106
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
110-121
110
121
-11
97avg 106
A15/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
107-117
107
117
-10
94avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
115-124
115
124
-9
103avg 106
H19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
107-112
107
112
-5
90avg 106
H20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-36
27-28
29-22
19-41
38-26
31-26
23-37
38-15
20-27
40-26
36-31
22-24
45-29
32-33
22-23
23-30
21-37
27-23
19-29
25-24
22-20
35-21
45-35
37-33
37-32
24-35
22-18
27-36
26-28
21-32
30-30
30-27
34-27
31-32
17-32
33-33
25-22
39-35
23-14
20-41
230.2Avg total
115.2Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)118.3114.2232.5+4.162%
Season at home (21)119.0111.7230.6+7.367%
Season away (21)117.7116.7234.4+1.057%
Last 10 (10)115.2115.0230.2+0.240%
Last 5 (5)115.6116.6232.2-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)115.9115.7231.6+0.250%
vs Weaker (16)120.7112.3233.0+8.462%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
124-116
124
116
+8
123avg 103
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
114-128
114
128
-14
96avg 103
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
123-115
123
115
+8
114avg 103
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
107-106
107
106
+1
100avg 103
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
103-111
103
111
-8
88avg 103
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 103
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
100-86
100
86
+14
96avg 103
H16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
131avg 103
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
107-115
107
115
-8
95avg 103
H20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
107-100
107
100
+7
105avg 103
A21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-37
35-27
30-24
32-28
19-31
36-30
35-34
24-33
29-31
35-25
27-30
32-29
27-32
29-27
30-30
21-17
18-23
24-28
29-34
32-26
29-30
37-22
23-22
25-30
28-25
29-17
17-27
26-17
19-34
26-28
28-23
40-28
21-15
29-29
31-30
26-41
26-29
29-25
26-25
26-21
224.5Avg total
113.3Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)109.3105.6215.0+3.770%
Season at home (23)108.5103.6212.1+4.974%
Season away (20)110.3107.9218.2+2.465%
Last 10 (10)113.3111.2224.5+2.170%
Last 5 (5)112.4107.2219.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)105.8102.6208.4+3.260%
vs Similar ◀ (15)109.2108.4217.6+0.860%
vs Weaker (10)114.7107.2221.9+7.580%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.4+1.4
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A30/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H01/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A09/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A15/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H20/01
NBA
118.7Avg total
61.2Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.758.3119.9+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.756.2117.9+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)61.760.3122.0+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)61.257.5118.7+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)58.856.8115.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)60.458.2118.6+2.157%-
vs Weaker (16)62.858.3121.1+4.575%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A05/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A21/01
NBA
109.7Avg total
55.2Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.152.6107.7+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.950.3105.2+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)55.255.2110.4+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)55.254.5109.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.650.8105.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.050.4102.4+1.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.353.7108.1+0.653%-
vs Weaker (10)57.752.0109.7+5.770%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.827.3
55.9%
52.3%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.113.6
33.1%
35.7%40.8
🏀 Free throws26.019.8
76.2%
77.2%19.8
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.233.0
55.7%
52.3%66.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.1
31.6%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.820.0
77.5%
77.2%20.0
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLLWLWWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWLWWLW
#11
League position
#9
+0.2
Net rating
+2.1
109.1
Offensive rating
114.5
108.9
Defensive rating
112.4
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
10.8%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.1%
3-point %
31.6%
54.0%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 114.5Defence108.9 · 112.4Shooting53.1% · 53.0%3-point %33.1% · 31.6%Ball care13.9% · 10.8%Off. rebounds22.8% · 24.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Houston Rockets wins
2
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/20HOklahoma City Thunder107-112
19/01/20HLos Angeles Lakers115-124
16/01/20HPortland Trail Blazers107-117
15/01/20AMemphis Grizzlies110-121
11/01/20HMinnesota Timberwolves139-109
10/01/20AOklahoma City Thunder92-113
09/01/20AAtlanta Hawks122-115
04/01/20HPhiladelphia 76ers118-108
01/01/20HDenver Nuggets130-104
30/12/19ANew Orleans Pelicans112-127
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/20AMinnesota Timberwolves107-100
20/01/20HIndiana Pacers107-115
17/01/20AGolden State Warriors134-131 OT
16/01/20HCharlotte Hornets100-86
13/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers114-104
12/01/20HCleveland Cavaliers103-111
09/01/20ADallas Mavericks107-106
07/01/20AAtlanta Hawks123-115
05/01/20AWashington Wizards114-128
03/01/20AIndiana Pacers124-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL62%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayLLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game118.3119.0117.7
Allowed / game114.2111.7116.7
Point differential+4.1+7.3+1.0
Avg total232.5230.6234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWLWWL74%
AwayLWWWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432320
Win %70%74%65%
Points / game109.3108.5110.3
Allowed / game105.6103.6107.9
Point differential+3.7+4.9+2.5
Avg total215.0212.1218.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)67% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %9%4%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4539687%119.4106.7+12.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers4435980%113.7106.1+7.6
3 Miami Heat44311370%112.1108.4+3.7
4 Utah Jazz43301370%110.7106.0+4.7
5 Denver Nuggets43301370%109.3105.6+3.7
6 Los Angeles Clippers45311469%115.6109.4+6.2
7 Toronto Raptors44301468%111.9105.9+6.0
8 Boston Celtics43291467%112.5105.4+7.1
9 Indiana Pacers44281664%109.0106.5+2.5
10 Philadelphia 76ers46291763%108.4105.1+3.3
11 Dallas Mavericks43271663%116.4109.4+7.1
12 Houston Rockets42261662%118.3114.2+4.1
13 Oklahoma City Thunder45261958%109.9108.1+1.8
14 Orlando Magic45212447%104.0104.3-0.3
15 Memphis Grizzlies44202445%113.2116.1-2.9
16 San Antonio Spurs42192345%113.7114.7-1.0
17 Brooklyn Nets42182443%109.3111.6-2.3
18 Portland Trail Blazers45192642%111.9114.1-2.2
19 Phoenix Suns43182542%113.6114.1-0.5
20 New Orleans Pelicans44172739%114.4117.6-3.2
21 Detroit Pistons45172838%109.3110.6-1.4
22 Chicago Bulls45162936%105.7107.8-2.2
23 Minnesota Timberwolves43152835%111.1114.6-3.4
24 Sacramento Kings44152934%106.8110.5-3.7
25 Charlotte Hornets45153033%103.3110.5-7.2
26 Washington Wizards43142933%114.7120.1-5.4
27 Cleveland Cavaliers44123227%104.8113.9-9.1
28 New York Knicks45123327%104.0112.0-8.0
29 Atlanta Hawks45113424%107.7117.0-9.3
30 Golden State Warriors45103522%105.6113.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets35253229121
Denver Nuggets28152834105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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