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Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 120-125
33-24 33-37 31-37 23-27
Position#9
Record47-31
FormWWLLL
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game116.9
vs
Position#5
Record46-31
FormWLWWW
Points / game117.4
Allowed / game115.1
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
114-105
114
105
+9
114avg 114
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
108-120
108
120
-12
100avg 114
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
109-128
109
128
-19
102avg 114
A22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 114
A23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
119-129
119
129
-10
116avg 114
H25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
127-117
127
117
+10
128avg 114
H27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
129-93
129
93
+36
137avg 114
H29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
139-140 OT
139
140
-1
139avg 114
H02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
106-113
106
113
-7
97avg 114
H03/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
104-118
104
118
-14
106avg 114
A05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
33-28
27-27
25-28
29-46
30-27
18-32
31-15
30-30
29-24
23-34
27-40
27-27
30-30
39-22
20-32
35-27
30-38
30-30
24-34
38-27
29-37
33-28
27-25
26-15
31-32
29-18
43-28
32-26
21-26
26-32
33-28
21-33
33-33
31-22
21-25
44-34
16-32
24-30
20-22
234.5Avg total
117.1Scored
117.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)120.7116.9237.7+3.860%
Season at home (39)123.0117.1240.0+5.964%
Season away (39)118.4116.8235.3+1.656%
Last 10 (10)117.1117.4234.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)121.0116.2237.2+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)115.3121.3236.7-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)116.6116.5233.1+0.157%
vs Weaker (13)126.2117.2243.4+8.969%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
135-131
135
131
+4
132avg 112
H19/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
105-99 OT
105
99
+6
102avg 112
H20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
108-103
108
103
+5
108avg 112
H22/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
119-103
119
103
+16
116avg 112
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
119-120
119
120
-1
114avg 112
H26/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
162-109
162
109
+53
179avg 112
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
111-132
111
132
-21
103avg 112
A30/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
111-109
111
109
+2
104avg 112
H31/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
119-105
119
105
+14
109avg 112
H02/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
140-112
140
112
+28
145avg 112
H04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
35-36
22-34
45-40
23-28
19-24
25-19
24-20
28-25
33-27
29-18
18-33
25-23
29-25
41-25
24-30
33-28
22-40
37-27
27-25
45-31
38-30
42-27
37-21
27-29
22-32
31-41
31-30
27-28
27-32
27-26
30-23
32-25
21-20
34-28
32-32
28-34
29-25
41-35
42-18
235.2Avg total
122.9Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)117.4115.1232.5+2.360%
Season at home (38)118.9114.2233.2+4.771%
Season away (39)115.9116.0231.9-0.149%
Last 10 (10)122.9112.3235.2+10.680%
Last 5 (5)128.6113.4242.0+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)111.0132.0243.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)119.7118.4238.1+1.353%
vs Weaker (10)119.2107.2226.4+12.090%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A20/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A23/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
D
65-65
65
65
+0
H25/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H03/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A05/04
NBA
118.7Avg total
59.3Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.659.1120.7+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.958.9121.9+4.065%-
Last 30 away (13)59.859.3119.2+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)59.359.4118.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)58.259.0117.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.365.0123.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)59.659.9119.5-0.457%-
vs Weaker (13)64.556.8121.4+7.777%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H19/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H22/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H24/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H26/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A30/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H31/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H02/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H04/04
NBA
113.9Avg total
57.6Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.858.1115.9-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.256.7115.9+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)56.259.8116.0-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)57.656.3113.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)59.257.2116.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.061.0110.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)60.560.8121.3-0.453%-
vs Weaker (10)53.652.7106.3+0.940%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.231.3
58.8%
54.3%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.1
36.0%
35.9%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.918.2
73.1%
77.8%18.2
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 122.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.330.0
59.6%
54.3%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.814.8
39.2%
35.9%44.4
🏀 Free throws22.818.5
81.1%
77.8%18.5
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLWWLWLLW
Indiana Pacers
WWWLWLWWWW
#9
League position
#5
-0.3
Net rating
+10.4
114.6
Offensive rating
120.8
114.9
Defensive rating
110.4
57.0%
Effective FG%
59.3%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
11.3%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.0%
3-point %
39.2%
69.6%
Assist %
69.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 120.8Defence114.9 · 110.4Shooting57.0% · 59.3%3-point %36.0% · 39.2%Ball care15.6% · 11.3%Off. rebounds27.8% · 20.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AGolden State Warriors104-118
03/04/25HSan Antonio Spurs106-113
02/04/25HMinnesota Timberwolves139-140 OT
29/03/25HUtah Jazz129-93
27/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks127-117
25/03/25HChicago Bulls119-129
23/03/25AHouston Rockets116-111
22/03/25APortland Trail Blazers109-128
20/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers108-120
18/03/25AGolden State Warriors114-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25HUtah Jazz140-112
02/04/25HCharlotte Hornets119-105
31/03/25HSacramento Kings111-109
30/03/25AOklahoma City Thunder111-132
27/03/25AWashington Wizards162-109
26/03/25HLos Angeles Lakers119-120
24/03/25HMinnesota Timberwolves119-103
22/03/25HBrooklyn Nets108-103
20/03/25HBrooklyn Nets105-99 OT
19/03/25HDallas Mavericks135-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL60%
HomeLWWLL64%
AwayWLLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %60%64%56%
Points / game120.7123.0118.4
Allowed / game116.9117.1116.8
Point differential+3.8+5.9+1.6
Avg total237.7240.0235.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)50% (10)70% (10)
Overtime %8%5%10%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLWWL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773839
Win %60%71%49%
Points / game117.4118.9115.9
Allowed / game115.1114.2116.0
Point differential+2.3+4.7-0.1
Avg total232.5233.2231.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)70% (10)43% (7)
Overtime %6%8%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder76621482%120.1107.7+12.5
2 Cleveland Cavaliers78621679%122.1112.3+9.8
3 Boston Celtics78582074%116.9107.6+9.3
4 Houston Rockets76502666%115.0109.3+5.8
5 New York Knicks77502765%116.3111.7+4.6
6 Los Angeles Lakers78483062%113.4112.1+1.3
7 Golden State Warriors76463061%114.2111.1+3.1
8 Denver Nuggets78473160%120.7116.9+3.8
9 Indiana Pacers77463160%117.4115.1+2.3
10 Minnesota Timberwolves78463259%114.0109.4+4.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies78463259%121.7117.0+4.7
12 Los Angeles Clippers78463259%112.5108.0+4.5
13 Detroit Pistons78433555%115.2113.0+2.2
14 Milwaukee Bucks75413455%115.0113.1+1.9
15 Orlando Magic77383949%105.0105.5-0.4
16 Sacramento Kings78384049%115.9115.5+0.3
17 Dallas Mavericks78384049%114.6115.4-0.7
18 Atlanta Hawks76364047%118.4120.1-1.8
19 Chicago Bulls78364246%117.8119.9-2.1
20 Miami Heat78354345%109.9109.9-0.1
21 Phoenix Suns78354345%114.0116.6-2.6
22 Portland Trail Blazers79354444%111.0114.2-3.1
23 San Antonio Spurs78324641%113.9116.7-2.7
24 Toronto Raptors79295037%110.7115.2-4.5
25 Brooklyn Nets78255332%105.1111.9-6.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers78235529%109.6115.8-6.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans77215627%110.0118.8-8.8
28 Charlotte Hornets78195924%105.7114.0-8.3
29 Washington Wizards78176122%108.3120.7-12.4
30 Utah Jazz79166320%111.7120.9-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets33333123120
Indiana Pacers24373727125
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