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Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 28 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record4-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game114.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#20
Record3-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game114.2
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers
27 Dec 2026
DEN v IND
upcoming
08 Nov 2025
DEN117
IND100
06 Apr 2025
DEN120
IND125
14 Jan 2024
DEN117
IND109
20 Jan 2023
DEN134
IND111
10 Nov 2021
DEN101
IND98
15 Mar 2021
DEN121
IND106
19 Jan 2020
DEN107
IND115
16 Mar 2019
DEN102
IND100
03 Apr 2018
DEN107
IND104
12 Jan 2017
DEN140
IND112
17 Jan 2016
DEN129
IND126
20 Dec 2014
DEN76
IND73
25 Jan 2014
DEN109
IND96
28 Jan 2013
DEN102
IND101
23 Jan 2011
DEN121
IND107
05 Mar 2010
DEN122
IND114
05 Jan 2009
DEN135
IND115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-112
96
112
-16
80avg 111
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
123avg 111
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
90avg 111
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 111
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 111
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 111
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#23
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 111
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 111
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#14
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 111
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
31-28
24-32
18-30
34-29
26-22
37-24
28-38
30-29
20-28
24-25
24-28
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
226.5Avg total
112.7Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)115.4114.7230.1+0.757%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (3)105.0102.3207.3+2.767%
Last 10 (10)112.7113.8226.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)116.6114.4231.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)119.8117.0236.8+2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (16)117.1114.7231.8+2.462%
vs Weaker (10)129.3117.8247.1+11.590%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
121-133
121
133
-12
102avg 105
H12/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
123-120
123
120
+3
117avg 105
A22/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
105-121
105
121
-16
96avg 105
H23/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
W
136-109
136
109
+27
138avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#29
L
102-110
102
110
-8
90avg 105
A27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
109-114
109
114
-5
104avg 105
H28/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#21
L
125-145
125
145
-20
115avg 105
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 105
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
104-108
104
108
-4
75avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
107-103
107
103
+4
98avg 105
A05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-41
36-40
26-27
32-25
38-31
18-35
30-26
37-28
27-44
16-33
33-21
29-23
24-26
41-30
37-24
34-29
29-31
32-19
24-34
17-26
25-25
27-37
36-13
21-39
42-36
19-32
27-35
37-42
19-20
21-23
22-28
28-27
29-37
27-31
23-19
25-21
32-24
22-28
26-30
27-21
228.3Avg total
112.2Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)111.2114.2225.4-3.033%
Season at home (4)102.0110.2212.2-8.20%
Season away (5)118.6117.4236.0+1.260%
Last 10 (10)112.2116.1228.3-3.930%
Last 5 (5)107.0113.6220.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)112.4121.8234.1-9.418%
vs Similar ◀ (7)121.6117.1238.7+4.443%
vs Weaker (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
Denver NuggetsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#23
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#14
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
115.5Avg total
58.3Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.9118.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)61.860.3122.1+1.544%-
Last 30 away (12)57.256.8114.0+0.558%-
Last 10 (10)58.357.2115.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)62.859.4122.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.259.0120.2+2.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.657.6114.2-1.050%-
vs Weaker (10)64.860.8125.6+4.050%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H12/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#18
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A22/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
L
43-77
43
77
-34
H23/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A25/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#29
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H28/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#21
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#24
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A05/11
NBA
117.4Avg total
55.1Scored
62.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.662.5120.1-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.765.7121.4-10.015%-
Last 30 away (17)59.160.1119.2-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)55.162.3117.4-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)52.658.6111.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)56.066.0122.0-10.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)62.353.4115.7+8.971%-
vs Weaker (1)61.050.0111.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.128.5
54.7%
54.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.2
31.8%
35.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws29.223.6
80.8%
76.6%23.6
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.127.4
57.0%
54.0%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.412.9
32.7%
35.0%38.7
🏀 Free throws23.317.5
75.1%
76.6%17.5
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWLLWL
Indiana Pacers
WLLLLLWLWL
#13
League position
#20
-3.3
Net rating
+0.3
107.0
Offensive rating
104.9
110.3
Defensive rating
104.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
14.2%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.8%
3-point %
32.7%
66.1%
Assist %
71.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 104.9Defence110.3 · 104.6Shooting52.0% · 53.4%3-point %31.8% · 32.7%Ball care12.4% · 14.5%Off. rebounds14.2% · 23.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Denver Nuggets wins
1
Indiana Pacers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
01/05/26AMinnesota Timberwolves98-110
28/04/26HMinnesota Timberwolves125-113
26/04/26AMinnesota Timberwolves96-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies107-103
03/11/26HAtlanta Hawks104-108
01/11/26HBrooklyn Nets90-98
31/10/26AMiami Heat125-145
28/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers109-114
27/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks102-110
25/10/26ABrooklyn Nets136-109
23/10/26HDallas Mavericks105-121
22/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans123-120
12/04/26HDetroit Pistons121-133

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game115.4123.2105.0
Allowed / game114.7124.0102.3
Point differential+0.7-0.8+2.7
Avg total230.1247.2207.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%25%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%0%60%
Points / game111.2102.0118.6
Allowed / game114.2110.2117.4
Point differential-3.0-8.2+1.2
Avg total225.4212.2236.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers108280%122.0114.3+7.7
2 Philadelphia 76ers108280%109.4106.6+2.8
3 Houston Rockets97278%117.9107.6+10.3
4 Boston Celtics97278%114.8105.1+9.7
5 San Antonio Spurs97278%117.7108.7+9.0
6 Oklahoma City Thunder97278%112.0107.4+4.6
7 Detroit Pistons86275%111.1101.8+9.4
8 Portland Trail Blazers86275%121.4112.4+9.0
9 Minnesota Timberwolves107370%118.4107.7+10.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies96367%117.9111.8+6.1
11 Golden State Warriors96367%117.8113.0+4.8
12 Atlanta Hawks106460%118.1114.9+3.2
13 Denver Nuggets74357%115.4114.7+0.7
14 Toronto Raptors95456%118.2112.8+5.4
15 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.2114.7+4.6
16 Dallas Mavericks95456%112.1110.9+1.2
17 New York Knicks84450%110.0105.1+4.9
18 New Orleans Pelicans94544%120.2118.8+1.4
19 Washington Wizards94544%111.4112.3-0.9
20 Indiana Pacers93633%111.2114.2-3.0
21 Miami Heat93633%116.0122.6-6.6
22 Charlotte Hornets103730%96.3110.2-13.9
23 Phoenix Suns72529%113.9121.4-7.6
24 Brooklyn Nets82625%106.6112.9-6.2
25 Orlando Magic82625%105.5115.0-9.5
26 Los Angeles Clippers81712%109.1115.6-6.5
27 Chicago Bulls81712%111.6129.6-18.0
28 Utah Jazz91811%106.9118.2-11.3
29 Milwaukee Bucks91811%109.7122.1-12.4
30 Sacramento Kings91811%109.2123.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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