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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 112-85
22-25 40-19 25-21 25-20
Position#5
Record47-28
FormWLWWL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game109.7
Houston Rockets 🏆
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets
USA
Position#4
Record50-23
FormWWWLW
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game106.8
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU110
DEN100
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
94-93
94
93
+1
75avg 99
A10/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
118-106
118
106
+12
114avg 99
H12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
104-106
104
106
-2
91avg 99
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
108-102
108
102
+6
95avg 99
H16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
117-102
117
102
+15
109avg 99
H18/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
121-105
121
105
+16
no box
A19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
125-126 OT
125
126
-1
no box
A21/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
111-105
111
105
+6
95avg 99
H23/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
113-90
113
90
+23
112avg 99
A24/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
94-108
94
108
-14
no box
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
33-28
23-18
13-21
38-19
33-25
22-36
25-26
23-33
29-21
26-31
26-21
26-31
29-26
28-28
25-17
26-30
24-19
43-29
24-24
25-25
28-22
31-25
37-33
25-38
28-25
25-34
37-18
36-24
26-23
19-34
30-24
33-19
30-25
24-25
26-21
25-20
28-38
18-32
23-18
214.8Avg total
110.5Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)112.9109.7222.6+3.263%
Season at home (37)115.9110.7226.6+5.273%
Season away (38)109.9108.8218.7+1.253%
Last 10 (10)110.5104.3214.8+6.270%
Last 5 (5)112.8106.8219.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.0108.0202.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)112.3109.5221.7+2.864%
vs Weaker (18)114.9107.9222.8+7.178%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
115-99
115
99
+16
no box
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
105-122
105
122
-17
91avg 106
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
133-107
133
107
+26
139avg 106
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
100-99
100
99
+1
99avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
102-100
102
100
+2
96avg 106
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
114-105
114
105
+9
no box
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
113-108
113
108
+5
no box
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
111-93
111
93
+18
106avg 106
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
88-124
88
124
-36
71avg 106
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
no box
H27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-25
23-24
19-28
30-22
20-30
30-37
25-23
30-32
31-20
27-28
36-30
39-29
26-29
25-28
28-32
21-10
25-36
32-24
22-15
23-25
24-22
31-30
25-28
34-25
33-30
28-23
24-32
28-23
37-18
19-24
26-20
29-31
23-27
23-35
21-30
21-32
27-9
39-30
15-23
14-30
212.5Avg total
107.6Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)111.5106.8218.3+4.668%
Season at home (37)115.1104.4219.5+10.784%
Season away (36)107.7109.4217.1-1.653%
Last 10 (10)107.6104.9212.5+2.780%
Last 5 (5)104.2104.4208.6-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)111.0109.5220.5+1.554%
vs Weaker (17)114.4106.1220.4+8.382%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A10/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
71-44
71
44
+27
H12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H16/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H18/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A19/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A21/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H23/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
63-44
63
44
+19
A24/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A27/03
NBA
108.7Avg total
57.0Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.254.6114.9+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.554.1114.6+6.562%-
Last 30 away (17)60.055.1115.1+4.965%-
Last 10 (10)57.051.7108.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)56.851.8108.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.058.0111.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)61.653.3114.9+8.473%-
vs Weaker (18)59.855.3115.1+4.561%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
66-39
66
39
+27
H27/03
NBA
109.5Avg total
56.6Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.657.0115.6+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.755.7118.4+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)54.558.3112.9-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)56.652.9109.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)56.849.6106.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.659.0116.6-1.446%-
vs Weaker (17)59.455.5114.9+3.959%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.1
53.1%
51.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.215.9
35.2%
35.4%47.7
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.4%
76.6%16.4
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.528.7
51.7%
51.7%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.511.9
35.5%
35.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.9
77.2%
76.6%13.9
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWWLWWWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWWLW
#5
League position
#4
+7.5
Net rating
+2.4
108.6
Offensive rating
109.7
101.1
Defensive rating
107.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
52.3%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
12.8%
Turnover %
12.8%
19.7%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.2%
3-point %
35.5%
55.5%
Assist %
67.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 109.7Defence101.1 · 107.3Shooting52.9% · 52.3%3-point %35.2% · 35.5%Ball care12.8% · 12.8%Off. rebounds19.7% · 26.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Houston Rockets wins
1
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
02/02/19Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets136-122
08/01/19Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets125-113
14/11/18Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets99-109
26/02/18Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets114-119
10/02/18Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets130-104
23/11/17Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets125-95
06/04/17Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets110-104
21/03/17Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets125-124
19/03/17Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets105-109
03/12/16Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets110-128
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/19AMilwaukee Bucks94-108
24/03/19ANew Orleans Pelicans113-90
23/03/19HSan Antonio Spurs111-105
21/03/19AMemphis Grizzlies125-126 OT
19/03/19AAtlanta Hawks121-105
18/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves117-102
16/03/19HPhoenix Suns108-102
14/03/19HGolden State Warriors104-106
12/03/19HCharlotte Hornets118-106
10/03/19ADallas Mavericks94-93
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/19HDetroit Pistons95-92
24/03/19AIndiana Pacers88-124
22/03/19ANew York Knicks111-93
21/03/19AWashington Wizards113-108
18/03/19ABoston Celtics114-105
17/03/19HIndiana Pacers102-100
15/03/19HDallas Mavericks100-99
13/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves133-107
09/03/19AGolden State Warriors105-122
07/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers115-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL63%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %63%73%53%
Points / game112.9115.9109.9
Allowed / game109.7110.7108.8
Point differential+3.2+5.2+1.2
Avg total222.6226.6218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%41%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (24)64% (11)46% (13)
Overtime %8%5%11%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeLWWWW84%
AwayLWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %68%84%53%
Points / game111.5115.1107.7
Allowed / game106.8104.4109.4
Point differential+4.6+10.7-1.6
Avg total218.3219.5217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%46%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (22)89% (9)77% (13)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks75561975%117.4107.9+9.5
2 Toronto Raptors76532370%114.2108.5+5.6
3 Golden State Warriors74512369%117.3111.5+5.7
4 Denver Nuggets73502368%111.5106.8+4.6
5 Philadelphia 76ers75482764%115.2112.1+3.1
6 Portland Trail Blazers74472764%114.6110.7+3.9
7 Houston Rockets75472863%112.9109.7+3.2
8 Utah Jazz75453060%110.9105.9+5.0
9 Indiana Pacers75453060%107.8104.0+3.8
10 Los Angeles Clippers75453060%114.8113.5+1.3
11 Boston Celtics75443159%112.6108.0+4.6
12 Oklahoma City Thunder75443159%114.2110.9+3.3
13 San Antonio Spurs75433257%111.8110.3+1.5
14 Detroit Pistons75383751%107.6107.7-0.1
15 Brooklyn Nets76383850%112.0112.5-0.5
16 Sacramento Kings74373750%114.1114.7-0.6
17 Miami Heat75373849%105.7105.8-0.1
18 Orlando Magic76373949%106.2106.2-0.0
19 Charlotte Hornets74353947%110.9111.7-0.8
20 Minnesota Timberwolves74334145%112.4113.5-1.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers75334244%111.7113.8-2.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans76314541%115.4116.3-0.9
23 Washington Wizards76314541%114.3117.1-2.8
24 Memphis Grizzlies75304540%102.8105.3-2.5
25 Dallas Mavericks75294639%108.5110.1-1.6
26 Atlanta Hawks75274836%112.9118.6-5.8
27 Chicago Bulls76215528%105.2113.2-8.1
28 Cleveland Cavaliers75195625%104.4113.5-9.1
29 Phoenix Suns76175922%106.9116.2-9.3
30 New York Knicks75146119%105.0114.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets22402525112
Denver Nuggets2519212085
← all games of the day
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