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Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 117-100
31-18 25-29 39-35 22-18
Position#6
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game125.1
Allowed / game112.4
vs
Position#29
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game119.5
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-107
119
107
+12
118avg 114
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
93-125
93
125
-32
83avg 114
A18/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
131-137 OT
131
137
-6
128avg 114
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
133-111
133
111
+22
133avg 114
H26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
127-114
127
114
+13
122avg 114
A28/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
122-88
122
88
+34
133avg 114
H30/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
107-109
107
109
-2
101avg 114
A01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
130-124
130
124
+6
123avg 114
H04/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-112
122
112
+10
121avg 114
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
129-104
129
104
+25
133avg 114
H08/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
27-33
32-21
29-25
26-21
20-39
26-37
21-28
31-27
39-34
24-33
26-26
34-28
37-26
29-29
33-28
34-30
23-35
45-29
25-20
34-25
19-22
39-11
30-30
26-18
31-35
24-18
26-38
39-30
33-33
32-30
26-31
36-33
32-27
33-26
21-26
32-21
34-28
33-28
30-27
234.4Avg total
121.3Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)125.1112.4237.5+12.875%
Season at home (5)127.2107.8235.0+19.4100%
Season away (3)121.7120.0241.7+1.733%
Last 10 (10)121.3113.1234.4+8.270%
Last 5 (5)122.0107.4229.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar (16)116.6113.4230.0+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)122.0109.7231.7+12.357%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
108-91
108
91
+17
95avg 110
H20/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
91-103
91
103
-12
85avg 110
A23/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
135-141 OT
135
141
-6
118avg 110
H23/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
103-128
103
128
-25
92avg 110
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
110-114
110
114
-4
100avg 110
A26/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
105-107
105
107
-2
82avg 110
A30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-128
108
128
-20
90avg 110
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
114-109
114
109
+5
106avg 110
H01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
115-117
115
117
-2
103avg 110
H04/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
103-112
103
112
-9
96avg 110
H06/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
36-17
26-18
18-31
22-25
26-22
20-34
23-22
25-22
22-32
31-27
35-32
21-23
31-37
32-43
19-25
28-28
32-30
17-28
33-28
30-25
25-27
19-29
31-26
29-32
30-31
17-34
32-31
28-32
25-26
29-30
32-21
22-31
31-25
24-28
38-33
18-25
41-29
24-26
20-32
224.2Avg total
109.2Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)111.6119.5231.1-7.912%
Season at home (5)115.0121.4236.4-6.420%
Season away (3)106.0116.3222.3-10.30%
Last 10 (10)109.2115.0224.2-5.820%
Last 5 (5)109.0114.6223.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)112.6114.2226.8-1.750%
vs Similar (14)114.2114.8229.0-0.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H16/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A18/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A28/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H30/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H08/11
NBA
119.1Avg total
61.8Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.457.3114.6+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.954.8112.6+3.159%-
Last 30 away (13)56.760.5117.2-3.846%-
Last 10 (10)61.857.3119.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)63.254.4117.6+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar (16)58.757.0115.7+1.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)61.355.1116.4+6.186%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
64-42
64
42
+22
H20/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A23/06
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H23/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A26/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A26/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H04/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H06/11
NBA
109.4Avg total
55.0Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.555.4110.9+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.554.6113.1+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)52.556.2108.7-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)55.054.4109.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)55.856.6112.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)54.855.9110.7-1.144%-
vs Similar (14)56.454.9111.2+1.557%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.431.9
59.7%
54.8%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.211.9
33.8%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.721.8
84.8%
78.1%21.8
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.325.6
47.1%
54.8%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.712.4
32.0%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws28.420.8
73.2%
78.1%20.8
They take 93.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWLLW
Indiana Pacers
LLWLLLLLLW
#6
League position
#29
+8.0
Net rating
-5.5
118.1
Offensive rating
103.9
110.1
Defensive rating
109.4
56.2%
Effective FG%
47.5%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
13.5%
Turnover %
13.0%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
32.0%
66.9%
Assist %
60.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 103.9Defence110.1 · 109.4Shooting56.2% · 47.5%3-point %33.8% · 32.0%Ball care13.5% · 13.0%Off. rebounds27.5% · 27.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HGolden State Warriors129-104
06/11/25HMiami Heat122-112
04/11/25HSacramento Kings130-124
01/11/25APortland Trail Blazers107-109
30/10/25HNew Orleans Pelicans122-88
28/10/25AMinnesota Timberwolves127-114
26/10/25HPhoenix Suns133-111
24/10/25AGolden State Warriors131-137 OT
18/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder93-125
16/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder119-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25HBrooklyn Nets103-112
04/11/25HMilwaukee Bucks115-117
01/11/25HGolden State Warriors114-109
31/10/25HAtlanta Hawks108-128
30/10/25ADallas Mavericks105-107
26/10/25AMinnesota Timberwolves110-114
26/10/25AMemphis Grizzlies103-128
23/10/25HOklahoma City Thunder135-141 OT
23/06/25AOklahoma City Thunder91-103
20/06/25HOklahoma City Thunder108-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%100%33%
Points / game125.1127.2121.7
Allowed / game112.4107.8120.0
Point differential+12.8+19.4+1.7
Avg total237.5235.0241.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %12%20%0%
Points / game111.6115.0106.0
Allowed / game119.5121.4116.3
Point differential-7.9-6.4-10.3
Avg total231.1236.4222.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder109190%123.2109.7+13.5
2 San Antonio Spurs97278%119.1110.7+8.4
3 Detroit Pistons97278%116.7110.8+5.9
4 Denver Nuggets86275%125.1112.4+12.8
5 Cleveland Cavaliers107370%120.7115.5+5.2
6 Los Angeles Lakers107370%117.8117.1+0.7
7 Philadelphia 76ers96367%124.0119.3+4.7
8 Milwaukee Bucks96367%120.6118.1+2.4
9 Chicago Bulls96367%119.4118.1+1.3
10 Houston Rockets85362%122.9112.9+10.0
11 New York Knicks85362%118.9113.6+5.2
12 Miami Heat106460%124.1118.0+6.1
13 Minnesota Timberwolves95456%118.8115.9+2.9
14 Portland Trail Blazers95456%121.6119.8+1.8
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.3117.1+2.2
16 Atlanta Hawks105550%115.2115.0+0.2
17 Golden State Warriors105550%116.1116.7-0.6
18 Orlando Magic94544%117.0116.8+0.2
19 Phoenix Suns94544%116.7118.2-1.6
20 Boston Celtics104640%113.0110.7+2.3
21 Memphis Grizzlies104640%115.1119.1-4.0
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%110.5115.1-4.6
23 Charlotte Hornets93633%119.0121.0-2.0
24 Sacramento Kings93633%115.1121.7-6.6
25 Utah Jazz93633%112.1120.1-8.0
26 Dallas Mavericks103730%106.5113.3-6.8
27 New Orleans Pelicans92722%109.1121.3-12.2
28 Indiana Pacers81712%111.6119.5-7.9
29 Brooklyn Nets91811%111.3124.6-13.2
30 Washington Wizards101910%111.5128.4-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31253922117
Indiana Pacers18293518100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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