PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 117-109
28-28 32-29 29-27 28-25
Position#3
Record27-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game116.2
Allowed / game111.0
vs
Position#17
Record21-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game126.7
Allowed / game123.8
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
120-114
120
114
+6
115avg 110
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
142-105
142
105
+37
153avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
93-119
93
119
-26
85avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-93
111
93
+18
109avg 110
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
130-127
130
127
+3
126avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
120-122
120
122
-2
110avg 110
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
131-114
131
114
+17
136avg 110
H08/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
111-124
111
124
-13
103avg 110
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
125avg 110
H13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
29-33
30-9
18-26
29-26
24-28
39-35
28-25
33-27
32-21
41-35
36-22
27-33
21-21
20-34
25-31
24-18
25-31
40-17
22-27
34-33
36-30
24-44
36-20
37-28
30-26
31-41
22-27
31-29
34-28
43-28
23-29
24-35
29-36
25-28
33-25
37-25
29-26
34-29
25-33
231.1Avg total
118.5Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)116.2111.0227.2+5.168%
Season at home (20)120.8110.7231.4+10.080%
Season away (20)111.6111.4223.0+0.255%
Last 10 (10)118.5112.6231.1+5.970%
Last 5 (5)123.4120.0243.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)114.5115.4229.9-0.944%
vs Weaker (12)119.8108.7228.5+11.292%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
W
123-117
123
117
+6
124avg 114
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
120-104
120
104
+16
119avg 114
A29/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
140-126
140
126
+14
144avg 114
H31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
122-113
122
113
+9
111avg 114
A02/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
142-130
142
130
+12
142avg 114
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
150-116
150
116
+34
162avg 114
H06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
101-118
101
118
-17
85avg 114
H07/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
133-131
133
131
+2
127avg 114
H09/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-104
112
104
+8
112avg 114
H11/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
126-108
126
108
+18
142avg 114
A13/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-33
31-34
37-23
22-27
37-31
26-21
22-25
35-27
32-27
32-35
41-30
35-34
25-32
31-30
28-26
38-25
33-31
33-37
47-29
29-33
38-24
40-30
39-29
33-33
17-29
32-29
32-26
20-34
33-34
26-34
44-33
30-30
23-21
31-34
35-25
23-24
34-30
34-32
31-19
27-27
243.6Avg total
126.9Scored
116.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)126.7123.8250.5+2.858%
Season at home (20)127.8121.0248.8+6.960%
Season away (16)125.2127.4252.6-2.256%
Last 10 (10)126.9116.7243.6+10.290%
Last 5 (5)124.4115.4239.8+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)117.0124.5241.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)126.8129.1255.9-2.350%
vs Weaker (14)130.6118.6249.3+12.071%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +9.1+9.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +9.1+9.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H13/01
NBA
115.1Avg total
59.0Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.056.7115.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.453.0113.4+7.471%-
Last 30 away (16)57.860.0117.8-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)59.056.1115.1+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)64.259.2123.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)59.158.2117.2+0.956%-
vs Weaker (12)58.954.6113.5+4.367%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A29/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A02/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H04/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H06/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H07/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H09/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H11/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A13/01
NBA
122.9Avg total
62.1Scored
60.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.264.2127.4-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.464.4127.8-0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)62.964.0126.9-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)62.160.8122.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)61.659.4121.0+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.063.0117.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)61.766.1127.9-4.429%-
vs Weaker (14)65.962.4128.4+3.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.531.5
58.9%
54.4%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.6
38.0%
36.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.517.7
82.3%
78.2%17.7
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 126.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.532.4
61.7%
54.4%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.214.5
40.1%
36.3%43.5
🏀 Free throws22.918.6
81.2%
78.2%18.6
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWLWWW
Indiana Pacers
WWWLWWWWWW
#3
League position
#17
+5.9
Net rating
+9.8
118.6
Offensive rating
122.5
112.7
Defensive rating
112.6
58.1%
Effective FG%
61.0%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
12.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.0%
3-point %
40.1%
67.3%
Assist %
70.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 122.5Defence112.7 · 112.6Shooting58.1% · 61.0%3-point %38.0% · 40.1%Ball care12.8% · 13.6%Off. rebounds22.3% · 23.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans125-113
11/01/24AUtah Jazz111-124
08/01/24HDetroit Pistons131-114
06/01/24HOrlando Magic120-122
05/01/24AGolden State Warriors130-127
02/01/24HCharlotte Hornets111-93
30/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder93-119
29/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies142-105
25/12/23HGolden State Warriors120-114
24/12/23ACharlotte Hornets102-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AAtlanta Hawks126-108
11/01/24HWashington Wizards112-104
09/01/24HBoston Celtics133-131
07/01/24HBoston Celtics101-118
06/01/24HAtlanta Hawks150-116
04/01/24HMilwaukee Bucks142-130
02/01/24AMilwaukee Bucks122-113
31/12/23HNew York Knicks140-126
29/12/23AChicago Bulls120-104
27/12/23AHouston Rockets123-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayWWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %68%80%55%
Points / game116.2120.8111.6
Allowed / game111.0110.7111.4
Point differential+5.1+10.1+0.2
Avg total227.2231.4223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%60%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game126.7127.8125.2
Allowed / game123.8121.0127.4
Point differential+2.8+6.9-2.2
Avg total250.5248.8252.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3830879%121.7111.4+10.3
2 Oklahoma City Thunder38271171%122.5113.4+9.1
3 Minnesota Timberwolves38271171%113.2107.4+5.8
4 Milwaukee Bucks37261170%124.1119.1+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets40271368%116.2111.0+5.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers38251366%117.7111.9+5.7
7 Philadelphia 76ers37241365%119.6111.5+8.1
8 Sacramento Kings37231462%117.6116.8+0.8
9 New Orleans Pelicans38231561%116.8111.0+5.8
10 New York Knicks38231561%115.5110.7+4.7
11 Cleveland Cavaliers37221559%113.2111.3+1.9
12 Indiana Pacers36211558%126.7123.8+2.8
13 Miami Heat38221658%112.5111.6+0.9
14 Dallas Mavericks40231757%118.5117.1+1.4
15 Phoenix Suns37201754%115.9114.5+1.4
16 Orlando Magic39211854%112.5111.6+0.9
17 Utah Jazz41212051%116.4118.5-2.1
18 Houston Rockets38191950%112.7111.4+1.2
19 Chicago Bulls41192246%110.6112.5-2.0
20 Golden State Warriors39182146%117.4118.2-0.8
21 Los Angeles Lakers38172145%113.8116.8-3.0
22 Brooklyn Nets38162242%114.6116.4-1.8
23 Atlanta Hawks38152339%121.7124.1-2.4
24 Toronto Raptors39152438%115.5117.1-1.6
25 Memphis Grizzlies39142536%108.1113.4-5.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers38102826%107.1116.8-9.8
27 Charlotte Hornets3682822%108.9120.5-11.6
28 San Antonio Spurs3873118%112.6121.7-9.1
29 Washington Wizards3873118%115.5125.2-9.7
30 Detroit Pistons393368%111.3122.7-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28322928117
Indiana Pacers28292725109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.