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Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 102-100
25-36 32-24 22-15 23-25
Position#4
Record45-22
FormLWLWW
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game107.1
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
vs
Indiana Pacers
USA
Position#13
Record44-25
FormWLLWW
Points / game108.2
Allowed / game103.9
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
114-104
114
104
+10
109avg 106
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
123-96
123
96
+27
125avg 106
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
121-112
121
112
+9
no box
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
104-111
104
111
-7
93avg 106
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
112-120
112
120
-8
101avg 106
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
103-104
103
104
-1
93avg 106
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
115-99
115
99
+16
no box
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
105-122
105
122
-17
91avg 106
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
133-107
133
107
+26
139avg 106
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
100-99
100
99
+1
99avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
27-21
39-23
23-30
34-27
30-29
33-21
26-19
29-26
35-25
27-27
30-34
22-19
15-33
33-29
34-30
39-27
32-40
22-29
19-24
17-36
31-22
21-27
34-19
43-25
23-24
19-28
30-22
20-30
30-37
25-23
30-32
31-20
27-28
36-30
39-29
26-29
25-28
28-32
21-10
220.4Avg total
113.0Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)112.1107.1219.3+5.067%
Season at home (35)116.0104.9220.9+11.183%
Season away (32)107.9109.6217.5-1.750%
Last 10 (10)113.0107.4220.4+5.660%
Last 5 (5)111.2106.2217.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)113.5111.6225.1+1.953%
vs Weaker (15)114.5107.5222.0+7.173%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
W
119-112
119
112
+7
117avg 100
A24/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
109-113
109
113
-4
100avg 100
A26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
101-110
101
110
-9
93avg 100
A28/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
122-115
122
115
+7
119avg 100
H01/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
112-117
112
117
-5
113avg 100
H03/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
105-96
105
96
+9
no box
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
98-117
98
117
-19
85avg 100
A08/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
89-106
89
106
-17
72avg 100
A10/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
103-98
103
98
+5
94avg 100
H12/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
108-106
108
106
+2
100avg 100
H14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
36-29
24-30
30-32
20-36
31-19
26-29
32-29
27-28
26-25
25-26
23-31
26-35
38-25
28-30
30-25
27-27
33-28
27-28
25-34
27-17
22-25
28-33
28-21
24-32
26-22
22-30
26-33
25-26
34-25
11-21
19-34
27-29
28-23
30-21
18-25
22-29
28-34
31-25
27-18
215.6Avg total
106.6Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)108.2103.9212.1+4.364%
Season at home (36)108.7100.2208.9+8.575%
Season away (33)107.6107.9215.5-0.352%
Last 10 (10)106.6109.0215.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)100.6104.6205.2-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)97.5111.5209.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)104.4107.8212.2-3.450%
vs Weaker (16)113.3104.8218.1+8.675%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.4-2.4
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A23/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H24/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H15/03
NBA
111.7Avg total
56.1Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.659.2117.8-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.658.1120.6+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)54.060.6114.6-6.614%-
Last 10 (10)56.155.6111.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)54.655.8110.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)58.960.5119.4-1.740%-
vs Weaker (15)58.357.9116.2+0.347%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#25
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A24/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A28/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H01/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H03/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H06/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A08/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A10/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H12/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H14/03
NBA
109.1Avg total
55.6Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.452.5107.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.651.8108.4+4.871%-
Last 30 away (13)53.853.3107.1+0.538%-
Last 10 (10)55.653.5109.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)52.652.4105.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.554.5103.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)54.953.7108.6+1.250%-
vs Weaker (16)56.651.3107.9+5.269%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.329.1
49.9%
51.7%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.3
37.3%
35.4%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.617.7
75.0%
76.6%17.7
They take 91.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.128.5
49.9%
51.7%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.9
37.9%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws26.119.9
76.2%
76.6%19.9
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLLLWWW
Indiana Pacers
WWLLWLWLLW
#4
League position
#13
+5.4
Net rating
-2.2
109.3
Offensive rating
107.3
103.8
Defensive rating
109.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.3%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.3%
3-point %
37.9%
69.6%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 107.3Defence103.8 · 109.5Shooting52.1% · 52.1%3-point %37.3% · 37.9%Ball care13.7% · 13.3%Off. rebounds27.5% · 19.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Indiana Pacers wins
DateGameScore
04/04/18Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers107-104
10/12/17Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets126-116 OT
24/03/17Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets117-125
12/01/17Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers140-112
31/01/16Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets109-105 OT
18/01/16Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers129-126
21/12/14Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers76-73
15/11/14Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets87-108
11/02/14Indiana Pacers v Denver Nuggets119-80
26/01/14Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers109-96
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/19HDallas Mavericks100-99
13/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves133-107
09/03/19AGolden State Warriors105-122
07/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers115-99
05/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs103-104
03/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans112-120
01/03/19HUtah Jazz104-111
27/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder121-112
24/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers123-96
23/02/19ADallas Mavericks114-104
Indiana Pacerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/19HOklahoma City Thunder108-106
12/03/19HNew York Knicks103-98
10/03/19APhiladelphia 76ers89-106
08/03/19AMilwaukee Bucks98-117
06/03/19HChicago Bulls105-96
03/03/19HOrlando Magic112-117
01/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves122-115
28/02/19ADallas Mavericks101-110
26/02/19ADetroit Pistons109-113
24/02/19AWashington Wizards119-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLLWW83%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673532
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game112.1116.0107.9
Allowed / game107.1104.9109.6
Point differential+5.0+11.1-1.7
Avg total219.3220.9217.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%49%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won79% (19)86% (7)75% (12)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLLLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693633
Win %64%75%52%
Points / game108.2108.7107.6
Allowed / game103.9100.2107.9
Point differential+4.3+8.5-0.3
Avg total212.1208.9215.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)57% (7)50% (8)
Overtime %1%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks69521775%117.6108.3+9.3
2 Toronto Raptors69492071%114.0108.8+5.2
3 Golden State Warriors68472169%117.9111.8+6.0
4 Denver Nuggets67452267%112.1107.1+5.0
5 Indiana Pacers69442564%108.2103.9+4.3
6 Philadelphia 76ers69442564%114.9111.5+3.3
7 Houston Rockets69432662%112.8110.0+2.8
8 Boston Celtics70432761%112.8107.5+5.3
9 Portland Trail Blazers69422761%114.0110.4+3.6
10 Oklahoma City Thunder70422860%114.6110.8+3.7
11 San Antonio Spurs70412959%111.9110.4+1.5
12 Utah Jazz68392957%110.1106.5+3.6
13 Los Angeles Clippers70403057%114.6113.7+0.9
14 Detroit Pistons68353351%107.2107.6-0.4
15 Brooklyn Nets70363451%111.6111.7-0.1
16 Sacramento Kings68333549%113.8115.1-1.4
17 Miami Heat68323647%105.9106.2-0.2
18 Minnesota Timberwolves69323746%112.8113.5-0.7
19 Orlando Magic70323846%105.8106.5-0.7
20 Charlotte Hornets68313746%110.9111.8-0.9
21 Los Angeles Lakers69313845%111.8113.8-2.1
22 Washington Wizards70304043%114.6116.9-2.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans72304242%115.8116.0-0.2
24 Dallas Mavericks69284141%107.9109.6-1.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies70284240%102.1104.6-2.4
26 Atlanta Hawks70244634%112.8118.8-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls70195127%105.2113.0-7.8
28 Cleveland Cavaliers70175324%104.0113.4-9.4
29 Phoenix Suns71175424%107.2116.1-8.9
30 New York Knicks69135619%105.0113.6-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25322223102
Indiana Pacers36241525100
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