PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 117-110
27-36 30-23 33-30 27-21
Position#9
Record31-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game109.3
Allowed / game106.0
vs
Position#11
Record28-16
FormLLLWW
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
123-115
123
115
+8
114avg 102
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
107-106
107
106
+1
100avg 102
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
103-111
103
111
-8
88avg 102
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 102
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
100-86
100
86
+14
96avg 102
H16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
134-131 OT
134
131
+3
131avg 102
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
L
107-115
107
115
-8
95avg 102
H20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
107-100
107
100
+7
105avg 102
A21/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
105-121
105
121
-16
93avg 102
A23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
113-106
113
106
+7
101avg 102
A25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
35-25
27-30
32-29
27-32
29-27
30-30
21-17
18-23
24-28
29-34
32-26
29-30
37-22
23-22
25-30
28-25
29-17
17-27
26-17
19-34
26-28
28-23
40-28
21-15
29-29
31-30
26-41
26-29
29-25
26-25
26-21
28-35
15-25
28-32
34-29
37-28
26-28
31-26
19-24
220.8Avg total
111.3Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)109.3106.0215.3+3.469%
Season at home (23)108.5103.6212.1+4.974%
Season away (22)110.2108.4218.6+1.864%
Last 10 (10)111.3109.5220.8+1.870%
Last 5 (5)113.2114.6227.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.2105.2213.5+3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (16)108.8109.3218.1-0.656%
vs Weaker (10)114.7107.2221.9+7.580%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
118-108
118
108
+10
109avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
122-115
122
115
+7
114avg 106
A09/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
92-113
92
113
-21
74avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
139-109
139
109
+30
139avg 106
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
110-121
110
121
-11
97avg 106
A15/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
107-117
107
117
-10
94avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
115-124
115
124
-9
103avg 106
H19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
107-112
107
112
-5
90avg 106
H20/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
121-105
121
105
+16
119avg 106
H23/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
131-124
131
124
+7
118avg 106
A25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
40-26
36-31
22-24
45-29
32-33
22-23
23-30
21-37
27-23
19-29
25-24
22-20
35-21
45-35
37-33
37-32
24-35
22-18
27-36
26-28
21-32
30-30
30-27
34-27
31-32
17-32
33-33
25-22
39-35
23-14
20-41
35-28
25-15
32-28
29-34
36-26
27-34
31-24
37-40
231.0Avg total
116.2Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)118.7114.2232.9+4.564%
Season at home (22)119.0111.4230.4+7.768%
Season away (22)118.3117.0235.4+1.359%
Last 10 (10)116.2114.8231.0+1.450%
Last 5 (5)116.2116.4232.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)116.3115.0231.3+1.353%
vs Weaker (15)120.3113.9234.2+6.560%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.9-3.9
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H13/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H16/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H20/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A21/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A23/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A25/01
NBA
107.7Avg total
54.1Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.453.4108.8+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.951.0106.9+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)54.955.6110.5-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)54.153.6107.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)51.255.2106.4-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.854.5108.2-0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.354.1108.4+0.256%-
vs Weaker (10)57.752.0109.7+5.770%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#27
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A09/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H11/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A15/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H20/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H23/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A25/01
NBA
116.4Avg total
60.2Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.558.0119.5+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.455.7117.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)61.660.2121.8+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)60.256.2116.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)59.855.8115.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)60.357.2117.5+3.160%-
vs Weaker (15)62.758.7121.4+3.973%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.331.7
52.6%
52.3%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.0
33.2%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.217.9
77.2%
77.2%17.9
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.228.1
54.9%
52.3%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.912.9
32.3%
35.7%38.7
🏀 Free throws26.821.3
79.5%
77.2%21.3
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWWLWW
Houston Rockets
WWLLLLWLWW
#9
League position
#11
+1.8
Net rating
+1.3
111.8
Offensive rating
109.3
110.0
Defensive rating
108.0
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
11.2%
Turnover %
13.3%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.2%
3-point %
32.3%
62.1%
Assist %
54.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 109.3Defence110.0 · 108.0Shooting51.7% · 52.1%3-point %33.2% · 32.3%Ball care11.2% · 13.3%Off. rebounds26.1% · 22.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Denver Nuggets wins
8
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/20ANew Orleans Pelicans113-106
23/01/20AHouston Rockets105-121
21/01/20AMinnesota Timberwolves107-100
20/01/20HIndiana Pacers107-115
17/01/20AGolden State Warriors134-131 OT
16/01/20HCharlotte Hornets100-86
13/01/20HLos Angeles Clippers114-104
12/01/20HCleveland Cavaliers103-111
09/01/20ADallas Mavericks107-106
07/01/20AAtlanta Hawks123-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/20AMinnesota Timberwolves131-124
23/01/20HDenver Nuggets121-105
20/01/20HOklahoma City Thunder107-112
19/01/20HLos Angeles Lakers115-124
16/01/20HPortland Trail Blazers107-117
15/01/20AMemphis Grizzlies110-121
11/01/20HMinnesota Timberwolves139-109
10/01/20AOklahoma City Thunder92-113
09/01/20AAtlanta Hawks122-115
04/01/20HPhiladelphia 76ers118-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWLWWL74%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %69%74%64%
Points / game109.3108.5110.2
Allowed / game106.0103.6108.4
Point differential+3.4+4.9+1.8
Avg total215.3212.1218.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)67% (6)62% (8)
Overtime %9%4%14%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeWLLLW68%
AwayLWLLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %64%68%59%
Points / game118.7119.0118.3
Allowed / game114.2111.4117.0
Point differential+4.5+7.7+1.3
Avg total232.9230.4235.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4640687%119.3106.7+12.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers46361078%113.5106.3+7.3
3 Utah Jazz45321371%111.1105.8+5.3
4 Los Angeles Clippers46321470%115.7109.5+6.2
5 Toronto Raptors45311469%112.0106.0+6.0
6 Miami Heat45311469%112.2108.7+3.5
7 Denver Nuggets45311469%109.3106.0+3.4
8 Boston Celtics44301468%112.4105.2+7.2
9 Indiana Pacers46301665%109.5106.4+3.2
10 Philadelphia 76ers47301764%108.4104.8+3.6
11 Houston Rockets44281664%118.7114.2+4.5
12 Dallas Mavericks45281762%116.6109.8+6.8
13 Oklahoma City Thunder47281960%110.6108.1+2.5
14 Memphis Grizzlies45212447%113.4116.0-2.5
15 Orlando Magic46212546%103.8104.4-0.5
16 San Antonio Spurs44202445%113.6114.5-0.9
17 Brooklyn Nets44192543%109.6112.0-2.3
18 Phoenix Suns45192642%112.8113.7-1.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers46192741%112.2114.5-2.3
20 Chicago Bulls48183038%105.6107.6-2.0
21 New Orleans Pelicans46172937%114.3117.6-3.3
22 Detroit Pistons47173036%109.4111.2-1.8
23 Sacramento Kings45162936%106.6109.8-3.2
24 Washington Wizards44152934%114.9119.9-5.0
25 Minnesota Timberwolves46153133%111.2114.9-3.7
26 Charlotte Hornets46153133%103.3110.6-7.3
27 New York Knicks46123426%104.2112.1-7.9
28 Cleveland Cavaliers46123426%105.0114.2-9.2
29 Atlanta Hawks46113524%107.8117.5-9.7
30 Golden State Warriors47103721%105.7114.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27303327117
Houston Rockets36233021110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.