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Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 101-98
23-20 21-24 25-21 32-33
Position#11
Record6-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game101.9
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Position#26
Record4-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game109.2
Allowed / game109.5
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
110-98
110
98
+12
108avg 107
A21/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
102-96
102
96
+6
97avg 107
H23/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
87-99
87
99
-12
77avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
110-122
110
122
-12
96avg 107
A27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
106-75
106
75
+31
109avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
93-91
93
91
+2
85avg 107
A31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
97-106
97
106
-9
88avg 107
A02/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
106-108
106
108
-2
98avg 107
A04/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
95-94
95
94
+1
82avg 107
H06/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
113-96
113
96
+17
108avg 107
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
25-38
34-24
25-16
26-22
27-28
26-20
23-26
24-29
22-21
24-25
17-24
31-35
33-31
26-25
20-31
29-21
25-23
33-12
19-19
23-32
20-15
26-26
24-18
26-31
32-29
15-22
24-24
19-37
36-19
28-22
23-30
26-27
20-20
26-24
23-23
30-25
34-24
27-21
22-26
200.4Avg total
101.9Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)101.998.5200.4+3.460%
Season at home (5)100.692.0192.6+8.680%
Season away (5)103.2105.0208.2-1.840%
Last 10 (10)101.998.5200.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)100.899.0199.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.098.0208.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (24)109.5111.4221.0-1.942%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)110.2102.2212.4+8.0100%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
L
134-135 OT
134
135
-1
126avg 106
A22/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
102-91 OT
102
91
+11
87avg 106
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
109-119
109
119
-10
101avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
100-118
100
118
-18
92avg 106
A27/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
98-105
98
105
-7
82avg 106
A29/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
87avg 106
H30/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
131-118
131
118
+13
132avg 106
H01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
111-98
111
98
+13
106avg 106
H03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
106-110
106
110
-4
100avg 106
A06/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
94-91
94
91
+3
85avg 106
A07/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-32
37-41
23-33
27-17
28-24
28-22
8-17
22-23
30-34
27-32
29-35
23-18
24-29
24-28
23-30
29-31
38-26
17-32
19-27
24-20
25-22
22-24
19-21
28-30
43-33
35-23
31-27
22-35
36-22
23-28
21-25
31-23
19-24
34-35
30-23
23-28
27-19
21-24
26-24
20-24
216.1Avg total
107.9Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)109.2109.5218.7-0.436%
Season at home (5)109.4104.6214.0+4.860%
Season away (6)109.0113.7222.7-4.717%
Last 10 (10)107.9108.2216.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)107.2102.8210.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)106.5112.0218.5-5.525%
vs Similar (17)119.3120.9240.2-1.641%
vs Weaker (5)124.4107.0231.4+17.480%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A21/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H23/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H30/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A02/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A04/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H06/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H09/11
NBA
106.1Avg total
53.4Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.9113.0+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.953.8112.7+5.269%-
Last 30 away (17)55.857.5113.3-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)53.452.7106.1+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)53.251.8105.0+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (24)57.356.2113.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)57.653.8111.4+3.880%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
D
73-73
73
73
+0
A22/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H23/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A27/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A29/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H30/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H01/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A06/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A07/11
NBA
112.8Avg total
57.4Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.859.1119.0+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.058.4117.4+0.641%-
Last 30 away (13)60.960.1121.0+0.838%-
Last 10 (10)57.455.4112.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.050.8107.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)54.058.8112.8-4.825%-
vs Similar (17)61.560.3121.8+1.241%-
vs Weaker (5)63.455.8119.2+7.660%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 101.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.430.1
58.6%
53.1%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.410.3
29.1%
35.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.910.8
72.5%
77.4%10.8
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.429.0
54.3%
53.1%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.612.4
34.8%
35.3%37.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
77.4%12.7
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLWWLLWW
Indiana Pacers
WLWWLLLLWL
#11
League position
#26
+3.4
Net rating
-0.3
102.8
Offensive rating
106.0
99.4
Defensive rating
106.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.19
29.1%
3-point %
34.8%
59.7%
Assist %
57.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 106.0Defence99.4 · 106.3Shooting52.5% · 53.5%3-point %29.1% · 34.8%Ball care15.2% · 15.4%Off. rebounds20.3% · 23.2%Free throws0.17 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/21HMiami Heat113-96
06/11/21HHouston Rockets95-94
04/11/21AMemphis Grizzlies106-108
02/11/21AMemphis Grizzlies97-106
31/10/21AMinnesota Timberwolves93-91
30/10/21HDallas Mavericks106-75
27/10/21AUtah Jazz110-122
26/10/21HCleveland Cavaliers87-99
23/10/21HSan Antonio Spurs102-96
21/10/21APhoenix Suns110-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/21ASacramento Kings94-91
06/11/21APortland Trail Blazers106-110
03/11/21HNew York Knicks111-98
01/11/21HSan Antonio Spurs131-118
30/10/21HToronto Raptors94-97
29/10/21ABrooklyn Nets98-105
27/10/21AToronto Raptors100-118
25/10/21HMilwaukee Bucks109-119
23/10/21HMiami Heat102-91 OT
22/10/21AWashington Wizards134-135 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game101.9100.6103.2
Allowed / game98.592.0105.0
Point differential+3.4+8.6-1.8
Avg total200.4192.6208.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW36%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%60%17%
Points / game109.2109.4109.0
Allowed / game109.5104.6113.7
Point differential-0.4+4.8-4.7
Avg total218.7214.0222.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %18%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors109190%115.2101.5+13.7
2 Utah Jazz118373%111.5102.2+9.4
3 Chicago Bulls118373%109.6102.4+7.3
4 Washington Wizards118373%109.1104.8+4.3
5 Miami Heat107370%110.1101.5+8.6
6 Philadelphia 76ers128467%109.7103.9+5.8
7 Brooklyn Nets128467%106.6103.4+3.2
8 Phoenix Suns96367%110.1109.2+0.9
9 Dallas Mavericks117464%102.8105.8-3.0
10 Los Angeles Clippers106460%108.0103.2+4.8
11 Denver Nuggets106460%101.998.5+3.4
12 New York Knicks127558%110.8109.6+1.2
13 Cleveland Cavaliers127558%105.0104.2+0.8
14 Los Angeles Lakers116555%111.5112.4-0.8
15 Memphis Grizzlies116555%109.7114.2-4.5
16 Toronto Raptors126650%103.3102.0+1.3
17 Milwaukee Bucks126650%108.1107.9+0.2
18 Charlotte Hornets136746%114.5117.5-3.0
19 Portland Trail Blazers115645%110.2108.3+1.9
20 Boston Celtics115645%108.4108.2+0.2
21 Sacramento Kings125742%110.9111.5-0.6
22 Oklahoma City Thunder104640%99.1106.7-7.6
23 San Antonio Spurs114736%110.0107.9+2.1
24 Indiana Pacers114736%109.2109.5-0.4
25 Atlanta Hawks124833%107.4111.4-4.0
26 Minnesota Timberwolves93633%104.0108.1-4.1
27 Orlando Magic123925%99.7109.1-9.4
28 Detroit Pistons102820%96.6106.9-10.3
29 Houston Rockets111109%103.8111.3-7.5
30 New Orleans Pelicans121118%100.5111.9-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets23212532101
Indiana Pacers2024213398
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